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11 April 2025, 19:45
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Udinese vs AC Milan: prediction & betting odds 11 April 2025

Published: 2 April 2025 09:37
Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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A demanding phase of the season for both Udinese Calcio and AC Milan means neither side can afford to relax as the Serie A campaign nears its conclusion. Udinese Calcio are without a win in their last four league fixtures, while AC Milan are navigating a congested fixture list. As the curtain-raiser for the Italian football weekend, this match is likely to be fiercely contested.

Udinese Calcio

Since 21 February, five of Udinese Calcio’s last six Serie A matches have seen Total Under 2.5 goals. After a spirited performance in Milan against Inter Milan (1:2), the team delivered a flat display away to Genoa (0:1, 1.11 xG). Injuries to key players have noticeably hampered their attacking threat, leaving striker Lorenzo Lucca with limited opportunities in front of goal. At home, the mid-table squad have managed just 19 goals in 15 league outings — the lowest tally among the current top 10.

AC Milan

Despite a 1:2 loss to Napoli and a 2:2 draw against Fiorentina, AC Milan remain in the hunt for a European place. In Florence, backup forwards stepped up, while Álex Jiménez’s goal drought stretched to eight matches, including appearances for the national team. In 2025, AC Milan recorded the highest expected goals (xG) statistic in Serie A at 27.06, but a lack of precision in front of goal has yielded just 21 actual goals — the second-worst conversion rate over that span.

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan Prediction

Back in mid-October, Udinese Calcio narrowly lost 0:1 at San Siro, with an early strike from Samuel Chukwueze proving decisive for AC Milan.

Betting prediction
Total Under 3
Cf
Odds
11/20
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Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,5 %
Win rate
-6,2 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
385
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Udinese

K. Runjaic
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Maduka Okoye
gk. 18 -26
Jaka Bijol
df. 29 1
Kingsley Ehizibue
df. 28 0
Hasan Kamara
df. 24 1
Thomas Kristensen
df. 19 0
Oumar Solet
df. 12 1
Jesper Karlstrom
mf. 30 0
Sandi Lovric
mf. 30 2
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
mf. 27 3
Arthur Atta
mf. 21 0
Lorenzo Lucca
fw. 30 10
Substitutes
Răzvan Sergiu Sava
gk. 12 -16
Christian Kabasele
df. 13 1
Lautaro Daniel Giannetti
df. 12 1
Martin Payero
mf. 21 1
Oier Zarraga
mf. 17 0
Rui Modesto
mf. 14 0
Simone Pafundi
mf. 5 0
Iker Bravo
fw. 23 2
Damian Pizarro
fw. 0 0
AC Milan

Sérgio Conceição
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Mike Maignan
gk. 29 -35
Theo Hernandez
df. 28 3
Matteo Gabbia
df. 19 1
Strahinja Pavlovic
df. 17 1
Alejandro Jimenez
df. 15 0
Fikayo Tomori
df. 15 0
Tijani Reijnders
mf. 30 9
Youssouf Fofana
mf. 29 1
Christian Pulisic
mf. 27 9
Luka Jović
fw. 9 2
Substitutes
Marco Sportiello
gk. 1 -2
Lorenzo Torriani
gk. 0 0
Malick Thiaw
df. 21 0
Davide Bartesaghi
df. 2 0
Alessandro Florenzi
df. 0 0
Yunus Musah
mf. 25 0
Filippo Terracciano
mf. 10 0
Warren Pierre Bondo
mf. 4 0
Tammy Abraham
fw. 25 3
Samuel Chukwueze
fw. 23 3
Francesco Camarda
fw. 9 0
João Félix
fw. 9 0

Latest team matches

Udinese
4 April, 2025
Serie A
Genoa
Udinese
1
0
L
30 March, 2025
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Inter Milan
Udinese
2
1
L
15 March, 2025
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Udinese
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0
1
L
10 March, 2025
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Lazio
Udinese
1
1
D
1 March, 2025
Serie A
Udinese
Parma
1
0
W
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AC Milan
5 April, 2025
Serie A
AC Milan
Fiorentina
2
2
D
2 April, 2025
Coppa Italia
AC Milan
Inter Milan
1
1
D
30 March, 2025
Serie A
Napoli
AC Milan
2
1
L
15 March, 2025
Serie A
AC Milan
Como
2
1
W
8 March, 2025
Serie A
Lecce
AC Milan
2
3
W
Show more Hide

H2H: Udinese — AC Milan

Serie A 2024-2025
19 October, 2024
AC Milan
Udinese
1
0
Serie A 2023-2024
20 January, 2024
Udinese
AC Milan
2
3
4 November, 2023
AC Milan
Udinese
0
1
Serie A 2022-2023
18 March, 2023
Udinese
AC Milan
3
1
13 August, 2022
AC Milan
Udinese
4
2
Serie A 2021-2022
25 February, 2022
AC Milan
Udinese
1
1
11 December, 2021
Udinese
AC Milan
1
1
Serie A 2020-2021
3 March, 2021
AC Milan
Udinese
1
1
1 November, 2020
Udinese
AC Milan
1
2
Serie A 2019-2020
19 January, 2020
AC Milan
Udinese
3
2
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
Napoli
38 24 10 4 59:27 82
Inter Milan
38 24 9 5 79:35 81
Atalanta
38 22 8 8 78:37 74
Juventus
38 18 16 4 58:35 70
Roma
38 20 9 9 56:35 69
Fiorentina
38 19 8 11 60:41 65
7
Lazio
38 18 11 9 61:49 65
8
Milan
38 18 9 11 61:43 63
9
Bologna
38 16 14 8 57:47 62
10
Como 1907
38 13 10 15 49:52 49
11
Torino
38 10 14 14 39:45 44
12
Udineze
38 12 8 18 41:56 44
13
Genoa
38 10 13 15 37:49 43
14
Hellas Verona
38 10 7 21 34:66 37
15
Cagliari
38 9 9 20 40:56 36
16
Parma
38 7 15 16 44:58 36
17
Lecce
38 8 10 20 27:58 34
18
Empoli
38 6 13 19 33:59 31
19
Venezia
38 5 14 19 32:56 29
20
Monza
38 3 9 26 28:69 18
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Roma
5 4 0 1 8:3 12
2
Milan
5 4 0 1 10:5 12
3
Napoli
5 3 2 0 7:2 11
4
Juventus
5 3 2 0 9:4 11
5
Atalanta
5 3 1 1 12:7 10
6
Inter Milan
5 3 1 1 7:3 10
7
Como 1907
5 3 1 1 6:4 10
8
Fiorentina
5 3 0 2 9:8 9
9
Lecce
5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10
Cagliari
5 2 0 3 7:7 6
11
Empoli
5 2 0 3 7:7 6
12
Lazio
5 1 3 1 6:6 6
13
Hellas Verona
5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14
Parma
5 1 2 2 6:7 5
15
Genoa
5 1 1 3 8:9 4
16
Udineze
5 1 1 3 5:8 4
17
Venezia
5 1 1 3 5:10 4
18
Monza
5 1 0 4 3:12 3
19
Bologna
5 0 2 3 5:10 2
20
Torino
5 0 1 4 1:8 1
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Napoli
19 14 3 2 32:13 45
2
Inter Milan
19 13 4 2 40:21 43
3
Roma
19 13 2 4 37:15 41
4
Fiorentina
19 12 4 3 32:18 40
5
Juventus
19 11 7 1 31:15 40
6
Bologna
19 10 7 2 33:18 37
7
Milan
19 9 7 3 30:16 34
8
Atalanta
19 9 5 5 36:24 32
9
Lazio
19 7 9 3 33:26 30
10
Como 1907
19 8 5 6 28:26 29
11
Torino
19 6 7 6 17:18 25
12
Udineze
19 7 3 9 22:27 24
13
Cagliari
19 6 4 9 24:28 22
14
Genoa
19 5 7 7 21:25 22
15
Parma
19 5 6 8 25:28 21
16
Venezia
19 5 5 9 17:22 20
17
Lecce
19 4 6 9 13:31 18
18
Hellas Verona
19 4 5 10 15:36 17
19
Empoli
19 2 7 10 10:26 13
20
Monza
19 1 5 13 13:31 8
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Atalanta
19 13 3 3 42:13 42
2
Inter Milan
19 11 5 3 39:14 38
3
Napoli
19 10 7 2 27:14 37
4
Lazio
19 11 2 6 28:23 35
5
Juventus
19 7 9 3 27:20 30
6
Milan
19 9 2 8 31:27 29
7
Roma
19 7 7 5 19:20 28
8
Fiorentina
19 7 4 8 28:23 25
9
Bologna
19 6 7 6 24:29 25
10
Genoa
19 5 6 8 16:24 21
11
Como 1907
19 5 5 9 21:26 20
12
Udineze
19 5 5 9 19:29 20
13
Hellas Verona
19 6 2 11 19:30 20
14
Torino
19 4 7 8 22:27 19
15
Empoli
19 4 6 9 23:33 18
16
Lecce
19 4 4 11 14:27 16
17
Parma
19 2 9 8 19:30 15
18
Cagliari
19 3 5 11 16:28 14
19
Monza
19 2 4 13 15:38 10
20
Venezia
19 0 9 10 15:34 9
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Relegation to Seria B
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Udinese vs AC Milan Odds

OVER/UNDER
TOTAL HOME GOALS
TOTAL AWAY GOALS
BookieOVER ()UNDER ()
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