Odds overview
France to win at 1.18 is the clear favourite, with the draw at 8.20 and Turkey to win at 13.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.28 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 3.30.
Why France are favourites
France are clear favourites with the bookmakers: a home win is offered at 1.18, a draw at 8.20 and a Turkey win at 13.00.
- France have avoided defeat in seven of their last ten matches across all competitions.
- Turkey have lost seven of their last ten competitive matches across all competitions.
- Turkey have struggled defensively, conceding in nine consecutive matches.
Form and Line-up France
On 12 November 2026, France lost 1:3 away to Italy in their latest competitive match. Before that, they had consistently picked up points — beating Belgium 4:1 and 1:0 and Turkey 1:0, and drawing 1:1 with Italy.
- France have matched or exceeded their opponents' shot totals in each of their last 10 competitive matches.
- France have matched or exceeded their opponents' shots-on-target totals in nine of their last 10 competitive matches.
Probable France line-up (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan, Malo Gusto, Jérémy Jacquet, Dayot Upamecano, Adrien Truffert, Lucas Da Cunha, Adrien Rabiot, Michael Olise, Rayan Cherki, Désiré Doué, Bradley Barcola.
Absentees: Ousmane Dembélé, Jules Koundé, Pierre Kalulu, Maxence Lacroix, Maghnes Akliouche, Manu Koné, Estéban Lepaul, Aurélien Tchouaméni and William Saliba (all injured); Marcus Thuram and Kylian Mbappé (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Turkey
On 12 November 2026, Turkey lost 1:2 at home to Belgium. It was the first match in charge for new head coach Sergen Yalçın, who replaced Vincenzo Montella.
The defeat against Belgium continued Turkey's run of autumn losses. They had already lost away to Italy 1:3 and Belgium 0:3 in October, after defeats to Italy 1:4 and France 0:1 in September.
- Eight of Turkey's last 10 UEFA Nations League matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- The teams have combined for more than 19.5 shots in each of Turkey's last 10 competitive matches.
Probable Turkey line-up (4-2-3-1): Uğurcan Çakır, Oğuz Aydın, Ozan Kabak, Merih Demiral, Ferdi Kadıoğlu, İsmail Yüksek, Orkun Kökçü, Yunus Akgün, Arda Güler, Barış Alper Yılmaz, Enes Ünal.
Absentees: Kerem Aktürkoğlu, Ozan Kabak, Muhammed Şengezer, Adil Demirbağ, Aral Şimşir, Mert Müldür and Kenan Yıldız (all injured).
The teams' chances
France to win: average odds of 1.18, fair odds of 1.23 and an 81.0% probability. The draw is available at 8.20, with fair odds of 8.58 and an 11.7% probability; Turkey to win is offered at 13.00, with fair odds of 13.60 and a 7.4% probability.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| France to win | 1.18 | 1.23 | 81.0% |
| Draw | 8.20 | 8.58 | 11.7% |
| Turkey to win | 13.00 | 13.60 | 7.4% |
Total goals prediction
For a total of 2.5 goals, Under is available at 3.30 and Over at 1.28. At a line of 2 goals, Under is offered at 5.70 against 1.09 for Over. At 3.5 goals, Under is 2.01 and Over is 1.74.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.30 | 1.28 |
| 2 | 5.70 | 1.09 |
| 3.5 | 2.01 | 1.74 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
3/50
|
1/10
|
3/1
|
| William Hill |
1/20
|
11/100
|
16/5
|
| LeoVegas |
7/100
|
11/100
|
13/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: France — 2.5 goals; Turkey — 0.5 goals.
France team total goals
France under 1.5 goals is available at 4.15, while France over 1.5 goals is 1.18. At a line of 2.5 goals, France under is 2.22 and France over is 1.60; at 3.5 goals, France under is 1.49 and France over is 2.46.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.15 | 1.5 | 1.18 |
| 2.22 | 2.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.49 | 3.5 | 2.46 |
Turkey team total goals
Turkey under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.08, while Turkey over 0.5 goals is 1.69. At a line of 1.5 goals, Turkey under is 1.18 against 4.15 for Turkey over; at 2.5 goals, Turkey under is 1.02 and Turkey over is 8.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.08 | 0.5 | 1.69 |
| 1.18 | 1.5 | 4.15 |
| 1.02 | 2.5 | 8.40 |
