Odds overview
Manchester City to win is available at around 1.08, while a draw and an AEK Athens win are at roughly 12.00 and 25.00. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals is markedly favoured over Under 2.5 goals: 1.25 versus 3.50.
Why Manchester City are favourites
Bookmakers offer odds of 1.08 on Manchester City to win, 12.00 on a draw and 25.00 on an AEK Athens win.
- The English club are traditionally strong at home: Manchester City have scored at least two goals in 8 of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- The Greek club are outclassed by the favourites and lost 1:3 to Shakhtar Donetsk in the previous UEFA Champions League round.
Form and Line-up Manchester City
A recent 2:4 home defeat to Paris Saint-Germain was a setback for Manchester City, although Enzo Maresca's coaching staff had all their first-team players available before the match against Ipswich Town.
At home in the UEFA Champions League, Manchester City have kept their foul count low while posing a threat on goal: in their last 10 matches, their foul total did not exceed 11.5, while the combined total of shots on target regularly exceeded 8.5.
- Manchester City have not lost the corner count in their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- Manchester City have had more than 4.5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
- There have been fewer than 3.5 yellow cards in Manchester City's last 10 home UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma, Rico Lewis, Rúben Dias, Joško Gvardiol, Rayan Aït-Nouri, Rodri, Enzo Fernández, Phil Foden, Iliman Ndiaye, Savinho, Erling Haaland.
Form and Line-up AEK Athens
Across all competitions, AEK Athens have sought to contain opponents' attacks, allowing them no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches.
The Athens club regularly pick up bookings away from home in the UEFA Champions League: they received more than 1.5 yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 away matches.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 9 of AEK Athens' last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
- AEK Athens scored fewer than 1.5 goals in 8 of their last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
- AEK Athens did not lose the yellow-card count in 9 of their last 10 away UEFA Champions League matches.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Alberto Brignoli, Lazaros Rota, Harold Moukoudi, Filipe Relvas, Stavros Pilios, Lovro Majer, Răzvan Marin, Milán Vitális, Abubakari Koyta, Luka Jović, Zini.
Teams' chances
Manchester City to win has average odds of 1.08; the fair odds are 1.13, with an 88.2% probability. A draw is offered at 12.00, with fair odds of 12.59 and a 7.9% probability; the corresponding figures for an AEK Athens win are 25.00, 26.23 and 3.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City to win | 1.08 | 1.13 | 88.2% |
| Draw | 12.00 | 12.59 | 7.9% |
| AEK Athens to win | 25.00 | 26.23 | 3.8% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are available at 3.50 and 1.25 respectively. On the 2-goal line, the odds are 5.90 for Under 2 and 1.08 for Over 2; on the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is 2.09 versus 1.68 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.50 | 1.25 |
| 2 | 5.90 | 1.08 |
| 3.5 | 2.09 | 1.68 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
1/50
|
1/20
|
7/1
|
| William Hill |
1/50
|
1/20
|
7/1
|
| 888sport |
1/100
|
1/20
|
7/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Manchester City — 3.5 goals; AEK Athens — 0.5 goals.
Manchester City team goals total
Manchester City's team goals total: Under 3 is available at 2.25 and Over 3 at 1.60. On the 3.5-goal line, the odds are 1.68 for Under 3.5 and 2.09 for Over 3.5; on the 4-goal line, they are 1.47 for Under 4 versus 2.60 for Over 4.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.25 | 3 | 1.60 |
| 1.68 | 3.5 | 2.09 |
| 1.47 | 4 | 2.60 |
AEK Athens team goals total
AEK Athens' team goals total: Under 0.5 is offered at 1.64 and Over 0.5 at 2.15. On the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is available at 1.07 and Over 1.5 at 6.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.64 | 0.5 | 2.15 |
| 1.07 | 1.5 | 6.20 |
