Odds Overview
Marseille are clear favourites: Marseille to win is priced at around 1.72, while the draw is 4.20 and Strasbourg to win is 4.40. In the main totals line, over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is notably preferred to under 2.5 goals at 2.40. On the main handicap, Marseille (-1.5) is priced at 2.70, with Strasbourg (-1.5) at 7.20.
Why Marseille Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the hosts the edge: a Marseille win is priced at 1.72.
Marseille regularly threaten opposition goalkeepers at home, registering at least 4 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Strasbourg's defence regularly concede chances away from home: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away games, opponents have had at least 4 shots on target against the Alsace side.
Form and Line-up Marseille
In their final friendlies before the start of the season, Olympique de Marseille beat Athletic Club (3:1), scoring twice after high pressing and quick vertical attacks, but then lost to Atletico Madrid (1:2).
Before the start of the season, the club's management stripped Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg of the captain's armband, a decision head coach Bruno Genesio publicly disagreed with.
Key numbers:
In Marseille's last 10 Ligue 1 home matches, the teams have gone over 2.5 yellow cards.
Marseille have taken more than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Marseille's opponents have taken no more than 4 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange — Emerson Palmieri — Geoffrey Kondogbia — Leonardo Balerdi — Timothy Weah — Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg — Himad Abdelli — Igor Paixao — Angel Gomes — Amine Harit — Amine Gouiri
Form and Line-up Strasbourg
Strasbourg had a difficult pre-season: the team suffered five defeats in a row, then drew 1:1 with Newcastle United and won on penalties.
There is still uncertainty in goal for the Alsace side: in their most recent warm-up match against Newcastle United, Filip Jorgensen started, replacing Milosz Piekutowski.
Key numbers:
Strasbourg have had at least 4 shots on target in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
In 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, referees have shown at least 3 yellow cards.
Strasbourg have taken fewer than 13.5 shots in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Filip Jorgensen — Guela Doue — Andrew Omobamidele — Yoann Becker — Ben Chilwell — Diogo Sousa — Samir El Mourabet — Samuel Amo-Ameyaw — Sebastian Nanasi — Diego Moreira — Sekou Mara
Joaquin Panichelli continues to recover from a knee injury and will not help the team.
Team Chances
Marseille to win can be backed at 1.72; the no-margin estimate is 1.80, with a probability of 55.5%. The draw is priced at 4.20, with a no-margin estimate of 4.40 and a probability of 22.7%. Strasbourg to win is 4.40; the no-margin estimate is 4.61, with a probability of 21.7%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Marseille win | 1.72 | 1.80 | 55.5% |
Draw | 4.20 | 4.40 | 22.7% |
Strasbourg win | 4.40 | 4.61 | 21.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, over 2.5 goals at 1.55 looks more likely than under 2.5 goals at 2.40. On the 3.5 line, by contrast, the market leans slightly more towards under 3.5 goals at 1.62 against over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.62 | 2.30 |
Handicap Prediction
Marseille (-1.5) is offered at 2.70, while Strasbourg (-1.5) is 7.20. On the 1.5 line, Marseille (1.5) is 1.05 against 1.40 for Strasbourg (1.5). For the -1 line: Marseille (-1) is 2.17 and Strasbourg (-1) is 6.30; for the 1 line: Marseille (1) is 1.07 and Strasbourg (1) is 1.70. On the scratch line, Marseille (0) is priced at 1.30 and Strasbourg (0) at 3.15.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
2.70 | -1.5 | 7.20 |
1.05 | 1.5 | 1.40 |
2.17 | -1 | 6.30 |
1.07 | 1 | 1.70 |
1.30 | 0 | 3.15 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 is rated higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.40. The second option means that at least one of the teams will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.40 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X and 12 are almost level in the market — 1.23 and 1.25 respectively, while X2 is offered at 2.13.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.23 | 1.25 | 2.13 |
Individual Total Prediction
The individual total lines compare expectations for each team's scoring output.
Marseille Individual Total
Marseille: under 0.5 goals is 6.00, while over 0.5 goals is 1.08. On the 1.5 line, under 1.5 goals is 2.30 against 1.58 for over 1.5 goals. On the 2 line, under 2 goals is priced at 1.72 and over 2 goals at 2.05; on the 2.5 line, under 2.5 goals is 1.40 and over 2.5 goals is 2.70.
Under | Individual total | Over |
6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
2.30 | 1.5 | 1.58 |
1.72 | 2 | 2.05 |
1.40 | 2.5 | 2.70 |
Strasbourg Individual Total
Strasbourg: under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.85, while over 0.5 goals is 1.37. On the 1 line, under 1 goal is 1.93 and over 1 goal is 1.83. On the 1.5 line, under 1.5 goals is priced at 1.40 against 2.70 for over 1.5 goals.
Under | Individual total | Over |
2.85 | 0.5 | 1.37 |
1.93 | 1 | 1.83 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
