The Matchday 25 clash in the Premier League between Brighton and Chelsea will take place on February 14 at the Amex Stadium in Falmer. Brighton vs. Chelsea: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Brighton
In the previous round, the team suffered its heaviest league defeat since the 1958/59 season. Playing away, the club lost 0-7 to Nottingham Forest. Before that, Fabian Hurzeler's side also lost at home to Everton (0-1). Brighton remains mid-table but is now seven points adrift of the European competition spots.
Defenders Ferdi Kadioglu and Pervis Estupinan, goalkeeper Jason Steele, and midfielders Solly March, James Milner, and Mats Wieffer will miss the game due to injuries.
- In their last 12 Premier League matches, the club has only secured two victories (6 draws and 4 losses).
- Both teams have scored in 12 of Brighton's last 16 Premier League games.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 5 of the club's last 6 home league matches.
Predicted lineup for Brighton (4-2-3-1)
Bart Verbruggen – Tariq Lamptey, Jan Paul van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Joel Veltman – Jack Hinshelwood, Jorginho Rutter – Yankuba Minteh, Kaoru Mitoma, Joao Pedro Jesus – Danny Welbeck.
Chelsea
The Londoners claimed a comeback victory in the derby against West Ham (2-1) in the last round. This was the team's second consecutive home win in the league (having previously defeated Wolverhampton 3-1). However, between these victories, Enzo Maresca's side lost away to Manchester City (1-3). The club has returned to the top four, but the gap to City is only two points.
Due to injuries, midfielders Omari Kellyman and Romeo Lavia, as well as defenders Wesley Fofana and Benoit Badiashile, are unavailable. Forward Mykhailo Mudryk continues to serve a suspension due to a failed doping test.
- Both teams have scored in Chelsea's last five Premier League encounters.
- At least three goals have been scored in 10 of the Londoners' last 13 league matches.
- The number "1" has appeared in the final score in 13 of the club's last 18 Premier League matches.
Predicted lineup for Chelsea (4-2-3-1)
Philip Jorgensen – Levi Colwill, Reece James, Marc Cucurella, Tosin Adarabioyo – Enzo Fernandez, Moises Caicedo – Jadon Sancho, Cole Palmer, Noni Madueke – Nicolas Jackson.
Referee
Chris Kavanagh (England)
Matches – 8 (Premier League, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 43;
Average yellow cards per match – 5.4;
Red cards shown – 1;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 0%.
Match Prediction: Brighton vs. Chelsea
The Londoners won the first-round match 4-2. The capital club also won both head-to-head meetings in the last Premier League season – 3-2 and 2-1. It seems the upcoming encounter will also bring three points to the visitors and be a high-scoring affair. I doubt Brighton will quickly recover from the heavy defeat to Nottingham, which highlighted all the club's defensive issues.
Additionally, Fabian Hurzeler's side has not won at home in their last five Premier League matches (3 draws and 2 losses), and in this series of games, the club only once faced a serious opponent. Chelsea, on the other hand, has lost just three times in their last 15 away league matches (8 wins and 4 draws). Therefore, with some caution, I suggest predicting that the visitors will not lose and there will be at least two goals. This bet has been successful in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head meetings at the Amex in the Premier League.
My prediction – Double chance X2 and Total Over 1.5 goals
