Odds overview
RB Leipzig to win is available at around 1.45, while the draw is quoted at 5.10 and Elversberg to win at 6.30. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.25 is much shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 3.50. RB Leipzig Draw No Bet (0) at 1.16 is also considerably shorter than Elversberg Draw No Bet (0) at 4.40.
Why RB Leipzig are favourites
Bookmakers strongly favour the hosts: RB Leipzig to win is available at 1.45 (a 66.0% probability without margin), the draw at 5.10 (18.8%) and Elversberg to win at 6.30 (15.2%).
- The hosts have been prolific at the start of the season, averaging 2.67 goals per Bundesliga match.
- The visitors concede an average of 2.41 xG per match, the third-worst figure in the league, and let in 1.83 goals per game.
Form and Line-up RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig's league results have been emphatic: after thrashing Eintracht Frankfurt 6:0, with Christopher Nkunku scoring a hat-trick, they lost 1:6 away to Bayern Munich. They have, however, gone 10 consecutive Bundesliga home matches unbeaten.
A demanding October schedule — seven matches in 21 days — means the coaching staff must manage the players' workload ahead of this game. Even so, RB Leipzig have remained highly active in attack in home league matches, attempting more than 12.5 shots in 10 consecutive games.
- RB Leipzig scored at least two goals in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches
- RB Leipzig registered at least 5 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches
- RB Leipzig committed fewer than 11.5 fouls in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches
Probable RB Leipzig line-up (4-2-3-1): Maarten Vandevoordt, Lukas Klostermann, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Neil El Aynaoui, Rocco Reitz, Ezechiel Banzuzi, Brajan Gruda, Antonio Nusa, Christopher Nkunku
Form and Line-up Elversberg
After six Bundesliga matches, Elversberg are sixth with 10 points and a goal difference of 12:11. They beat Augsburg 4:3 in their most recent match, a game marked by penalties and VAR decisions.
Head coach Vincent Wagner has openly noted that his side have twice come close to surrendering a three-goal lead. A lack of defensive control and prolific opposition attacks have contributed to a high average total in Elversberg's away matches — 3.83 goals per 90 minutes.
- Elversberg committed fewer than 13.5 fouls in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Elversberg received fewer than 2.5 yellow cards in 8 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions
- Elversberg's opponents took fewer than 5.5 corners in 8 of Elversberg's last 10 away matches in all competitions
Probable Elversberg line-up (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Kristof, Lukas Pinckert, Jan Gyamerah, Maximilian Rohr, Lasse Günther, Łukasz Poręba, Felix Keidel, Maurice Krattenmacher, Noah Darvich, Lukas Petkov, David Mokwa Ntusu
Teams' chances
RB Leipzig to win at 1.45 corresponds to fair odds of 1.51 and a 66.0% probability. The draw is listed at 5.10, with fair odds of 5.33 and an 18.8% probability; Elversberg to win is at 6.30, with fair odds of 6.58 and a 15.2% probability. RB Leipzig remain clear favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig to win | 1.45 | 1.51 | 66.0% |
| Draw | 5.10 | 5.33 | 18.8% |
| Elversberg to win | 6.30 | 6.58 | 15.2% |
Total goals prediction
Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.25, compared with 3.50 for Under 2.5 goals, suggesting that a high-scoring game is expected. At the 3.5-goal line, Over 3.5 goals at 1.70 is also favoured over Under 3.5 goals at 2.13.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 3.50 | 1.25 |
| 3.5 | 2.13 | 1.70 |
Handicap prediction
RB Leipzig (-1.5) are available at 2.00, while Elversberg (+1.5) are at 1.80. On the 1-goal handicap line, RB Leipzig (-1) at 1.60 are shorter than Elversberg (+1) at 2.25. RB Leipzig Draw No Bet (0) at 1.16 are considerably shorter than Elversberg Draw No Bet (0) at 4.40.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.80 | |
| 1.60 | -1 | |
| 1 | 2.25 | |
| 1.16 | 0 | 4.40 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Both teams to score — No at 2.70: the market is more likely to expect goals from both sides, while the latter option means at least one side will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.40 |
| No | 2.70 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
11/100
|
9/50
|
163/100
|
| 888sport |
3/25
|
3/20
|
19/10
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team goal totals: 2.5 goals for RB Leipzig and 1 goal for Elversberg.
RB Leipzig total goals
For RB Leipzig's team total, Over 2 goals at 1.45 is shorter than Under 2 goals at 2.65. At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is slightly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 1.95, while at the 3-goal line, Under 3 goals at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Over 3 goals at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.65 | 2 | 1.45 |
| 1.95 | 2.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.53 | 3 | 2.40 |
Elversberg total goals
For Elversberg's team total, Over 0.5 goals at 1.35 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 2.95. At the 1-goal line, the odds are close: Over 1 goal is 1.82 and Under 1 goal is 1.92. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.95 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
| 1.92 | 1 | 1.82 |
| 1.42 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
