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Ligue 1
Matchday 6
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Monaco
MATCH FINISHED
2
:
2
10 October, 19:45
Toulouse
1
8/1
X
16/5
2
16/1
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Odds for upcoming matches

1 X 2
Under Over
19:45
Everton Newcastle
1 6/5
X 13/5
2 213/100
Under 2.5 27/25
2.5
Over 2.5 73/100
18:00
Al-Nassr Al-Kholood
1 23/100
X 23/4
2 10/1
Under 2.5 9/4
2.5
Over 2.5 9/25
14:35
Al Khaleej Al-Hazem
1 23/20
X 12/5
2 11/5
Under 2.5 91/100
2.5
Over 2.5 9/10
17:30
Frosinone Lecce
1 67/100
X 333/100
2 4/1
Under 2.5 2/1
2.5
Over 2.5 21/50
18:00
Al-Riyadh Qadsia SC
1 15/2
X 9/2
2 8/25
Under 2.5 47/25
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
All matches
football predictions tournament predictions
Match stats
Logo Monaco Monaco
Toulouse Logo Toulouse
58 Ball possession (%) 42
16 Goal attempts 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
12 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked shots 2
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Monaco vs Toulouse: prediction & betting odds 10 October 2026

Published: 8 October 2026 19:48

Monaco will host Toulouse in the sixth round of Ligue 1. The match will take place at the Stade Louis II and kick off 10 October 2026 at 14:45 EDT / 11:45 PDT.

We will examine the bookmakers' odds and the teams' statistics to assess their relative strengths and choose a suitable bet.

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Simon Dalton
t
Simon Dalton Expert

Betting tip

Monaco know how to stifle opposing attacks at home and rarely give their opponents much freedom. The key argument for this match centres on the reliability of the hosts' defence: backing Toulouse under 1 team goal on a whole-number line provides the necessary cushion, with stakes returned if Monaco concede a single goal.

Monaco have maintained a disciplined defence this season, and their opponents have scored no more than one goal in 8 of their last 10 home matches in Ligue 1. Across five matches this season, they have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals per game, putting them joint second in the league on that measure. Above all, Monaco lead the French league outright with 13 points.

Toulouse have made a lively start to the league campaign: across five rounds, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match, and they beat Le Havre 3:2 in their last outing before the international break. However, creating a steady stream of chances away to well-organised opponents will be considerably harder for the visitors. Hence their position of just 13th in Ligue 1.

The main risk is that Toulouse can turn even rare chances into goals, while a sample of five rounds is still too small. However, the whole-number line of one goal provides protection against an isolated scoring moment: a single goal from the visitors will not result in a losing bet.

The hosts' defence is reliable enough to withstand their opponents' pressure and prevent them from scoring twice. Toulouse have also scored 3.60 fewer goals than their expected goals (xG) figure suggests. That supports the prediction of Toulouse under 1 team goal.

Betting prediction
Toulouse under 1 team goal
Cf
Odds
7/10
Read more

Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,8 %
Win rate
-3,3 %
ROI
1.73
Avg. Odds
386
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Monaco
Filipe Luís
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Lukáš Hrádecký
gk. 0 0
Eric Jeremy Edgar Dier
df. 0 0
Flávio Basilua Jacinto Nazinho
df. 0 0
Sadibou Sané
df. 0 0
Vanderson de Oliveira Campos
df. 0 0
Denis Lemi Zakaria Lako Lado
mf. 6 0
Edan Diop
mf. 2 1
Aleksandr Golovin
mf. 0 0
Lamine Camara
mf. 0 0
Mathys Detourbet
fw. 0 0
Matthis Abline
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Philipp François Köhn
gk. 0 0
Mohammed Salisu Abdul Karim
df. 1 0
Christian Mawissa Elebi
df. 0 0
Jordan Teze
df. 0 0
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo
mf. 5 1
Anis Soubeir
mf. 4 0
Safouane Benzahra
mf. 1 0
Folarin Jolaoluwa Jerry Balogun
fw. 2 0
Anssumane Fati Vieira
fw. 1 0
Toulouse
Jens Berthel Askou
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Guillaume Lino Restes
gk. 0 0
Christ Tapé
df. 0 0
Mark Alexander McKenzie
df. 0 0
Seny Koumbassa
df. 0 0
Rafik Messali
mf. 6 0
Thomas Jørgensen
mf. 6 2
Alexis Vossah
mf. 0 0
Cristian Sleiker Cásseres Yepes Jr.
mf. 0 0
Casper Tengstedt
fw. 4 4
Ilyas Azizi
fw. 0 0
Jacen Rex Orlando Russell-Rowe
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Mathys Sauveur Niflore
gk. 2 -3
David Odogu
df. 0 0
Ismaïl Diallo
df. 0 0
Niko Kristian Sigur
mf. 3 0
Aron Leonard Bizet Dønnum
mf. 0 0
Mathis Amougou
mf. 0 0
Niklas Uwe Schmidt
mf. 0 0
Sion Uno Kobi Oppong
fw. 5 1
Santiago Hidalgo Massa
fw. 0 0

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H2H: Monaco — Toulouse

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Tables

Tournament Home Away
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
8 5 2 1 16:9 17
2
Rennes
8 5 1 2 18:14 16
3
Lille
8 4 3 1 11:6 15
4
Monaco
8 4 3 1 11:7 15
5
Lyon
8 4 2 2 13:7 14
6
FC Paris
8 4 2 2 13:9 14
7
Lens
8 4 1 3 16:12 13
8
Marseille
8 4 0 4 18:13 12
9
Lorient
8 3 3 2 7:6 12
10
Nice
8 3 2 3 8:10 11
11
Toulouse
8 2 4 2 12:11 10
12
Auxerre
8 3 1 4 12:18 10
13
Brest
8 2 3 3 14:12 9
14
Angers
8 2 2 4 9:15 8
15
Le Mans
8 1 4 3 11:16 7
16
Strasbourg
8 2 1 5 12:18 7
17
Troyes
8 1 2 5 5:16 5
18
Le Havre
8 0 2 6 8:15 2
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Rennes
5 4 1 0 13:5 13
2
Lyon
4 3 1 0 10:3 10
3
FC Paris
4 3 1 0 9:4 10
4
Lens
4 3 0 1 9:5 9
5
Lille
4 2 2 0 6:3 8
6
Monaco
4 2 2 0 7:4 8
7
Nice
4 2 2 0 5:3 8
8
Lorient
4 2 1 1 5:4 7
9
Auxerre
4 2 1 1 5:5 7
10
PSG
3 2 0 1 6:3 6
11
Marseille
4 2 0 2 11:8 6
12
Le Mans
4 1 2 1 6:8 5
13
Toulouse
4 1 1 2 3:5 4
14
Brest
4 1 1 2 8:6 4
15
Angers
5 1 1 3 5:9 4
16
Strasbourg
3 1 1 1 4:5 4
17
Troyes
4 0 1 3 3:11 1
18
Le Havre
4 0 1 3 2:6 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
5 3 2 0 10:6 11
2
Lille
4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3
Monaco
4 2 1 1 4:3 7
4
Marseille
4 2 0 2 7:5 6
5
Toulouse
4 1 3 0 9:6 6
6
Lorient
4 1 2 1 2:2 5
7
Brest
4 1 2 1 6:6 5
8
Lyon
4 1 1 2 3:4 4
9
FC Paris
4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10
Lens
4 1 1 2 7:7 4
11
Angers
3 1 1 1 4:6 4
12
Troyes
4 1 1 2 2:5 4
13
Rennes
3 1 0 2 5:9 3
14
Nice
4 1 0 3 3:7 3
15
Auxerre
4 1 0 3 7:13 3
16
Strasbourg
5 1 0 4 8:13 3
17
Le Mans
4 0 2 2 5:8 2
18
Le Havre
4 0 1 3 6:9 1
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifications
Relegation Play-off
Relegation
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Monaco vs Toulouse Odds

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DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
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