Odds Overview
Inter Milan are clear favourites: Inter Milan to win is priced at 1.45 compared with 7.70 for Cagliari to win, while the draw is 4.40. On the main total of 2.5, the odds are almost level — Under 2.5 at 1.88 and Over 2.5 at 1.92. On the handicap, Cagliari (+1.5) at 1.60 looks better priced than Inter Milan (-1.5) at 2.25.
Why Inter Milan Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the visitors a clear advantage: an Inter Milan win is priced at 1.45, the draw is offered at 4.40, and a Cagliari victory is 7.70.
- Inter Milan have not lost in their last 11 Italian league matches, showing consistent point-gathering form.
- Away from home, Inter Milan also maintain a high level: the team have not been outscored in 9 of their last 10 Serie A away matches.
Form and Line-up Cagliari
The Sardinians started with an away win over Parma (1:0) thanks to a thunderous long-range strike from Alessandro Romano in the second half. The team's game is built around compact defending and a restrained tempo: in 9 of their last 10 home league matches, the combined number of shots by both teams did not exceed 24.
Key numbers:
- There were no more than three goals in 9 of Cagliari's last 10 matches.
- Cagliari's opponents committed at least 12 fouls in 9 of their last 10 home league games.
- There were at least 9 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
Probable Cagliari line-up (4-3-2-1): Elia Caprile — Adam Obert, Camejo, Alessandro Deiola, Ze Pedro — Harry Winks, Alessandro Romano, Jacopo Fazzini — Daniel Maldini, Michel Adopo — Paul Mendy.
Absentees: Idrissi (injury).
Form and Line-up Inter Milan
The title defence began with a convincing 4:1, although the first half was even. The squad situation is stable: Josep Martinez is in goal, having become the successor to the departed Yann Sommer, while the settled back three is Bisseck — Akanji — Bastoni, with summer newcomer John Stones yet to break into it. Diouf plays on the right flank, having been retrained for that role last season because Spence was not ready.
Away from home, Inter Milan reliably control the flanks: in 10 of their last 10 Serie A away games, their opponents took no more than five corners.
Key numbers:
- Inter Milan scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 Serie A matches.
- In 10 of those same matches, the team had at least four shots on target.
- In head-to-head meetings with Cagliari, Inter Milan had more than 12.5 shots in 17 of the last 19 games.
Probable Inter Milan line-up (3-5-2): Josep Martinez — Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni — Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Hakan Calhanoglu, Piotr Zielinski, Federico Dimarco — Francesco Pio Esposito, Lautaro Martinez.
Team Chances
Cagliari to win is priced at 7.70; the no-margin price is 8.06 and the probability is 12.4%. The draw is 4.40, with a no-margin price of 4.61 and a probability of 21.7%. Inter Milan to win is 1.45; the no-margin price is 1.52 and the probability is 65.9%.
| Outcome | Average Odds | Average Odds Without Margin | No-Margin Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari to win | 7.70 | 8.06 | 12.4% |
| Draw | 4.40 | 4.61 | 21.7% |
| Inter Milan to win | 1.45 | 1.52 | 65.9% |
Total Goals Prediction
Under 2.5 is offered at 1.88, Over 2.5 at 1.92: the market barely singles out either option. On the 3.5 line, Under is noticeably shorter — 1.33 compared with 3.05 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.88 | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 1.33 | 3.05 |
Handicap Prediction
Inter Milan (-1.5) is offered at 2.25, while Cagliari (+1.5) is 1.60. On the 1 line, Inter Milan (-1) is 1.73, while Cagliari (+1) is 2.10. With a zero handicap, Inter Milan (0) at 1.12 is significantly shorter than Cagliari (0) at 5.00.
| Home Team | Handicap | Away Team |
|---|---|---|
| — | -1.5 | 2.25 |
| 1.60 | 1.5 | — |
| — | -1 | 1.73 |
| 2.10 | 1 | — |
| 5.00 | 0 | 1.12 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score — No is priced at 1.68 and rated higher than Both teams to score — Yes at 2.13: the expectation is that at least one team may fail to score.
| Both Teams To Score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.13 |
| No | 1.68 |
Double Chance Prediction
X2 is the shortest double chance at 1.11, 12 is available at 1.23, and 1X is 2.75.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
7/4
|
23/100
|
11/100
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Cagliari — 0.5 goals, Inter Milan — 2 goals.
Cagliari Team Total
Cagliari: Under 0.5 is offered at 1.85, with Over 0.5 at 1.90. Under 1 is 1.25 compared with 3.60 for Over 1, while Under 1.5 is 1.12 compared with 5.00 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.85 | 0.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.60 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 5.00 |
Inter Milan Team Total
Inter Milan: Over 0.5 is priced at 1.08 compared with 6.10 for Under 0.5. On the 1.5 line, Over at 1.65 is shorter than Under at 2.20; on the 2 line, Under is 1.65 and Over is 2.15. Under 2.5 is priced at 1.40, Over 2.5 at 2.75.
| Under | Team Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.10 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 2.20 | 1.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.65 | 2 | 2.15 |
| 1.40 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
