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20 April 2025, 20:00
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Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao: prediction & betting odds 20 April 2025

Published: 10 April 2025 07:48
Author: Simon Dalton Simon Dalton
Fact checked by: Alex Tarabrin Alex Tarabrin
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Real Madrid are still firmly in the title race and cannot afford any slip-ups, currently sitting four points behind Barcelona with seven rounds to go. Their Champions League elimination and a recent home loss to Valencia will only increase their desire to respond. Athletic Bilbao are also pushing for a top-four finish, though their current position in the standings gives them some breathing room.

Real Madrid

Real Madrid have won four of their last five league outings, with their only defeat coming in stoppage time against Valencia (1:2). They are second in both the league standings and in total goals scored, with 64. At the Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid have collected 37 points — the best home record in La Liga — and have scored in 14 of their 15 home fixtures. Kylian Mbappé will miss the game against Athletic Bilbao, but the hosts still have a wealth of attacking talent. Vinícius Júnior, Rodrygo Goes, and Jude Bellingham have netted a combined 25 league goals, while Endrick Sousa has five goals in as many Copa del Rey appearances.

Athletic Bilbao 

Athletic Bilbao have found it tough away from home this season, suffering defeats against Girona, Barcelona, and Atlético Madrid. They possess the fifth-best attacking record in the league with 49 goals, but defensive vulnerabilities continue to plague them. In eight of their last ten away matches, Athletic Bilbao have made at least one costly defensive mistake. They've also conceded in draws against relegation-threatened opponents such as Real Valladolid (1:1) and Alavés (1:1).

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Real Madrid need all three points to stay in the hunt for the title, and the statistics back them up. They are unbeaten in their last 19 home matches against Athletic Bilbao, drawing just three times in that run. Given the visitors' persistent defensive issues on the road, Real Madrid are well placed to take all the points and maintain pressure on Barcelona.

Betting prediction
Real Madrid to win or draw + Total Over 1.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
9/20
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Forecast author

Simon Dalton
Simon Dalton
Expert
About author:

I have had an interest in sports since I was just a child, football being my main passion. These days I follow all the main sports and most of the minor ones too! I have been betting for a little over 10 years and have taught myself how to analyse the various tournaments, games and teams. I think there is a good chance that I can identify betting value and make my long run performance a positive one.

Interests:
Football, tennis, basketball, ice hockey
5 yrs. 1 mo.
Time on site
55,5 %
Win rate
-6,2 %
ROI
1.70
Avg. Odds
385
Forecasts made
10
Winning streak
Statistics for the last 30 days

Team lineups

Real Madrid

C. Ancelotti
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Thibaut Сourtois
gk. 26 -22
Antonio Rüdiger
df. 29 0
Asencio
df. 18 0
Federico Valverde
mf. 30 6
Luka Modrić
mf. 30 2
Aurelien Tchouameni
mf. 27 0
Jude Bellingham
mf. 26 8
Eduardo Camavinga
mf. 18 1
Daniel Ceballos
mf. 17 0
Rodrygo Goes
fw. 29 6
Vinisius Junior
fw. 26 11
Substitutes
Andriy Lunin
gk. 5 -7
Fran Fran
gk. 1 -2
Lucas Vázquez
df. 27 1
Fran García
df. 25 0
David Alaba
df. 6 0
Jesús Vallejo
df. 1 0
Brahim Díaz
mf. 27 4
Arda Guler
mf. 22 1
Endrick Endrick
fw. 18 1
Athletic Bilbao

Ernesto Valverde
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Unai Simón
gk. 15 -11
Aitor Paredes
df. 20 3
Andoni Gorosabel
df. 18 0
Adama Boiro
df. 15 0
Unai Núñez
df. 8 0
Unai Gomez
mf. 27 1
Benat Prados Diaz
mf. 26 1
Mikel Vesga
mf. 21 0
Gorka Guruzeta
fw. 31 6
Álex Remiro
fw. 31 5
Álvaro Djaló Dias-Fernandes
fw. 15 1
Substitutes
Julen Agirrezabala Astúlez
gk. 14 -9
Dani Vivian
df. 26 3
Yuri Berchiche
df. 25 0
Oscar De Marcos
df. 22 0
Yeray Álvarez
df. 18 1
Iñigo Lekue
df. 12 0
Mikel Jauregizar
mf. 28 2
Oihan Sancet
mf. 24 15
Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta
mf. 20 0
Peio Canales Urtasun
mf. 6 0
Iñaki Williams
fw. 31 5
Maroan Sannadi
fw. 10 1

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Athletic Bilbao
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H2H: Real Madrid — Athletic Bilbao

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4 December, 2024
Athletic Bilbao
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2
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La Liga 2023-2024
31 March, 2024
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12 August, 2023
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4 June, 2023
Real Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
1
1
22 January, 2023
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
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2
Copa del Rey 2021-2022
3 February, 2022
Athletic Bilbao
Real Madrid
1
0
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Athletic Bilbao
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2
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1
0
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14 January, 2021
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Athletic Bilbao
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2
Show more Hide

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Tables

# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Barcelona
38 28 4 6 102:39 88
2
Real Madrid
38 26 6 6 78:38 84
3
Atlético de Madrid
38 22 10 6 68:30 76
4
Athletic Club
38 19 13 6 54:29 70
5
Villarreal
38 20 10 8 71:51 70
6
Betis
38 16 12 10 57:50 60
7
Celta Vigo
38 16 7 15 59:57 55
8
Rayo Vallecano
38 13 13 12 41:45 52
9
Osasuna
38 12 16 10 48:52 52
10
Mallorca
38 13 9 16 35:44 48
11
Real Sociedad
38 13 7 18 35:46 46
12
Valencia
38 11 13 14 44:54 46
13
Getafe
38 11 9 18 34:39 42
14
Espanyol
38 11 9 18 40:51 42
15
Alaves
38 10 12 16 38:48 42
16
Girona
38 11 8 19 44:60 41
17
Sevilla
38 10 11 17 42:55 41
18
Leganes
38 9 13 16 39:56 40
19
Las Palmas
38 8 8 22 40:61 32
20
Valladolid
38 4 4 30 26:90 16
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Real Madrid
19 16 1 2 45:19 49
2
Atlético de Madrid
19 14 4 1 42:15 46
3
Barcelona
19 14 1 4 52:20 43
4
Athletic Club
19 11 6 2 32:13 39
5
Celta Vigo
19 11 3 5 32:21 36
6
Osasuna
19 10 6 3 33:23 36
7
Villarreal
19 9 7 3 43:27 34
8
Betis
19 9 7 3 32:21 34
9
Valencia
19 9 4 6 26:20 31
10
Espanyol
19 8 6 5 23:20 30
11
Real Sociedad
19 8 3 8 20:20 27
12
Mallorca
19 7 6 6 20:21 27
13
Rayo Vallecano
19 6 8 5 24:26 26
14
Leganes
19 7 4 8 23:27 25
15
Girona
19 7 3 9 27:30 24
16
Alaves
19 6 6 7 14:17 24
17
Sevilla
19 6 6 7 17:23 24
18
Getafe
19 4 7 8 15:19 19
19
Las Palmas
19 4 5 10 21:29 17
20
Valladolid
19 3 4 12 11:32 13
# Team Form Matches played W D L G Points
1
Barcelona
19 14 3 2 50:19 45
2
Villarreal
19 11 3 5 28:24 36
3
Real Madrid
19 10 5 4 33:19 35
4
Athletic Club
19 8 7 4 22:16 31
5
Atlético de Madrid
19 8 6 5 26:15 30
6
Rayo Vallecano
19 7 5 7 17:19 26
7
Betis
19 7 5 7 25:29 26
8
Getafe
19 7 2 10 19:20 23
9
Mallorca
19 6 3 10 15:23 21
10
Celta Vigo
19 5 4 10 27:36 19
11
Real Sociedad
19 5 4 10 15:26 19
12
Alaves
19 4 6 9 24:31 18
13
Sevilla
19 4 5 10 25:32 17
14
Girona
19 4 5 10 17:30 17
15
Osasuna
19 2 10 7 15:29 16
16
Las Palmas
19 4 3 12 19:32 15
17
Leganes
19 2 9 8 16:29 15
18
Valencia
19 2 9 8 18:34 15
19
Espanyol
19 3 3 13 17:31 12
20
Valladolid
19 1 0 18 15:58 3
Legend
Qualification/Elimination
Promotion - Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion - Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation - LaLiga2
Glossary
# Place
Matches played Games played
W Wins
D Draws
L Losses
G Goals

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Odds

TOTAL HOME GOALS
BookieOVER ()UNDER ()
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