Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Inter are slight favourites: Inter to win — 2.46, Roma to win — 2.75, and the draw — 3.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.60 compared with 2.22 for Under 2.5 goals, indicating an expectation of a high-scoring game. Inter Draw No Bet is 1.84 and Roma Draw No Bet is 1.90: the visitors have only a minimal edge.
Why Inter are favourites for the match
The bookmakers give the visitors a slight advantage: Inter to win is available at 2.46, the draw at 3.60, and Roma to win at 2.75.
- Inter have started the league with four consecutive wins and are second in the Serie A table with 12 points and a goal difference of 13:6.
- In their last 10 Serie A matches, the Milan side have not been outperformed for shots on target.
- Meanwhile, Roma's opponents have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the competition.
Form and Line-up Roma
In the previous round, Roma beat Torino away from home 2:0 thanks to goals from Donyell Malen and Niccolo Pisilli. The Romans controlled the match confidently and did not allow their opponents to break down their defence.
Their defensive quality is also borne out by the overall figures: Roma concede an average of just 0.25 goals per game, ranking bottom for this metric. Moreover, in 9 of 10 Serie A home matches, opponents have struggled to get close to the Roman goal, taking no more than five corners.
- Roma have scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Roma's opponents have had no more than four shots on target in their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Roma have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Roma line-up (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar, Gianluca Mancini, Leonardo Balerdi, Mario Hermoso, Emanuele Lulli, Bryan Cristante, Niccolo Pisilli, Nahuel Molina, Paulo Dybala, Matias Soule, Donyell Malen.
Evan Ndicka is doubtful — his readiness to start has not been confirmed.
Form and Line-up Inter
In the previous round, Inter produced an entertaining match against Udinese, winning 5:3. The Milan side were 0:2 down during the game but turned it around and equalised before half-time.
In that match, the team took 10 corners, constantly putting pressure on the opposition penalty area. Their high scoring is also evident in the league's pre-match figures, where Inter lead with 3.25 goals scored per match.
- Inter have had at least five shots on target in their last 10 Serie A matches.
- Inter have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
- Inter have received no more than two yellow cards in their last 10 Serie A matches.
Probable Inter line-up (3-5-2): Josep Martinez, Manuel Akanji, John Stones, Alessandro Bastoni, Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Carlos Augusto, Marcus Thuram, Francesco Pio Esposito.
Hakan Calhanoglu and John Stones remain doubtful — their participation in the match has not been officially confirmed.
Team chances
The no-margin estimate gives Inter a 38.8% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.46 and fair odds of 2.58. Roma to win has a 34.7% chance, average odds of 2.75 and fair odds of 2.88; the draw is assessed at 26.5%, with odds of 3.60 and fair odds of 3.77.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma to win | 2.75 | 2.88 | 34.7% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 3.77 | 26.5% |
| Inter to win | 2.46 | 2.58 | 38.8% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is notably more favoured than Under 2.5 goals at 2.22. For a total of 2, odds of 1.25 for Over 2 goals and 3.50 for Under 2 goals underline the expectation of at least two goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is shorter at 1.51, while Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.41.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.22 | 1.60 |
| 2 | 3.50 | 1.25 |
| 3.5 | 1.51 | 2.41 |
Handicap Prediction
Inter Draw No Bet at 1.84 is slightly shorter than Roma Draw No Bet at 1.90, so the market gives the visitors a slight edge.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.90 | 0 | 1.84 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Roma — 1.5 goals, Inter — 1.5 goals.
Roma Team Total Goals
Roma's team total: Over 0.5 goals is 1.21 compared with 3.85 for Under 0.5 goals; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is available at 1.37 and Under 1 goal at 2.95. At the 1.5-goal mark, the odds are closer: Under 1.5 goals — 1.70, Over 1.5 goals — 2.06. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 goals is more favoured at 1.28, while Over 2 goals is 3.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.85 | 0.5 | 1.21 |
| 2.95 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 1.70 | 1.5 | 2.06 |
| 1.28 | 2 | 3.50 |
Inter Team Total Goals
Inter's team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 3.95. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.74 and Over 1.5 goals is 2.01. At the 2-goal mark, the market also favours Under 2 goals at 1.30 over Over 2 goals at 3.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 1.74 | 1.5 | 2.01 |
| 1.30 | 2 | 3.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Massa (Italy)
Matches — 18 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 28;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.5;
Matches with red cards — 4 of 18;
Matches with penalties — 5 of 18.
