Odds overview
RC Lens are clear favourites: Lens to win is available at 1.60, while the draw is priced at 4.40 and Auxerre to win at 5.30. In the main total, over 2.5 goals at 1.65 looks noticeably preferable to under 2.5 goals at 2.25. In the handicap market, Lens Draw No Bet at 1.23 looks substantially more likely than Auxerre Draw No Bet at 3.75.
Why RC Lens are favourites for the match
Bookmakers are offering odds of around 1.60 on an RC Lens win.
RC Lens look convincing on home turf: the team have won 8 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, and new head coach Dino Toppmoller began his tenure with victory in an official match.
AJ Auxerre rarely create many chances away from home: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, the team had fewer than 13 shots, while new head coach Will Still has not yet overseen an official match with the club.
Form and Line-up RC Lens
RC Lens started the season by winning the Trophee des Champions, beating Paris Saint-Germain. At home, meanwhile, the hosts are used to playing without compromise — their run without a draw in Ligue 1 home matches already stands at 17 games.
At their own stadium, the team keep their defence under tight control: in their last 10 home league games, RC Lens' opponents had no more than five shots on target and won a maximum of five corners.
Key numbers:
In their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches, RC Lens outperformed their opponents for shots on target.
RC Lens received no more than two yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 home Ligue 1 matches.
In 8 of RC Lens' last 10 home matches in the French league, the two teams committed at least 24 fouls between them.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Robin Risser — Ismaelo Ganiou — Maik Nawrocki — Souleymane Sagnan — Ruben Aguilar — Mathieu Udol — Amadou Haidara — Yassine Titraoui — Michal Skoras — Florian Thauvin — Franjo Ivanovic
Kyllian Antonio is suspended. Samson Baidoo is injured, while Jonathan Gradit continues his recovery.
Form and Line-up AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre completed their summer preparations with a 1:0 away win over Werder Bremen. However, the friendly status of the game leaves a question over how far that success applies to the start of the league season.
In Ligue 1 away matches, the visitors play aggressively and regularly pick up cautions: in all of their last 10 away league games, AJ Auxerre earned at least two yellow cards.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, AJ Auxerre had a maximum of four shots on target.
In 9 of AJ Auxerre's last 10 away matches in the French league, the two teams had a maximum of eight shots on target between them.
At least 25 fouls were recorded in 9 of AJ Auxerre's last 10 away matches in Ligue 1.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Mamadou Diop — Lamine Sy — Christ Makosso — Clement Akpa — Fredrik Oppegard — Lamfia Diabate — Sacha Piedfort — Nairou Ahamada — Remy Labeau-Lascary — Thelonius Bair — Danny Namaso
Team chances
Lens to win: average odds of 1.60, no-margin price of 1.67 and probability of 60%. The draw is offered at 4.40, with a no-margin price of 4.58 and probability of 21.8%. Auxerre to win is priced at 5.30; the no-margin price is 5.52 and the probability is 18.1%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
RC Lens win | 1.60 | 1.67 | 60.0% |
Draw | 4.40 | 4.58 | 21.8% |
AJ Auxerre win | 5.30 | 5.52 | 18.1% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, over 2.5 goals at 1.65 is preferable to under 2.5 goals at 2.25, pointing to expectations of a high-scoring match. At the 3.5 mark, by contrast, under 3.5 goals at 1.50 is noticeably shorter than over 3.5 goals at 2.45.
Line | Under goals | Over goals |
2.5 | 2.25 | 1.65 |
3.5 | 1.50 | 2.45 |
Handicap prediction
Lens handicap (-1.5) is priced at 2.50, while Auxerre handicap (+1.5) is 1.50, so the market is more cautious about a big home win. For the 1-goal line, Lens handicap (-1) is priced at 1.97 and Auxerre handicap (+1) at 1.85: the odds are close. In the Draw No Bet market, Lens at 1.23 is significantly preferable to Auxerre at 3.75.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.50 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 1.50 |
1.97 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 1.85 |
1.23 | 0 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.68 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.13. The higher odds on No mean the market is more inclined to expect goals from both teams than a scenario in which at least one does not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.68 |
No | 2.13 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.18 is the most likely double-chance option, while 12 is offered at 1.25. X2 at 2.40 is noticeably less likely, underlining RC Lens' advantage.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.18 | 1.25 | 2.40 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: RC Lens — 2 goals, AJ Auxerre — 1 goal.
RC Lens team total
RC Lens: over 0.5 team goals at 1.06 is significantly preferable to under 0.5 team goals at 6.80. On the 1.5 line, over 1.5 team goals at 1.60 is rated higher than under 1.5 at 2.25. For a total of 2, under 2 team goals at 1.68 is slightly more likely than over 2 at 2.10, while at the 2.5 mark, under 2.5 team goals at 1.40 is noticeably shorter than over 2.5 at 2.75.
Under | Team total | Over |
6.80 | 0.5 | 1.06 |
2.25 | 1.5 | 1.60 |
1.68 | 2 | 2.10 |
1.40 | 2.5 | 2.75 |
AJ Auxerre team total
AJ Auxerre: over 0.5 team goals at 1.50 is preferable to under 0.5 team goals at 2.45. On the 1-goal line, under 1 team goal at 1.65 looks more likely than over 1 at 2.18, while at the 1.5 mark, under 1.5 team goals at 1.30 is substantially shorter than over 1.5 at 3.25.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.45 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.65 | 1 | 2.18 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
