Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Malaga CF are slight favourites: Malaga CF to win is 2.50, while the draw and Deportivo de La Coruna to win are around 3.05-3.10. On the main totals line, Under 2 goals is 1.85 against 1.90 for Over 2 goals — the prices are almost level. In the handicap market, Malaga CF Draw No Bet at 1.73 is notably preferred to Deportivo de La Coruna Draw No Bet at 2.10.
Why Malaga CF Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers give the hosts a moderate edge: a Malaga CF win is priced at 2.50, while a Deportivo de La Coruna win is 3.10 and the draw is 3.05. This advantage for the Malaga club is explained by several key factors.
Home factor. Malaga CF play at the La Rosaleda Stadium, where they traditionally look more assured (just one defeat in their last 20 official matches).
Opening round. Malaga CF kept Atletico Madrid at bay for a long time, only losing late on (0:2). Deportivo de La Coruna drew with Elche (1:1) and showed no clear superiority.
Deportivo de La Coruna's low scoring away from home. The visitors have scored no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
Form and Line-up Malaga CF
In the 1st round against Atletico Madrid, Malaga CF held out until the 70th minute but conceded twice late in the game. Head coach Juanfran Funes noted after the match that the old core looked well-drilled, but admitted that the newcomers could already have more prominent roles in the next match.
At home, the team look excellent: only the defeat to Castellon (2:3) has blemished their last 20 matches at the La Rosaleda Stadium.
Key numbers:
Malaga CF have conceded in 7 matches in a row.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in six games running.
Probable Malaga CF line-up (4-1-4-1): Alfonso Herrero — Carlos Puga, Angel Recio, Einar Galilea, Rafael Garrido — Izan Merino — David Larrubia, Dani Lorenzo, Carlos Dotor, Joaquin Munoz — Chupe.
Absentees: Aaron Ochoa, Adrian Nino, Diego Murillo, Fernando Calero (all injured).
Form and Line-up Deportivo de La Coruna
After returning to La Liga, Deportivo de La Coruna hosted Elche and drew 1:1, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scoring the club's first goal of the season. The team had three shots on target across the match.
Away from home, SuperDepor look excellent — just one defeat in their last 11 official matches. However, in their previous 17 matches at the La Rosaleda Stadium, the La Coruna side have won only once.
Key numbers:
Under 2.5 goals has landed in 6 of their last 7 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 9 games in a row.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in 10 matches running.
Probable Deportivo de La Coruna line-up (3-4-1-2): Leo Roman — Ximo Navarro, Lucas Noubi, Bright Ede — Adria Altimira, Mario Soriano, Lorenzo Amatucci, Giacomo Quagliata — Jonathan Asp Jensen — Bil Nsongo, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Absentees: Noe Carrillo (injured).
Team Chances
Malaga CF to win is offered at 2.50; the no-margin price is 2.63 and 38.1%. The draw is 3.05, with a no-margin price of 3.20 and a probability of 31.2%, while Deportivo de La Coruna to win is 3.10, 3.26 and 30.7% respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Malaga CF to win | 2.50 | 2.63 | 38.1% |
Draw | 3.05 | 3.20 | 31.2% |
Deportivo de La Coruna to win | 3.10 | 3.26 | 30.7% |
Totals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.50 is notably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.55. For a total of 2, the prices are almost level: Under 2 goals is 1.85, Over 2 goals is 1.90. At 3.5, there is a clear lean towards Under 3.5 goals at 1.13 against 4.80 for Over 3.5 goals.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.50 | 2.55 |
2 | 1.85 | 1.90 |
3.5 | 1.13 | 4.80 |
Handicap Prediction
Malaga CF (-1.5) is priced at 5.40, while Deportivo de La Coruna (-1.5) is 6.30. At the 1.5 line, the prices are close: Malaga CF (+1.5) is 1.07 and Deportivo de La Coruna (+1.5) is 1.10; on the 1 line, they are 1.10 and 1.16 respectively. Malaga CF (-1) at 4.40 is shorter than Deportivo de La Coruna (-1) at 5.40, while on the zero handicap Malaga CF Draw No Bet at 1.73 is preferred to Deportivo de La Coruna Draw No Bet at 2.10.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
5.40 | -1.5 | 6.30 |
1.07 | 1.5 | 1.10 |
4.40 | -1 | 5.40 |
1.10 | 1 | 1.16 |
1.73 | 0 | 2.10 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.68 is rated higher than Both teams to score - Yes at 2.13: the market is more likely expecting at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.13 |
No | 1.68 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.37 and 12 at 1.38 have almost identical prices, while X2 at 1.53 is quoted higher.
1X | 12 | X2 |
37/100
|
19/50
|
53/100
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Malaga CF — 1 goal, Deportivo de La Coruna — 1 goal.
Malaga CF Team Total
Malaga CF: Over 0.5 goals is 1.40 against 2.75 for Under 0.5 goals. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal and Over 1 goal are both 1.88. For 1.5, Under 1.5 goals is shorter at 1.35, while Over 1.5 goals is offered at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.75 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.88 | 1 | 1.88 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.95 |
Deportivo de La Coruna Team Total
Deportivo de La Coruna: Over 0.5 goals at 1.50 is preferred to Under 0.5 goals at 2.45. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal is 1.63 against 2.20 for Over 1 goal, while on 1.5 it is 1.30 for Under 1.5 goals and 3.25 for Over 1.5 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.45 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.63 | 1 | 2.20 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 3.25 |
