Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Lazio are slight favourites: an away win is available at 2.55, compared with 2.95 for a Udinese win, while the draw is 3.15. Under 2.5 goals is clearly favoured over Over 2.5, at 1.62 versus 2.30. In the handicap market, Lazio Draw No Bet at 1.78 is shorter than Udinese Draw No Bet at 2.05.
Why Lazio are favourites for the match
The bookmakers give the visitors a moderate edge: Lazio to win is available at 2.55, the draw at 3.15 and an Udinese win at 2.95.
• League position: Lazio have taken six points from six at the start of the season and sit sixth, while Udinese are seventh with four points.
• Defensive reliability: Lazio have started without conceding a goal and remain one of three teams with clean sheets after two rounds.
Form and Line-up Udinese
Udinese began the league season with a 1:1 home draw against Como and a 3:2 away win over Monza. Kosta Runjaic's side average 2.0 goals per game; only Roma and Inter have scored more often.
Defender Hassane Kamara attributes the confident start to cohesion and a third season under the same manager, highlighting in particular the automatic understanding with Jurgen Ekkelenkamp on the left flank.
Key numbers:
• No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Udinese's last 10 Serie A home matches.
• Udinese's opponents scored no more than once in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home games.
• Udinese and their opponents had no more than nine shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Udinese line-up (3-4-2-1): Maduka Okoye — James Abankwah, Christian Kabasele, Oumar Solet — Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlstrom, Jakub Piotrowski, Hassane Kamara — Unai Gomez, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp — Keinan Davis
Absentees: Nicolo Zaniolo, Matteo Palma, Giorgi Chakvetadze (injuries)
Form and Line-up Lazio
Lazio are in their first season under Gennaro Gattuso, who took charge in July 2026. In the last round, on 30 August, the Romans beat Genoa 1:0 at home thanks to a Davide Frattesi goal in the first half. The Eagles have only won so far, and only kept clean sheets — three times including the cup.
Key numbers:
• No more than two goals were scored in 8 of Lazio's last 10 Serie A away matches.
• Lazio and their opponents had no more than nine shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away games.
• Lazio had no more than 12 shots, including blocked attempts, in 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Probable Lazio line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas — Romano Floriani, Danilo Duki, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares — Davide Frattesi, Reda Belahyane, Kenneth Taylor — Matteo Cancellieri, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni
Absentees: Nicolo Rovella, Adam Marusic, Danilo Cataldi, Fisayo Dele-Bashiru, Luca Pellegrini, Patric (injuries), Alessio Romagnoli (doubtful)
Team chances
Lazio to win is 2.55; the fair odds assessment is 2.67 and 37.4%. Udinese to win is 2.95, with fair odds of 3.09 and 32.3%, while the draw is 3.15, 3.30 and 30.3% respectively: the visitors hold only a moderate advantage.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Udinese to win | 2.95 | 3.09 | 32.3% |
Draw | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
Lazio to win | 2.55 | 2.67 | 37.4% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.62, compared with 2.30 for Over 2.5, indicating expectations of a low-scoring match. At the line of 2, Over is shorter at 1.75 than Under at 2.03; at 3.5, Under holds a clear edge at 1.20 versus 4.20 for Over.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
2 | 2.03 | 1.75 |
3.5 | 1.20 | 4.20 |
Handicap prediction
Lazio (-1.5) is shorter at 5.30 than Udinese (-1.5) at 6.20. At the +1.5 handicap, the odds are close: Lazio (+1.5) is 1.07 and Udinese (+1.5) is 1.11. For the -1 line, Lazio (-1) is shorter at 4.30 than Udinese (-1) at 5.20; at +1, Lazio (+1) is 1.11 and Udinese (+1) is 1.16. In the Draw No Bet market, Lazio are favoured at 1.78, while Udinese are 2.05.
Home | Handicap | Away |
6.20 | -1.5 | 5.30 |
1.11 | 1.5 | 1.07 |
5.20 | -1 | 4.30 |
1.16 | 1 | 1.11 |
2.05 | 0 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No is slightly shorter at 1.80 than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.95: at least one team is more likely not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.95 |
No | 1.80 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds are for 12 at 1.38; X2 is 1.42 and 1X is 1.53. The market rates the no-draw option and outcomes favouring Lazio or the draw slightly more highly.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.53 | 1.38 | 1.42 |
Team totals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Udinese — 1 goal; Lazio — 1 goal.
Udinese team total
Udinese team total: Over 0.5 goals is shorter at 1.42 than Under 0.5 goals at 2.65. At the line of 1, Under is 1.78 versus 1.98 for Over, while at 1.5, Under is favoured at 1.35 versus 3.00 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.65 | 0.5 | 1.42 |
1.78 | 1 | 1.98 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 3.00 |
Lazio team total
Lazio team total: Over 0.5 goals is clearly shorter at 1.35 than Under 0.5 goals at 2.90. At the line of 1, Over at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Under at 1.95, while at 1.5, Under is 1.42 versus 2.65 for Over.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
1.95 | 1 | 1.80 |
1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Paride Tremolada (Italy)
Matches — 17 (Serie A, Serie B, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.7;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 17;
Matches with penalties — 7 of 17.
