Odds overview
Rennes are slight favourites: the home win is available at around 2.10, while the away win is 3.15; the draw is quoted at 3.95. Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.35. In the main handicap market, Rennes Draw No Bet at 1.60 looks preferable to Olympique Marseille Draw No Bet at 2.35.
Why Rennes are favourites for the match
Rennes to win is available at 2.10, the draw is 3.95, and Olympique Marseille to win is 3.15.
- Rennes have started Ligue 1 with two wins from three matches and beat Angers 2:1 in their latest game.
- Olympique Marseille have suffered two successive league defeats, losing 0:2 to Monaco and 2:3 to Paris FC.
Form and Line-up Rennes
Rennes had 48 shots in their first three matches: 9 against Paris Saint-Germain, 22 against Le Mans and 17 against Angers.
Sixteen of those shots were on target, while their number of corners varied considerably from match to match: 0 against Paris Saint-Germain, 8 against Le Mans and 6 against Angers.
Key numbers:
- Rennes have scored at least 2 goals in all three Ligue 1 matches this season.
- Rennes have had 16 shots on target in three matches — an average of 5.3 per game.
- Rennes have scored 7 goals and conceded 5 in three matches.
Probable Rennes line-up (4-2-3-1): Brice Samba, Przemyslaw Frankowski, Charlie Cresswell, Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal, Quentin Merlin, Valentin Rongier, Sebastian Szymanski, Ludovic Blas, Adrien Thomasson, Mousa Al Tamari, Esteban Lepaul
Form and Line-up Olympique Marseille
In their only Ligue 1 away match so far, Olympique Marseille had 64.5% possession, 13 shots and 7 corners, but lost 0:2 to Monaco.
Marseille have had 41 shots in three matches: 14 against Strasbourg, 13 against Monaco and 14 against Paris FC. After an opening 4:0 win, the team suffered two successive defeats.
Key numbers:
- Olympique Marseille have had at least 13 shots in all three Ligue 1 matches this season.
- Against Monaco, Marseille had only 2 shots on target from 13 and failed to score.
- There have been no more than 22 fouls in each of Olympique Marseille's three Ligue 1 matches this season.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Jeffrey de Lange, Timothy Weah, CJ Egan-Riley, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson Palmieri, Hamed Traore, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Amine Harit, Angel Gomes, Igor Paixao, Amine Gouiri
Geoffrey Kondogbia and Tochukwu Nnadi will miss out for Olympique Marseille through injury.
Team chances
The home win is offered at 2.10; the fair odds are 2.20 and the probability is 45.5%. The draw is quoted at 3.95, with fair odds of 4.13 and a 24.2% probability. The away win is 3.15; the fair odds are 3.30 and the probability is 30.3%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes to win | 2.10 | 2.20 | 45.5% |
| Draw | 3.95 | 4.13 | 24.2% |
| Olympique Marseille to win | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
Total goals
At the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is quoted at 2.35 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.55, so the market expects a higher-scoring scenario. At the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.60 is preferable to Over 3.5 goals at 2.30.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.30 |
Handicap
Rennes (-1.5) is available at 3.25 and Olympique Marseille (-1.5) at 5.50. At the 1.5 line, Rennes (+1.5) has shorter odds — 1.10 versus 1.30 for Olympique Marseille (+1.5). Rennes (-1) is quoted at 2.70 and Olympique Marseille (-1) at 4.80; at the 1 line, Rennes (+1) is 1.13 and Olympique Marseille (+1) is 1.40. In the 0 handicap market, Rennes Draw No Bet at 1.60 is shorter than Olympique Marseille Draw No Bet at 2.35.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.25 | -1.5 | 5.50 |
| 1.10 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
| 2.70 | -1 | 4.80 |
| 1.13 | 1 | 1.40 |
| 1.60 | 0 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score
Both teams to score - Yes is quoted at 1.48 and is considerably more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.55, under which at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.48 |
| No | 2.55 |
Double chance
The 12 double-chance bet is offered at 1.28, 1X at 1.38 and X2 at 1.75. The market considers a result without a draw the most likely outcome, while it rates X2 more cautiously.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 1.28 | 1.75 |
Team totals
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Rennes — 1.5 goals, Olympique Marseille — 1.5 goals.
Rennes team total
Rennes team total: Under 0.5 goals is quoted at 4.90 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.13; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is 3.50 and Over 1 is 1.25. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 is 1.97 and Over 1.5 is 1.80. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.50 and Over 2 is 2.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.90 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.50 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2 | 2.55 |
Olympique Marseille team total
Olympique Marseille team total: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 3.60 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.25; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 is quoted at 2.35 and Over 1 at 1.57. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 at 1.58 is preferable to Over 1.5 at 2.30. At the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.20 and Over 2 is 3.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.60 | 0.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.35 | 1 | 1.57 |
| 1.58 | 1.5 | 2.30 |
| 1.20 | 2 | 3.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Jeremy Stinat (France)
Matches — 16 (Ligue 1, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 6 out of 16;
Matches with penalties — 2 out of 16.
