Odds overview
A home win is available at around 1.35, while the draw is quoted at 5.50 and an away win at 7.60. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.75. At the 0 handicap, RB Leipzig Draw No Bet at 1.11 is significantly shorter than Hamburg Draw No Bet at 5.30.
Why RB Leipzig are favourites
An RB Leipzig win is available at 1.35, the draw is offered at 5.50 and a Hamburg victory at 7.60.
- RB Leipzig lead the league for chances created: with an xG figure of 2.76, they rank second in the Bundesliga's pre-match standings.
- Hamburg are experiencing serious attacking problems: having scored no goals, they are bottom of the league for scoring.
Form and Line-up RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig come into this round after difficult matches: they lost to Werder Bremen (1:3) in the Bundesliga and suffered a defeat to Como (1:4) in the Champions League. Their schedule is an additional burden, with just three days between their European away trip and the league match.
At home, however, RB Leipzig regularly take the initiative: in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, they have not had fewer shot attempts than their opponents and have committed no more than 10 fouls.
- RB Leipzig have had at least 5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
- In 8 of RB Leipzig's last 10 Bundesliga matches, the two teams have combined for at least 11 shots on target.
- In 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, RB Leipzig have been caught offside no more than twice.
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-2-1-3): Maarten Vandevoordt, Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Neil El Aynaoui, Nicolas Seiwald, Christopher Nkunku, Andrija Maksimovic, Marc Guiu, Musa
Form and Line-up Hamburg
Hamburg have made a difficult start to the Bundesliga season: an away defeat to Borussia (0:2) was followed by a home thrashing by Mainz 05 (0:5). The team prepared for the match as usual, beginning their weekly cycle with an open training session.
Hamburg find it difficult to impose their game away from home: in 9 of their last 10 away league matches, they have had fewer than 15 shot attempts, and in all 10 cases they have had fewer corners than their opponents.
- In 8 of Hamburg's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, there have been at least 9 shots on target.
- In 9 of Hamburg's last 10 Bundesliga away matches, the teams have taken at least 9 corners.
- Hamburg have been caught offside no more than twice in their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Probable Hamburg line-up (3-4-2-1): Daniel Heuer Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Sebastian Bornauw, Jordan Torunarigha, Zakaria El Ouahdi, Nadir, Nicolai Remberg, David Moller Wolfe, Adeline, Albert Gronbaek, Terem Moffi
Team chances
A home win at 1.35 corresponds to fair odds of 1.42 and a probability of 70.3%. The draw is listed at 5.50, with fair odds of 5.80 and a probability of 17.2%; an away win is quoted at 7.60, with fair odds of 8.01 and a probability of 12.5%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig win | 1.35 | 1.42 | 70.3% |
| Draw | 5.50 | 5.80 | 17.2% |
| Hamburg win | 7.60 | 8.01 | 12.5% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.75. At the 3.5 mark, the odds are closer: Under 3.5 goals is 1.80 and Over 3.5 goals is 2.00.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
Handicap prediction
RB Leipzig (-1.5) is offered at 1.92 and Hamburg (+1.5) at 1.88. At the -1 line, RB Leipzig (-1) at 1.50 is considerably shorter than Hamburg (+1) at 2.50. At the 0 handicap, RB Leipzig Draw No Bet is quoted at 1.11 and Hamburg Draw No Bet at 5.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.92 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.88 | |
| 1.50 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.50 | |
| 1.11 | 0 | 5.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.65 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 2.17; the latter option implies that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.65 |
| No | 2.17 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: RB Leipzig — 2.5 goals, Hamburg — 0.5 goals.
RB Leipzig team total
RB Leipzig team total: Under 2 goals is 2.35 and Over 2 goals is 1.55. At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 1.70 and Over 2.5 goals at 2.10; at the 3 line, Under 3 goals is 1.40 and Over 3 goals is 2.75.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 2 | 1.55 |
| 1.70 | 2.5 | 2.10 |
| 1.40 | 3 | 2.75 |
Hamburg team total
Hamburg team total: Under 0.5 goals is 2.35 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.57. At the 1 line, Under 1 goal is offered at 1.52 and Over 1 goal at 2.45; at the 1.5 mark, Under 1.5 goals is 1.23 and Over 1.5 goals is 3.70.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.57 |
| 1.52 | 1 | 2.45 |
| 1.23 | 1.5 | 3.70 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Florian Badstubner (Germany)
Matches — 15 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.2;
Matches with red cards — 1 out of 15;
Matches with penalties — 2 out of 15.
