Odds overview
Croatia are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.51, compared with 4.50 for a draw and 6.00 for a Czech Republic win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 is considered considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.10. In the handicap market, the Czech Republic (+1.5) at 1.55 are favoured over Croatia (-1.5) at 2.32.
Why Croatia are favourites
Bookmakers make Croatia the favourites. A home win is available at 1.51, a draw at 4.50 and a Czech Republic win at 6.00.
- Croatia have players with vast international experience, such as Luka Modrić, Dominik Livaković and Mateo Kovačić.
- The Czech Republic have lost all five matches in this UEFA Nations League campaign, with an aggregate score of 2:12. League A is above their level.
Form and Line-up Croatia
Croatia played their last match away to England on 12 November, returning with a 1:2 defeat. Ivan Perišić could not help them in that match, and his availability on 15 November 2026 is also in doubt — he suffered a head injury in the latest round of Eredivisie matches. In the final round, the most Slaven Bilic's team can achieve is avoiding the relegation play-offs.
- Croatia have lost 6 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of Croatia's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Dominik Livaković, Ivan Smolcic, Josip Stanišić, Luka Vušković, Joško Gvardiol, Josip Mišić, Mateo Kovačić, Petar Sučić, Martin Baturina, Nikola Vlašić, Igor Matanović
Unavailable: Franjo Ivanović, Marin Pongračić, Kristijan Jakic, Josip Šutalo (injured); Luka Sučić, Ivan Perišić (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Czech Republic
The Czech Republic played their previous match on 12 November, hosting Spain and losing 0:2. They were also reduced to ten men midway through the second half when defender Ladislav Krejci was sent off with a straight red card. It was their fifth defeat in five Group A3 matches in the UEFA Nations League. They have almost no chance of avoiding relegation to League B — they need to make up a five-goal deficit to Serbia.
- The Czech Republic have not won any of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- The Czech Republic have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Matěj Kovář, Vladimír Coufal, David Zima, Tomas Vlcek, David Jurásek, Alex Král, Lukas Cerv, Lukas Ambros, Adam Hložek, Lukáš Provod, Ryan Naderi
Unavailable: Pavel Sulc, Robin Hranac, Ondrej Lingr, Michal Sacek (injured); Ladislav Krejci (suspended)
The teams' chances
A Croatia win has average odds of 1.51, with fair odds of 1.59 and a probability of 63.0%. A draw is offered at 4.50, with fair odds of 4.73 and a probability of 21.1%. A Czech Republic win is quoted at 6.00, with fair odds of 6.31 and a probability of 15.9%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia to win | 1.51 | 1.59 | 63.0% |
| Draw | 4.50 | 4.73 | 21.1% |
| Czech Republic to win | 6.00 | 6.31 | 15.9% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.10, while Over 2.5 goals is at 1.67. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is offered at 3.15 against 1.31 for Over 2. For the 3.5-goal total, Under 3.5 is quoted at 1.43 and Over 3.5 at 2.63.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.10 | 1.67 |
| 2 | 3.15 | 1.31 |
| 3.5 | 1.43 | 2.63 |
Handicap prediction
Croatia (-1.5) are available at 2.32, while the Czech Republic (+1.5) are at 1.55. The odds are close at the -1 handicap line: Croatia (-1) are at 1.81 and the Czech Republic (-1) at 1.93.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.32 | -1.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.81 | -1 | 1.93 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/100
|
1/5
|
3/2
|
| William Hill |
3/25
|
11/50
|
3/2
|
| LeoVegas |
7/50
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: Croatia — 1.5 goals; the Czech Republic — 0.5 goals.
Croatia team goals
For Croatia, Under 0.5 team goals is available at 5.40 and Over 0.5 at 1.10. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is quoted at 2.30 against 1.56 for Over 1.5. Under 2.5 is available at 1.42 and Over 2.5 at 2.67.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 2.30 | 1.5 | 1.56 |
| 1.42 | 2.5 | 2.67 |
Czech Republic team goals
For the Czech Republic, Under 0.5 team goals is offered at 2.24 and Over 0.5 at 1.59. Under 1.5 is available at 1.23 and Over 1.5 at 3.65. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is quoted at 1.03, while Over 2.5 is at 7.90.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.24 | 0.5 | 1.59 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.65 |
| 1.03 | 2.5 | 7.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Luís Godinho (Portugal)
Matches — 8 (international matches, 2026);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 5.3;
Matches with a red card — 0 of 8;
Matches with a penalty — 0 of 8.
