Odds Overview
Nottingham Forest are favourites: Nottingham Forest to win is priced at around 2.25, while the draw is available at 3.40 and Leeds to win at 3.20. On the 2.5-goal total, the prices are level at 1.90 each. In the main handicap market, Nottingham Forest handicap (0) at 1.65 looks noticeably preferable to Leeds handicap (0) at 2.25.
Why Nottingham Forest Are Favourites
The bookmakers give the hosts a moderate edge: a Nottingham Forest win is priced at 2.25, the draw is available at 3.40, and a Leeds win is 3.20.
Nottingham Forest finished last season strongly. The team picked up points in 9 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
Leeds have struggled away from home, winning only 1 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Form and Line-up Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest ended their pre-season programme with a 2:0 win over Brest, fielding a reserve line-up. In the Premier League, however, wins have not come easily for the hosts: the team have failed to win 9 of their last 10 home league matches.
Key numbers:
Nottingham Forest received no more than 2 yellow cards in each of their last 10 home matches.
Nottingham Forest's opponents were caught offside no more than 2 times in 10 of the last 10 Premier League home games.
No more than 4 corners were taken against Forest in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches at the City Ground.
Probable Nottingham Forest line-up (3-4-2-1): John Victor — Eric Moreira — Jair Cunha — Morato — Zach Abbott — Luca Netz — Xaver Schlager — Nicolas Dominguez — Callum Hudson-Odoi — Arnaud Kalimuendo — Chris Wood
Form and Line-up Leeds United
Leeds United head coach Daniel Farke noted the heavy physical workload on the players after the US tour. In Premier League away matches, the team regularly concede the initiative to their opponents, losing the total shot-attempt count in 9 of their last 10 away games.
Key numbers:
United took no more than 4 corners in 10 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
Leeds were caught offside no more than 2 times in 8 of their last 10 Premier League matches.
There were no more than 4 yellow cards in 8 of Leeds' last 10 Premier League matches.
Probable Leeds United line-up (3-4-2-1): James Trafford — Jayden Bogle — Ethan Ampadu — Tarik Muharemovic — Joe Rodon — Jaka Bijol — James Justin — Anton Stach — Harry Wilson — Brenden Aaronson — Dominic Calvert-Lewin
Team Chances
Nottingham Forest to win is offered at 2.25; the no-margin estimate is 2.36, with a probability of 42.3%. The draw is priced at 3.40, with a no-margin estimate of 3.57 and a probability of 28.0%. Leeds to win is available at 3.20; the no-margin estimate is 3.36, with a probability of 29.7%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Nottingham Forest to win | 2.25 | 2.36 | 42.3% |
Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28% |
Leeds United to win | 3.20 | 3.36 | 29.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5-goal line, Under and Over are priced identically at 1.90 each. At 3.5, Under is noticeably shorter, 1.35 compared with 2.95 for Over.
Under | Line | Over |
1.90 | 2.5 | 1.90 |
1.35 | 3.5 | 2.95 |
Handicap Prediction
Nottingham Forest handicap (-1.5) is available at 3.80, while Leeds handicap (-1.5) is 6.00. On the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.08 for Nottingham Forest handicap (+1.5) and 1.22 for Leeds handicap (+1.5). For the -1 line, the prices are 3.15 for Nottingham Forest handicap (-1) and 5.20 for Leeds handicap (-1); for the 1 line, they are 1.11 and 1.30 respectively. In the draw-no-bet handicap, Nottingham Forest handicap (0) is 1.65 and Leeds handicap (0) is 2.25.
Nottingham Forest | Handicap | Leeds United |
3.80 | (-1.5) | 6.00 |
1.08 | (+1.5) | 1.22 |
3.15 | (-1) | 5.20 |
1.11 | (+1) | 1.30 |
1.65 | (0) | 2.25 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is priced at 1.70, while Both teams to score - No is 2.10; the second option implies that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.70 |
No | 2.10 |
Double Chance Prediction
Among the double-chance options, 12 is priced at 1.35, 1X at 1.38 and X2 at 1.65.
1X | 12 | X2 |
19/50
|
7/20
|
13/20
|
Team Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Nottingham Forest — 1.5 goals, Leeds — 1 goal.
Nottingham Forest Team Total
Nottingham Forest: under 0.5 goals is priced at 4.00, over 0.5 at 1.20; on the 1-goal line, the prices are 2.65 and 1.42 respectively. For the 1.5 mark, under is 1.70 and over is 2.08, while on the 2-goal line the odds are 1.30 for under and 3.30 for over.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.42 |
1.70 | 1.5 | 2.08 |
1.30 | 2 | 3.30 |
Leeds United Team Total
Leeds: under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.95, over 0.5 at 1.35; on the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.03 for under and 1.75 for over. For the 1.5 mark, under is 1.40 and over is 2.70.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.03 | 1 | 1.75 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Robert Jones (England)
Matches – 18 (Premier League, 2025/2026);
Average fouls per match – 21;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.1;
Matches with red cards – 0 of 18;
Matches with penalties – 5 of 18.
