Odds overview
Inter Milan are clear favourites: an Inter Milan win is available at 1.20, while the draw is around 7.20 and a Shakhtar Donetsk win is 12.50. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is strongly favoured over Under 2.5 goals, at 1.30 versus 3.15. Inter Milan (-1.5) are quoted at 1.60 and Shakhtar Donetsk (+1.5) at 2.30.
Why Inter Milan are favourites
The bookmakers' odds give Inter Milan a clear advantage: an Inter Milan win is available at 1.20, compared with 7.20 for the draw and 12.50 for a Shakhtar Donetsk win.
- Inter Milan have had more total shots, including blocked shots, than their opponents in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Champions League matches.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have lost or drawn 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
Form and Line-up Inter Milan
Inter Milan beat Bologna 3:1 in the latest round of the Italian league. Ahead of this match, their opponents' xG in the UEFA Champions League stands at 3.58 — the second-highest figure among 36 teams since the start of the competition.
- Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 9 of Inter Milan's last 10 home matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Inter Milan have had more than 11.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Inter Milan's opponents have taken fewer than 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Champions League.
Probable Inter Milan line-up (3-5-2): Josep Martínez, Yann Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni, Luis Henrique, Nicolò Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sučić, Federico Dimarco, Francesco Pio Esposito, Marcus Thuram
Form and Line-up Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk beat Kolos Kovalivka 2:1 in the Premier League. Ahead of this match, the combined xG in Shakhtar Donetsk's UEFA Champions League games stands at 1.85 — the lowest figure among the 36 teams.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have taken fewer than 5.5 corners in their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Shakhtar Donetsk have had fewer than 12.5 shots, including blocked shots, in 9 of their last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
- Fewer than 3.5 offsides have been recorded in 9 of Shakhtar Donetsk's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Champions League.
Probable Shakhtar Donetsk line-up (4-1-4-1): Dmytro Riznyk, Oleksandr Karavayev, Valeriy Bondar, Alan Matturro, Vinícius Tobias, Yegor Nazaryna, Bruninho, Dmytro Kryskiv, Isaque Silva, Prosper Obah, Luca Meirelles
Teams' chances
An Inter Milan win is available at 1.20; the fair odds are 1.26, implying a 79.2% probability. The draw is offered at 7.20, with fair odds of 7.58 and a 13.2% probability. A Shakhtar Donetsk win is quoted at 12.50; the fair odds are 13.15, implying a 7.6% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan win | 1.20 | 1.26 | 79.2% |
| Draw | 7.20 | 7.58 | 13.2% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk win | 12.50 | 13.15 | 7.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 3.15 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.30. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is available at 2.00 and Over 3.5 goals at 1.80.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.15 | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
Handicap prediction
Inter Milan (-1.5) are quoted at 1.60 and Shakhtar Donetsk (+1.5) at 2.30. At the one-goal handicap line, Inter Milan (-1) are offered at 1.25 and Shakhtar Donetsk (+1) at 3.50. For a zero handicap, Inter Milan (0) are available at 1.04 and Shakhtar Donetsk (0) at 8.00.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.30 | |
| 1.25 | -1 | |
| 1 | 3.50 | |
| 1.04 | 0 | 8.00 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is offered at 1.78, while Both teams to score — No is available at 1.97. The lower odds for Yes give it a slight edge; No means that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.78 |
| No | 1.97 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/25
|
1/10
|
333/100
|
| William Hill |
1/20
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
1/10
|
18/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Inter Milan — 3 goals; Shakhtar Donetsk — 0.5 goals.
Inter Milan team goals
For Inter Milan team goals, Under 2.5 is offered at 2.13 and Over 2.5 at 1.67. At the 3-goal line, Under 3 is available at 1.72 and Over 3 at 2.07. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is quoted at 1.48 and Over 3.5 at 2.55.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.13 | 2.5 | 1.67 |
| 1.72 | 3 | 2.07 |
| 1.48 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
Shakhtar Donetsk team goals
For Shakhtar Donetsk team goals, Under 0.5 is offered at 2.05 and Over 0.5 at 1.73. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.33 and Over 1 at 3.05. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.16 and Over 1.5 at 4.30.
| Under | Team goals line | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.05 | 0.5 | 1.73 |
| 1.33 | 1 | 3.05 |
| 1.16 | 1.5 | 4.30 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Harm Osmers (Germany)
Matches – 7 (international fixtures, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.9;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 7;
Matches with a penalty – 1 of 7.
