Odds overview
Real Sociedad to win is available at around 1.63, while the draw is quoted at 4.05 and Deportivo to win at 5.40: the hosts are clear favourites. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.07. On the handicap (0) market, Real Sociedad at 1.23 are considerably more likely to win than Deportivo at 3.75.
Why Real Sociedad are favourites
The bookmakers' odds make Real Sociedad favourites for the upcoming match: a home win is quoted at 1.63, the draw at 4.05 and a Deportivo win at 5.40.
Deportivo have been outshot in each of their last ten away matches in La Liga, with their opponents taking at least 13 shots in nine of those games.
Deportivo's scoring record away from home remains modest: they have scored no more than one goal in eight of their last ten away league games.
Deportivo have beaten Real Sociedad only once in their last 10 meetings.
Form and Line-up Real Sociedad
Before the international break, the Basque side won 3:2 away to Valencia, having previously lost 1:2 to Bournemouth in the UEFA Europa League. Real Sociedad later played a friendly against Athletic Bilbao (0:1) with a weakened side because players had left to join their national teams. The Basque side sit eighth in La Liga with a goal difference of 9:13.
- In 9 of their last 10 home matches in La Liga, Real Sociedad have allowed their opponents no more than five corners.
- Real Sociedad have not recorded fewer offsides than their opponents in any of their last 10 home matches in La Liga.
- Real Sociedad have received at least two yellow cards in each of their last 10 home games in La Liga.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Álex Remiro, Luken Beitia, Mamadou Sarr, Jon Martín, Sergio Gómez, Ander Barrenetxea, Yangel Herrera, Carlos Soler, Gonçalo Guedes, Luka Sučić, Mikel Oyarzabal.
Unavailable: Álvaro Odriozola, Jon Aramburu (both injured), Orri Óskarsson (suspended), Héctor Fort, Igor Zubeldia (both doubtful).
Form and Line-up Deportivo
In their recent La Liga matches, Deportivo drew 1:1 with Real Betis and lost 0:1 to Sevilla. The club prepared for the upcoming match with friendlies — a 2:2 draw with Penafiel and a 1:3 defeat to Porto.
- Deportivo have gone 5 matches without a win.
- Deportivo have conceded in 10 consecutive matches.
- Both teams to score – Yes has landed in 8 of their last 9 matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Leo Román, Ximo Navarro, José María Giménez, Lucas Noubi, Giacomo Quagliata, Luismi Cruz, Lorenzo Amatucci, Mario Soriano, Yeremay Hernández, Jonathan Jensen, Bil Nsongo.
Unavailable: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Marc Casadó, Zakaria Eddahchouri (all injured), Noé Carrillo (doubtful).
The teams' chances
Real Sociedad to win is offered at 1.63, with fair odds of 1.70 and a 58.7% probability. The draw is quoted at 4.05, with fair odds of 4.23 and a 23.6% probability; Deportivo A Coruña to win is offered at 5.40, with fair odds of 5.65 and a 17.7% probability.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Probability without margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad to win | 1.63 | 1.70 | 58.7% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.23 | 23.6% |
| Deportivo A Coruña to win | 5.40 | 5.65 | 17.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 is available at 2.07 and Over 2.5 at 1.75, making the over the shorter option. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 at 1.42 is considerably shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.65.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.07 | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 1.42 | 2.65 |
Handicap prediction
Real Sociedad (-1.5) are available at 2.60, while Deportivo (+1.5) are at 1.45. On the one-goal handicap line, Real Sociedad (-1) are offered at 2.05 and Deportivo (+1) at 1.77. On the handicap (0) line, Real Sociedad at 1.23 are considerably more likely to win than Deportivo at 3.75.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.60 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.45 | |
| 2.05 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.77 | |
| 1.23 | 0 | 3.75 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – Yes is available at 1.75, while Both teams to score – No is at 2.00: the market slightly favours both teams scoring. The No option means at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.75 |
| No | 2.00 |
Team total goals prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Real Sociedad — 1.5 goals; Deportivo A Coruña — 0.5 goals.
Real Sociedad team total goals
For Real Sociedad's team total, Under 0.5 goals is available at 6.00 and Over 0.5 at 1.08; Under 1 at 4.15 and Over 1 at 1.17. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is offered at 2.12 and Over 1.5 at 1.68, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is quoted at 1.60 against 2.25 for Over 2.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 6.00 | 0.5 | 1.08 |
| 4.15 | 1 | 1.17 |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | 1.68 |
| 1.60 | 2 | 2.25 |
Deportivo A Coruña team total goals
For Deportivo A Coruña's team total, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.35 and Over 0.5 at 1.55. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 is available at 1.55 against 2.35 for Over 1; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is quoted at 1.25 and Over 1.5 at 3.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Miguel Sesma (Spain)
Matches – 24 (La Liga, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 27;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.7;
Matches with a red card – 2 of 24;
Matches with a penalty – 8 of 24.
