Odds overview
Bradford City are clear favourites at 1.76 to win: the draw is available at 3.85 and Peterborough United at 4.90. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.82 is slightly shorter than Under 2.5 at 1.98. For the main handicap, Bradford City (0) at 1.27 are strongly favoured over Peterborough United (0) at 3.40.
Why Bradford City are match favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 1.72 for a Bradford City win (equivalent to an approximately 55.6% probability without accounting for the margin). Peterborough United are quoted at 4.90 to win, while the draw is available at 3.85.
• Limiting opponents' attacks remains a strength for the hosts: Bradford City's opponents scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 EFL Cup matches.
• Peterborough United's away figures show vulnerability under pressure: opponents had at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 away EFL Cup matches, while Peterborough United recorded fewer shots on target than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 matches in the competition.
• However, there were fewer than 3.5 goals in 8 of Peterborough United's last 10 away cup matches, so the opposition's attacking potential does not necessarily point to an open contest.
Form and Line-up Bradford City
In League One, Bradford City have had a run of low-scoring matches: they drew 0:0 with Oxford United, Burton Albion and Leyton Orient, and beat Stevenage Borough 2:0. Their only emphatic result came in another competition — a 4:0 win over Rotherham United in the FA Trophy.
- Bradford City received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 EFL Cup matches.
- There were more than 9.5 corners in 8 of Bradford City's last 10 EFL Cup matches.
- There were more than 7.5 shots on target in 8 of Bradford City's last 10 EFL Cup matches.
Probable Bradford City line-up: Jon McCracken, Ibou Touray, Callum Connolly, Antoni Sarcevic, Aden Baldwin, George Pratt, Kayden Jackson, Will Swan, Corey O'Keeffe, Matt Pennington, George Lapslie
Form and Line-up Peterborough United
Peterborough United have had mixed results in the third tier: they drew with Bromley (1:1) and Burton Albion (2:2), lost to Huddersfield Town (1:4) and beat Leicester City (3:1). In the FA Trophy, the visitors comfortably beat Ipswich Town's youth side (4:1). Winger Owura Edwards said that, since Robbie Savage's arrival, the emphasis has shifted towards aggressive pressing and quick transitions into attack after winning possession.
- Opponents committed more than 9.5 fouls in 8 of Peterborough United's last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Peterborough United were caught offside fewer than 2.5 times in 8 of their last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
- Peterborough United's opponents received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away EFL Cup matches.
Probable Peterborough United line-up (4-2-3-1): Alex Bass, Carl Johnston, Lucca Mendonca, Joshua Feeney, Harley Mills, Liam Kelly, Harry Ashfield, Bolu Shofowoke, Ethan Williams, Owura Edwards, Harry Leonard
Ben Woods is doubtful because of a knee problem. Sam Hughes is returning from a long-term injury, but it has yet to be confirmed whether he will start the cup match.
Teams' chances
Bradford City to win: average odds of 1.72, fair odds of 1.80 and a 55.6% probability. The draw is available at 3.85, with fair odds of 4.02 and a 24.9% probability. Peterborough United to win is quoted at 4.90, with fair odds of 5.12 and a 19.5% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bradford City to win | 1.76 | 1.80 | 55.6% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.02 | 24.9% |
| Peterborough United to win | 4.90 | 5.12 | 19.5% |
Total goals betting markets
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 1.98 and Over 2.5 at 1.82, so the market favours at least three goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.38 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.98 | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 1.38 | 2.80 |
Handicap betting markets
Bradford City (-1.5) at 2.75 are at considerably longer odds than Peterborough United (+1.5) at 1.40. On the one-goal line, Bradford City (-1) are quoted at 2.25, while Peterborough United (+1) are at 1.65. Bradford City (0) at 1.27 are considerably shorter than Peterborough United (0) at 3.40.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.75 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | |
| 2.25 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.65 | |
| 1.27 | 0 | 3.40 |
Both teams to score betting market
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.78, while Both teams to score — No is at 1.98; the market considers goals from both sides slightly more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.98 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
9/50
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goal totals betting markets
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Bradford City — 1.5 goals; Peterborough United — 1 goal.
Bradford City team goal totals
Bradford City team goal totals: Under 0.5 is 5.10 and Over 0.5 is 1.12; Under 1 is 3.80 and Over 1 is 1.22. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 2.00 and Over 1.5 at 1.75, while at the two-goal line, Under 2 at 1.50 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.50.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.10 | 0.5 | 1.12 |
| 3.80 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 2.00 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.50 |
Peterborough United team goal totals
Peterborough United team goal totals: Under 0.5 is quoted at 2.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.53. At the one-goal line, Under 1 at 1.62 is shorter than Over 1 at 2.20, while at 1.5 goals, Under 1.5 at 1.28 is strongly favoured over Over 1.5 at 3.30.
| Under | Team goal total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.40 | 0.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.62 | 1 | 2.20 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Thomas Kirk (England)
Matches — 11 (Premier League and English cup competitions, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.45;
Matches with a red card — 3 of 11;
Matches with a penalty — 4 of 11.
