Form and Line-up: Bayern Munich
In the closing stretch of the season Bayern Munich failed to accomplish their main task, surrendering a Champions League final place to Paris Saint-Germain (5:6 on aggregate). Last weekend the club lost to an in-form Wolfsburg side (1:0). The visitors scored in Wolfsburg only thanks to a precise strike from Olise after the break – before that Kane had missed a penalty. Strangely enough, the team generated one and a half times less xG than their opponents from the relegation play-off zone (1.86-3.07).
Key numbers: Bayern Munich
The club is by some distance the best in the Bundesliga for actual goals (117) and xG (101.99).
Bayern Munich have dropped only seven points at home – 13 wins in 16 matches and 41 points.
Bayern Munich have gone over 3.5 goals in 25 of their 33 league matches.
Probable Bayern Munich line-up (4-2-3-1): Jonas Urbig – Tom Bischof, Hiroki Ito, Kim Min-Jae, Josip Stanisic – Leon Goretzka, Joshua Kimmich – Luis Diaz, Jamal Musiala, Michael Olise – Harry Kane.
Absentees: Serge Gnabry, Alphonso Davies (both injured).
Form and Line-up: Koln
Koln have had poor numbers for almost all of 2026. During the March international break the club decided on a coaching reshuffle, but Wagner's arrival has only slightly improved the results. In the last three rounds the team have conceded seven goals in total, suffering, for example, a home defeat against bottom side Heidenheim (1:3). The visitors produced a respectable 1.36 xG with 34% possession.
Key numbers: Koln
The team have picked up 13 points away from home – only Heidenheim and St. Pauli have fewer (both 9).
Koln have not won away from home since the start of October (six draws and six defeats).
Koln have conceded 15 goals in Munich across the last five head-to-head meetings.
Probable Koln line-up (4-2-3-1): Marvin Schwabe – Kristoffer Lund, Cenk Ozkacar, Joel Schmied, Sebastian Sebulonsen – Isak Johannesson, Eric Martel – Said El Mala, Jakub Kaminski, Linton Maina – Marius Bulter.
Absentees: Tom Krauss, Timo Hubers, Ragnar Ache (all injured).
Who Will Referee the Match
Deniz Aytekin (Germany)
Matches – 11 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 40;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.6;
Red cards shown – 6;
Average fouls per match – 20;
Penalties – 18%.
