Odds overview
Juventus are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.25, while the draw is quoted at 6.20 and an NEC win at 12.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is notably more favoured than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. Juventus (-1.5) at 1.67 is quoted shorter than NEC (+1.5) at 2.20.
Why Juventus are favourites for the match
Juventus are available at 1.25 to win, the draw is at 6.20, and an NEC win is available at 12.00.
• Juventus have been reliable defensively at home: in 8 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, their opponents scored no more than one goal.
• NEC have struggled in European competition and difficult away fixtures: they lost 0:3 to Bodo/Glimt in the Champions League and 0:3 to Cambuur in the domestic league last weekend.
Form and Line-up Juventus
Juventus have produced mixed results in recent Serie A rounds: after wins over modest Frosinone (1:0) and Parma (2:0), they drew with Milan (1:1) and lost 2:3 away to Sassuolo.
- Juventus' opponents took no more than five corners in each of their 10 home matches in all competitions.
- In 8 of 10 home matches in all competitions, Juventus committed no more than 12 fouls.
- In 8 of Juventus' 10 home matches in all competitions, no more than two goals were scored.
Probable Juventus line-up (4-2-3-1): Guglielmo Vicario, Pierre Kalulu, Bremer, Jhon Lucumi, Zeki Celik, Douglas Luiz, Teun Koopmeiners, Francisco Conceicao, Nico Gonzalez, Kerim Alajbegovic, Randal Kolo Muani
Absentees: Jeff Ekhator, Juan Cabal, Jeremie Boga, Kenan Yildiz, Khephren Thuram, Manuel Locatelli (injured), Lloyd Kelly (suspended)
Form and Line-up NEC
In the Dutch league, NEC beat Zwolle (3:1), but lost to Feyenoord (1:3) in September, drew with Excelsior (2:2) and finally lost to Cambuur (0:3). The team also suffered personnel problems before travelling to Turin: goalkeeper Gonzalo Crettaz and midfielder Emre Mor were injured that weekend. The Argentinian goalkeeper will in any case miss the match in Turin due to the red card received against Bodo/Glimt.
- In 8 of 10 away matches in all competitions, NEC's opponents had fewer than 14.5 shots.
- In 8 of 10 matches in all competitions, NEC's opponents had no more than five shots on target.
- In 8 of 10 NEC matches in all competitions, there were no more than 10 shots on target.
Probable NEC line-up (3-4-2-1): Nicolas Polster, Tobias Storm, Philippe Sandler, Almugera Kabar, Willum Thor Willumsson, Darko Nejasmic, Dennis Geiger, Clement Bischoff, Noe Lebreton, Tjaronn Chery, Kaj Sierhuis
Absentees: Deveron Fonville (injured), Gonzalo Crettaz (suspended), Emre Mor (doubtful)
Team chances
Home win: average odds of 1.25, fair odds of 1.31 and a probability of 76.6%. The figures for the draw are 6.20, 6.48 and 15.4%, while those for an away win are 12.00, 12.54 and 8.0% respectively.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus win | 1.25 | 1.31 | 76.6% |
| Draw | 6.20 | 6.48 | 15.4% |
| NEC win | 12.00 | 12.54 | 8.0% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.45 is quoted considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. At the 3.5 level, Under 3.5 goals is preferred at 1.70, compared with 2.13 for Over 3.5 goals.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.60 | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.13 |
Handicap prediction
Juventus (-1.5) is available at 1.67, while NEC (+1.5) is at 2.20. On the -1 line, Juventus (-1) is available at 1.32 and NEC (+1) at 3.10. With a zero handicap, Juventus (0) is at 1.05 compared with 7.50 for NEC (0).
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 2.20 | |
| 1.32 | -1 | |
| 1 | 3.10 | |
| 1.05 | 0 | 7.50 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No is quoted slightly shorter at 1.80, compared with 1.95 for Both teams to score - Yes, which gives marginally greater support to a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.95 |
| No | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/20
|
1/10
|
3/1
|
| William Hill |
1/20
|
11/100
|
16/5
|
| 888sport |
1/20
|
11/100
|
333/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Juventus — 2.5 goals, NEC — 0.5 goals.
Juventus team total
Juventus team total: Over 2 is available at 1.45 compared with 2.65 for Under 2. At the 2.5 line, the odds are almost identical: Under 2.5 is at 1.87 and Over 2.5 at 1.88. For the line of 3, Under 3 at 1.48 is quoted shorter than Over 3 at 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 2 | 1.45 |
| 1.87 | 2.5 | 1.88 |
| 1.48 | 3 | 2.55 |
NEC team total
NEC team total: at the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 at 1.88 and Over 0.5 at 1.87 are priced almost equally. Under 1 at 1.28 is notably shorter than Over 1 at 3.35, while at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 is at 1.14 compared with 4.60 for Over 1.5.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | 0.5 | 1.87 |
| 1.28 | 1 | 3.35 |
| 1.14 | 1.5 | 4.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Oleksii Derevinskyi (Ukraine)
Matches — 7 (international matches, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 4.1;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 7;
Matches with penalties — 2 of 7.
