The Matchday 33 clash in the Bundesliga between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund will take place on May 11 at the BayArena in Leverkusen. Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Bayer Leverkusen
Leverkusen shared the spoils with Freiburg (2-2) in the last round, thus losing their chances of defending the title: they trail Bayern by 8 points. However, Xabi Alonso's side has extended their unbeaten run in the league to seven matches (4 wins, 3 draws), and only in one game during this period did they fail to score. Overall, Bayer has scored 68 goals, the second-highest in the tournament. However, in their triumphant season, the club had scored 82 goals by this time.
- At home, Leverkusen has not conceded more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- The team has not lost in 14 of their last 15 home league games (10 wins, 4 draws).
- Bayer has not scored in the second half in 4 of their last 5 home matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Bayer Leverkusen (4-5-1)
Matej Kovar – Jeremie Frimpong, Jonathan Tah, Alejandro Grimaldo, Edmond Tapsoba – Piero Hincapié, Granit Xhaka, Florian Wirtz, Aleix Garcia, Emiliano Buendia – Patrik Schick.
Defender Mario Hermoso is injured.
Borussia Dortmund
Niko Kovac's side thrashed Wolfsburg 4-0 at home in the last round, securing their fifth win in the last six league matches (1 draw). Moreover, Dortmund managed to end a seven-game streak of conceding goals in this tournament. Borussia's attack is consistent: they have scored at least two goals in their last six Bundesliga matches. The club has climbed to fifth place in the standings.
- Both teams scored in 5 of Dortmund's last 6 league matches.
- Away from home, Borussia has not lost in 5 of their last 7 Bundesliga matches (4 wins, 1 draw).
- The team has conceded exactly 1 or 2 goals in 7 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament.
Predicted lineup for Borussia Dortmund (4-5-1)
Gregor Kobel – Daniel Svensson, Ramy Bensebaini, Niklas Sule, Waldemar Anton – Julian Ryerson, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, Felix Nmecha, Pascal Gross, Julian Brandt – Serhou Guirassy.
Striker Maximilian Beyer and defender Nico Schlotterbeck are injured.
Referee
Deniz Aytekin (Germany)
Matches – 22 (Bundesliga, 2023/24 - 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.3;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 27%.
Match Prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs. Borussia Dortmund
It seems even Leverkusen themselves didn't believe they could defend the title. Too often this season, the team dropped points, and constant rumors surrounding Xabi Alonso didn't help their form. Since Matchday 28, Bayer has been struggling: a last-minute win over relegation-battling Heidenheim, two draws with lower-table opponents – the slump came at the worst possible time.
Dortmund, on the other hand, is in their best form this season. Niko Kovac's side is on a six-match unbeaten run in the league, with only Bayern managing to prevent them from winning. Notably, the team is highly motivated for a Champions League spot at the end of the tournament.
Borussia has not lost to Leverkusen at their ground in 5 of the last 7 Bundesliga meetings. Moreover, Dortmund took points from Bayer twice during their championship campaign. Currently, Xabi Alonso's side is weaker. My prediction: Borussia Dortmund to win or draw
