Odds overview
Denmark are narrow favourites in the 1X2 market: a Denmark win is 2.45, a Norway win 2.65 and a draw 3.80. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.40. At a handicap line of 0, Denmark are 1.83 and Norway 1.97, giving Denmark a slight edge.
Why Denmark are favourites
Bookmakers rate Denmark slightly above Norway: a home win is available at 2.45 and an away win at 2.65. The draw is 3.80.
- Denmark have consistently picked up points in competitive matches: they are unbeaten in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Norway regularly concede: their opponents have scored at least one goal in all 10 of Norway's last 10 competitive matches.
Form and Line-up Denmark
Denmark won their previous match emphatically, beating Portugal 4:1 away on 14 November 2026. Earlier in this competition, they beat Wales 2:0 without conceding.
Rasmus Højlund stands out in attack, with 5 goals in 5 matches in the competition. Mikkel Damsgaard contributes both goals and assists: he has 2 goals and 2 assists in 4 appearances.
- In 9 of Denmark's last 10 matches across all official competitions, the teams have registered more than 5.5 shots on target.
- In 8 of Denmark's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League, their opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals.
Probable Denmark line-up (4-2-3-1): Mads Hermansen, Alexander Bah, Joachim Andersen, Oliver Provstgaard, Joakim Maehle, Morten Hjulmand, Pierre-Emile Højbjerg, Gustav Isaksen, Mikkel Damsgaard, Mohamed Daramy, Rasmus Højlund.
Andreas Christensen has injured his thigh, Kasper Dolberg and Anton Gaaei have knee injuries, and Patrick Dorgu failed fitness tests and will not be available for the team.
Form and Line-up Norway
Norway beat Wales 3:1 at home on 14 November 2026. Before that win, however, they suffered two away defeats by the same 1:2 scoreline — against Portugal and Wales.
Erling Haaland is Norway's main attacking threat, with 4 goals and 1 assist in 5 matches in the competition. Martin Ødegaard is their chief creator, with 4 assists in 5 appearances.
- More than 2.5 goals have been scored in all 10 of Norway's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- Norway are unbeaten in 6 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Norway line-up (4-3-3): Egil Selvik, Julian Ryerson, Kristoffer Ajer, Torbjørn Heggem, David Møller Wolfe, Sander Berge, Martin Ødegaard, Thelo Aasgaard, Oscar Bobb, Erling Haaland, Antonio Nusa.
Sondre Langås is missing the squad gathering because of a groin injury, while Fredrik Aursnes had already withdrawn from the national squad.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Denmark a 38.9% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.45 and fair odds of 2.57. The draw has a 25.1% chance, with average odds of 3.80 and fair odds of 3.98. Norway's chance of winning is rated at 36.0%, with average odds of 2.65 and fair odds of 2.78.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denmark win | 2.45 | 2.57 | 38.9% |
| Draw | 3.80 | 3.98 | 25.1% |
| Norway win | 2.65 | 2.78 | 36.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is 2.40 and Over is 1.55. At the 3.5-goal line, the balance of the odds reverses: Under is 1.63 and Over is 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.63 | 2.30 |
Handicap prediction
Denmark (-1.5) are available at 3.95 and Norway (-1.5) at 4.10. At a handicap line of 1, the odds for Denmark (+1) and Norway (+1) are close — 1.25 and 1.27; at a line of 1.5, they are 1.18 and 1.20. With a handicap of 0, Denmark at 1.83 are favoured slightly over Norway at 1.97.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | -1.5 | 4.10 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.35 | -1 | 3.60 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 1.27 |
| 1.83 | 0 | 1.97 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.50, while No is 2.55: the market expects both teams to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.50 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/25
|
1/4
|
53/100
|
| William Hill |
11/25
|
29/100
|
53/100
|
| LeoVegas |
9/20
|
7/25
|
53/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Denmark — 1.5 goals; Norway — 1.5 goals.
Denmark team total goals
For Denmark, Under 0.5 goals is 4.05 and Over 0.5 is 1.18; at a line of 1, the odds are 2.90 and 1.35 respectively. At 1.5 goals, the odds are almost level: Under is 1.85 and Over is 1.90. At a line of 2, Under is offered at 1.38 and Over at 2.80.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.05 | 0.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.90 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Norway team total goals
For Norway, Under 0.5 goals is 3.90 and Over 0.5 is 1.20; at a line of 1, the odds are 2.55 and 1.48 respectively. Under 1.5 is 1.73 and Over 1.5 is 2.05, while at a total of 2 the odds are 1.35 and 3.00 respectively.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.55 | 1 | 1.48 |
| 1.73 | 1.5 | 2.05 |
| 1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Halil Meler (Turkey)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2026);
Average fouls per match — 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.3;
Matches with a red card — 1 of 7;
Matches with a penalty — 1 of 7.
