Odds Overview
AS Monaco are favourites: AS Monaco to win is priced at 1.87, while Le Havre AC to win and the draw are rated at 3.80 and 4.00. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 looks notably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. On the handicap line of 0, AS Monaco handicap (0) at 1.40 is preferred to Le Havre AC handicap (0) at 2.70.
Why AS Monaco Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers give the visitors the edge: an AS Monaco win is priced at 1.87 (around a 51.0% probability before margin), the draw is offered at 4.00, while success for Le Havre AC is available at 3.80.
• AS Monaco regularly impose high-scoring football on their opponents: in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, AS Monaco scored at least two goals.
• At the same time, Le Havre AC have had persistent problems picking up points: the team failed to win in 9 of their last 10 league matches.
Form and Line-up Le Havre AC
In their final pre-season friendly, Le Havre AC beat Le Mans FC 1:0.
Looking at official Ligue 1 matches, the team are extremely restrained in attack at home. In 8 of their last 10 home league games, Le Havre AC had fewer than 14 shot attempts including blocked shots, and in 9 of those 10 matches at their ground the total scoring did not exceed three goals.
In addition, the hosts struggle through spells on their home ground: Le Havre AC have now gone 10 consecutive league halves at home without winning.
Key numbers:
In 9 of Le Havre AC's last 10 Ligue 1 matches, they and their opponents committed at least 3 offsides.
In 8 of Le Havre AC's last 10 Ligue 1 matches, they and their opponents received at least 3 yellow cards.
In 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, Le Havre AC committed at least 12 fouls.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Mpasi — Pembele — Seko — Sasso — Zouaoui — Richardson — Mwanga — Mizuta — Doucoure — Samatta — Bouneb
Form and Line-up AS Monaco
AS Monaco completed their pre-season preparations with a friendly against Coventry City, losing 0:2.
In away Ligue 1 matches, AS Monaco regularly allow opponents to threaten their goal: in 8 of their last 10 away games, AS Monaco's opponents had at least four shots on target.
At the same time, AS Monaco's away matches feature low numbers of fouls and bookings from the home side: in 9 of their last 10 away Ligue 1 games, opponents committed no more than 13 fouls and received no more than two yellow cards.
Key numbers:
In 8 of AS Monaco's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, they and their opponents took at least 9 corners.
In 8 of AS Monaco's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, the two teams combined for at least 24 shots including blocked shots.
In 9 of AS Monaco's last 10 away Ligue 1 matches, they and their opponents received no more than 4 yellow cards.
Probable line-up (4-2-4): Hradecky — Teze — Sane — Dier — Mawissa — Zakaria — Camara — Soubie — Ablin — Biereth — Idumbo
Team Chances
The no-margin estimate gives AS Monaco to win 51.0% at odds of 1.87 and a fair price of 1.96. Le Havre AC to win is assessed at 25.1%: 3.80 against 3.98, while the draw is 23.9%: 4.00 against 4.19.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | Probability without margin |
Le Havre AC to win | 3.80 | 3.98 | 25.1% |
Draw | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.9% |
AS Monaco to win | 1.87 | 1.96 | 51.0% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.60 is priced lower than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. At the 3.5 mark, the situation is reversed: Under 3.5 goals is 1.55, while Over 3.5 goals is 2.35.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.60 |
3.5 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
Handicap Prediction
Le Havre AC handicap (-1.5) is offered at 6.20 against 2.95 for AS Monaco handicap (-1.5); Le Havre AC handicap (+1.5) is 1.35 against 1.07 for AS Monaco handicap (+1.5). For the -1 line, the prices are 5.50 on Le Havre AC handicap (-1) and 2.45 on AS Monaco handicap (-1), while for the +1 line they are 1.55 on Le Havre AC handicap (+1) and 1.10 on AS Monaco handicap (+1). With a handicap of 0, AS Monaco handicap (0) at 1.40 is priced lower than Le Havre AC handicap (0) at 2.70.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
6.20 | -1.5 | 2.95 |
1.35 | +1.5 | 1.07 |
5.50 | -1 | 2.45 |
1.55 | +1 | 1.10 |
2.70 | 0 | 1.40 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.40, which implies that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.40 |
Double Chance Prediction
The lowest double chance odds are 1.27 on 12. X2 is priced at 1.30, while 1X is 1.95.
1X | 12 | X2 |
19/20
|
27/100
|
3/10
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Le Havre AC — 1 goal, AS Monaco — 1.5 goals.
Le Havre AC Team Total
Le Havre AC: Over 0.5 goals at 1.32 is priced lower than Under 0.5 goals at 3.10; on the 1 line, Over 1 goal is 1.73 against 2.05 for Under 1 goal. For the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals at 1.40 is preferred, while Over 1.5 goals is offered at 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
AS Monaco Team Total
AS Monaco: Over 0.5 goals at 1.10 is notably lower than Under 0.5 goals at 5.40, while Over 1 goal at 1.22 is lower than Under 1 goal at 3.80. On the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals is 1.75 against 2.05 for Under 1.5 goals; on the 2 line, Under 2 goals at 1.55 is priced lower than Over 2 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.40 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
3.80 | 1 | 1.22 |
2.05 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Who will referee the match
Jérémy Pignard (France)
Matches: 17 (Ligue 1, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match: 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows): 4.2;
Matches with a red card: 5 of 17;
Matches with a penalty: 8 of 17.
