Odds overview
Sweden are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.52, compared with 4.60 for a draw and 5.80 for an away win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.58 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.26. In the handicap market, Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) at 1.56 are favoured over Sweden (-1.5) at 2.30.
Why Sweden are favourites
Bookmakers favour Sweden: a home win is offered at 1.52, a draw at 4.60 and a Bosnia and Herzegovina win at 5.80.
- Sweden have avoided defeat in all 10 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have failed to win 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Sweden are unbeaten in 5 consecutive home matches.
Form and Line-up Sweden
Sweden played their most recent UEFA Nations League match on 5 October 2026, edging Romania 1:0 away from home. Earlier in the same campaign, they beat Romania 2:1 at home. Sweden also have a 3:1 win over Poland and a 1:1 draw with Bosnia and Herzegovina to their name.
- Sweden have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Sweden have scored in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Sweden have taken more than 3.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Viktor Johansson, Daniel Svensson, Eric Smith, Victor Lindelöf, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Alexander Bernhardsson, Jesper Karlström, Yasin Ayari, Sebastian Nanasi, Alexander Isak, Viktor Gyökeres.
Absentees: Lucas Bergvall, Hugo Bolin, Isak Hien, Emil Holm, Carl Starfelt, Mattias Svanberg, Besfort Zeneli (all injured).
Form and Line-up Bosnia and Herzegovina
Bosnia and Herzegovina are yet to lose in the UEFA Nations League. They began with a goalless draw against Poland (0:0), then beat Romania (4:2) and drew with Sweden (1:1). In their most recent competitive match, Bosnia and Herzegovina beat Poland (1:0), with Bašić scoring a penalty in the 84th minute.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have avoided defeat in 8 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in all 10 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in 10 consecutive matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Martin Zlomislic, Nihad Mujakić, Nikola Katić, Amar Dedić, Sead Kolašinac, Amar Memić, Armin Gigovic, Ivan Bašić, Ermin Mahmic, Ermedin Demirović, Haris Tabakovic.
Absentees: Tarik Muharemović (suspended), Dennis Hadzikadunic (injured).
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Sweden a 62.8% chance of winning: the average odds for a home win are 1.52, with fair odds of 1.59. A draw has a 20.7% chance, with average odds of 4.60 and fair odds of 4.82; a Bosnia and Herzegovina win has a 16.5% chance, with corresponding odds of 5.80 and 6.08.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden to win | 1.52 | 1.59 | 62.8% |
| Draw | 4.60 | 4.82 | 20.7% |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina to win | 5.80 | 6.08 | 16.5% |
Total goals prediction
For the 2.5-goal total, Over 2.5 is available at 1.58 and Under 2.5 at 2.26. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 is 1.25 compared with 3.50 for Under 2; at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 is offered at 1.51 and Over 3.5 at 2.41.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.26 | 1.58 |
| 2 | 3.50 | 1.25 |
| 3.5 | 1.51 | 2.41 |
Handicap prediction
Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) at 1.56 have shorter odds than Sweden (-1.5) at 2.30. At the -1 handicap line, the gap is narrow: Sweden (-1) are available at 1.80 and Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1) at 1.94.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.30 | -1.5 | 1.56 |
| 1.80 | -1 | 1.94 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
13/100
|
1/5
|
3/2
|
| William Hill |
3/25
|
11/50
|
3/2
|
| LeoVegas |
4/25
|
1/5
|
27/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Sweden — 2 goals; Bosnia and Herzegovina — 0.5 goals.
Sweden team goals
For Sweden, Over 0.5 goals is available at 1.09, compared with 5.70 for Under 0.5. At the 1.5-goal line, Over 1.5 is 1.51 and Under 1.5 is 2.41; at 2 goals, the respective odds are 1.90 and 1.85. At 2.5 goals, Under 2.5 at 1.46 has shorter odds than Over 2.5 at 2.54.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.70 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
| 2.41 | 1.5 | 1.51 |
| 1.85 | 2 | 1.90 |
| 1.46 | 2.5 | 2.54 |
Bosnia and Herzegovina team goals
For Bosnia and Herzegovina, Over 0.5 goals is offered at 1.51 and Under 0.5 at 2.41. Under 1.5 is available at 1.27, compared with 3.35 for Over 1.5; at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.08 and Over 2 is 6.60.
| Under | Team goals total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.41 | 0.5 | 1.51 |
| 1.27 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
| 1.08 | 2 | 6.60 |
