Ligue 1
34th round
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FC Paris
MATCH FINISHED
2
:
1
17 May, 20:00
PSG
1
8/1
X
4/1
2
11/2
Odds for upcoming matches
This match has ended, please select an alternative match to bet on
1 X 2
Under Over
9 October
1 7/5
X 11/4
2 9/5
Under 2.5 3/2
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
9 October
1 43/100
X 4/1
2 11/2
Under 2.5 47/25
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
9 October
1 9/2
X 17/5
2 11/20
Under 2.5 3/2
2.5
Over 2.5 53/100
9 October
1 5/1
X 19/5
2 23/50
Under 2.5 2/1
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
9 October
1 9/25
X 9/2
2 15/2
Under 2.5 2/1
2.5
Over 2.5 2/5
Show all
Match stats
Logo FC Paris FC Paris
PSG Logo PSG
37 Ball possession (%) 63
17 Goal attempts 9
9 Shots on Goal 2
8 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked shots 3

FC Paris vs PSG: prediction & betting odds 17 May 2026

Published: 11 May 2026 10:59

On 17 May at 20:00 Paris will host Paris Saint-Germain at the Stade Jean-Bouin in the 34th round of the Ligue 1.

Paris Saint-Germain have already secured the title, but their attack still looks far too powerful for the Paris defence.

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Betting Tip

It is easy to fall into simple fear here: Paris Saint-Germain are already champions, so the motivation will not be the same. But that is too flat a view. For Paris the derby will not be a sit-back-and-defend match; at home the hosts will almost certainly want to play bravely, with quick transitions and pressure after losing the ball. And that is exactly where the problem starts: opening corridors against Ousmane Dembele, Bradley Barcola and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is almost an open invitation to concede.

Paris are not hiding in the final stretch of the season. This helps them to score, but against a top attack such bravery quickly becomes a hole between the lines. Paris Saint-Germain do not need to produce 90 minutes of frenzied pressing. Bursts will be enough: one surge down the left flank, one second ball after a set piece, one pass between centre-back and full-back – and the home defence is once again sprinting back towards its own goal.

The Paris penalty area is a separate concern. The team allow 55.1 xGA and too often are late with the final movement: 12 penalties conceded is not a random figure but a recurring problem with positioning and challenges. Against Paris Saint-Germain such episodes are more costly, because the favourites do not just keep the ball but constantly carry it into dangerous zones through the half-spaces.

The main support here is not only in the names. Paris Saint-Germain have scored 73 goals in 33 rounds, registered 224 shots on target and scored 21 goals in their last 10 Ligue 1 matches. Even if Luis Enrique manages the minutes before the Champions League final, the tempo and quality up front will remain: Desire Doue, Joao Neves and the wide players know how to maintain pressure without a long build-up.

The first match of the season also fits this scenario well. Paris Saint-Germain scored twice, had 70% possession, took 20 shots and still did not look like a team that squeezed the maximum out of their chances. Now Paris have less fear about the table, so the game can become even more open, and such a game against the champions is bad news for the home defence.

Odds around 1.70 are based on the market’s caution because the title is already decided. But the match itself points towards something else: Paris do not sit deep, and Paris Saint-Germain punish free spaces and set pieces far too quickly. A rout is not required here, just three goals from the visitors in a scenario where the favourites regularly reach the penalty area.

Betting prediction
Paris Saint-Germain, over 2 goals
Cf
Odds
7/10
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Team lineups

FC Paris

Antoine Kombouare
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Kevin Christian Trapp
gk. 22 -29
Otávio Ataíde da Silva
df. 23 1
Samir Sophian Chergui
df. 15 1
Diego Coppola
df. 13 0
Adama Mohamed Camara
mf. 29 1
Pierre Lees-Melou
mf. 22 1
Marshall Nyasha Munetsi
mf. 14 4
Rudy Nzingoula Matondo
mf. 11 2
Moses Daddy-Ajala Simon
fw. 29 3
Willem Davnis Louis Didier Geubbels
fw. 24 5
Nanitamo Jonathan Ikoné
fw. 23 3
Substitutes
Obed Alpha Nkambadio
gk. 12 -21
Hamari Traoré
df. 18 0
Thibault De Smet
df. 17 0
Ilan Kais Kebbal
mf. 29 9
Maxime Baila Lopez
mf. 26 0
Vincent Marchetti
mf. 23 2
Mathieu Cafaro
mf. 10 0
Alimami Gory
fw. 24 5
Luca Warrick Daeovie Koleosho
fw. 16 3
PSG

Luis Enrique
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Matvey Safonov
gk. 15 -14
Illia Zabarnyi
df. 28 1
Lucas Lopes Beraldo
df. 20 2
Marcos Aoás Corrêa
df. 14 0
Dimitri Lucea
df. 2 0
Warren Zaire Emery
mf. 32 3
Vítor Machado Ferreira
mf. 29 1
Fabián Ruiz Peña
mf. 20 1
Bradley Jean-Manuel Essolisam Addo Barcola
fw. 29 11
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
fw. 28 8
Masour Ousmane Dembélé
fw. 22 10
Substitutes
Renato Bellucci Marin
gk. 2 -2
Lucas François Bernard Hernández
df. 25 0
Kang-In Lee
mf. 27 3
Senny Nsona Mayulu
mf. 26 4
Désiré Nonka-Maho Doué
mf. 23 7
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
mf. 21 5
Gonçalo Matias Ramos
fw. 30 6
Ibrahim Mbaye Sissokho
fw. 24 3
Pedro Fernández Sarmiento
fw. 12 1

Previous matches in the tournament

FC Paris
10 May, 2026
Ligue 1
Rennes
FC Paris
2
1
L
Show more Hide
PSG
13 May, 2026
Ligue 1
Lens
PSG
0
2
W
Show more Hide

H2H: FC Paris — PSG

Coupe de France 2025/26
12 January, 2026
PSG
FC Paris
0
1
Ligue 1 2025/26
4 January, 2026
PSG
FC Paris
2
1

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
34 24 4 6 74:29 76
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 70
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 61
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 60
5
Marseille
34 18 5 11 63:45 59
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 59
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 54
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 53
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 45
10
Toulouse
34 12 9 13 47:46 45
11
Paris
34 11 11 12 47:50 44
12
Brest
34 10 9 15 43:55 39
13
Nice
36 8 12 16 41:61 36
14
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 36
15
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 35
16
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 34
17
Nantes
34 5 9 20 29:52 24
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 17
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Strasbourg
5 3 1 1 12:10 10
2
Auxerre
5 3 1 1 11:7 10
3
PSG
5 3 1 1 9:4 10
4
Lyon
5 3 0 2 10:11 9
5
Paris
5 3 0 2 10:5 9
6
Rennes
5 3 0 2 10:9 9
7
Lens
5 2 2 1 9:6 8
8
Lille
5 2 2 1 3:3 8
9
Toulouse
5 2 2 1 8:7 8
10
Marseille
5 2 1 2 5:7 7
11
Lorient
5 2 1 2 10:7 7
12
Nice
5 1 3 1 6:4 6
13
Le Havre
5 1 3 1 8:7 6
14
Monaco
5 1 2 2 10:11 5
15
Nantes
5 1 1 3 4:6 4
16
Angers
5 0 3 2 4:9 3
17
Metz
5 0 2 3 6:13 2
18
Brest
5 0 2 3 5:11 2
19
Saint-Etienne
2 0 1 1 1:4 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Lens
17 14 0 3 35:13 42
2
PSG
17 13 2 2 41:12 41
3
Marseille
17 11 4 2 41:20 37
4
Lyon
17 12 1 4 30:18 37
5
Rennes
17 10 4 3 30:17 34
6
Monaco
17 10 2 5 33:23 32
7
Lorient
17 8 6 3 31:25 30
8
Strasbourg
17 9 3 5 30:19 30
9
Lille
17 8 5 4 24:17 29
10
Brest
17 7 5 5 28:23 26
11
Paris
17 7 4 6 28:27 25
12
Toulouse
17 6 6 5 25:24 24
13
Nice
18 5 8 5 23:28 23
14
Le Havre
17 5 8 4 20:18 23
15
Angers
17 6 5 6 18:20 23
16
Auxerre
17 6 4 7 18:17 22
17
Nantes
17 3 4 10 18:27 13
18
Metz
17 2 4 11 15:32 10
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 1 0 0:0 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
PSG
17 11 2 4 33:17 35
2
Lille
17 10 2 5 28:20 32
3
Lens
17 8 4 5 31:22 28
4
Rennes
17 7 4 6 29:33 25
5
Strasbourg
17 6 5 6 28:28 23
6
Lyon
17 6 5 6 23:22 23
7
Monaco
17 6 4 7 27:31 22
8
Marseille
17 7 1 9 22:25 22
9
Toulouse
17 6 3 8 22:22 21
10
Paris
17 4 7 6 19:23 19
11
Lorient
17 3 6 8 17:26 15
12
Nice
18 3 4 11 18:33 13
13
Brest
17 3 4 10 15:32 13
14
Angers
17 3 4 10 11:28 13
15
Auxerre
17 2 6 9 16:27 12
16
Le Havre
17 2 6 9 12:26 12
17
Nantes
17 2 5 10 11:25 11
18
Metz
17 1 4 12 17:44 7
19
Saint-Etienne
1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Legend
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

FC Paris vs PSG Odds

1X2
DOUBLE CHANCE
OVER/UNDER
BTTS
HANDICAP
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
Alex Tarabrin
Alex Tarabrin
Betting Expert
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