Odds overview
Sassuolo are moderate favourites: a home win is available at 2.25, while the draw and an away win are rated almost equally at 3.35 and 3.30. In the main 2.5-goal market, Under is shorter than Over — 1.80 versus 2.00. On the 0 handicap, the home side are at 1.60 and the visitors at 2.35, which also gives the hosts a slight edge.
Why Sassuolo are favourites
Bookmakers favour the hosts: Sassuolo to win is available at 2.25, Torino at 3.30 and the draw at 3.35.
- Sassuolo are starting the season under Alberto Aquilani, who has made his managerial debut in Serie A, while Torino also changed manager in the summer, appointing Ignazio Abate, and lost 1:2 to Milan in the first round.
- In the league's pre-match standings, Torino are among the three teams whose opponents have scored the most in away matches — 2.0 goals per game.
Form and Line-up Sassuolo
The opening league match ended in a 1:2 defeat in Bergamo, but the performance was far better than the result: the team created noticeably more chances than Atalanta. Before that, Sassuolo comfortably beat Cesena 3:0 at home in the Coppa Italia.
Across ten home league matches, the team have not drawn a single first half — their starts have been highly active.
Key numbers:
2.7 xG in the first-round match, compared with 0.92 for their opponents.
In 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Sassuolo and their opponents have scored no more than 3 goals.
At home, the team have had 13 shots or fewer in 9 of 10 league matches.
Probable Sassuolo line-up (4-3-3): Arijanet Muric — Simone Cinquegrano, Cas Odenthal, Tommaso Macchioni, Josh Doig — Vasilije Adzic, Nemanja Matic, Darryl Bakola — Kieron Bowie, Cristian Volpato, Armand Lauriente.
Form and Line-up Torino
Torino opened the season with a 1:0 Coppa Italia win over Carrarese thanks to an early Giovanni Simeone goal, but lost 1:2 to Milan in the league. They were outplayed in every respect: they conceded twice in three second-half minutes and replied only in stoppage time.
In their last ten Serie A away matches, the team have competed fiercely and have not committed more fouls than their opponents, but they have had fewer than 14 shots in nine of those ten away games.
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 Serie A away matches, Torino have scored no more than 1 goal.
The team have conceded at least two goals in 8 of 10 away matches.
In 9 of 10 away matches, Torino have taken no more than 4 corners.
Probable Torino line-up (3-4-2-1): Diego Mascardi — Saul Coco, Ardian Ismajli, Pietro Comuzzo — Marcus Pedersen, Kian Fitz-Jim, Gvidas Gineitis, Alessio Caccamani — Nikola Vlasic, Cesare Casadei — Giovanni Simeone.
Team chances
A home win at 2.25 corresponds to fair odds of 2.35 and a 42.5% probability. The draw is listed at 3.35, with fair odds of 3.50 and 28.5%; an away win is at 3.30, 3.45 and 29.0%. The market leans more clearly towards a Sassuolo win, while the draw and a Torino win are rated similarly.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Sassuolo to win | 2.25 | 2.35 | 42.5% |
Draw | 3.35 | 3.50 | 28.5% |
Torino to win | 3.30 | 3.45 | 29.0% |
Total goals prediction
Under 2.5 goals is at 1.80 and Over at 2.00, so the lower-scoring option is rated slightly higher. The gap is wider at 3.5: Under is available at 1.30 and Over at 3.20, so the market considers three or more goals more likely than four or more.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
3.5 | 1.30 | 3.20 |
Handicap prediction
The home -1.5 handicap is available at 3.85 and the away handicap at 6.40. At +1.5, the odds are short for both sides: 1.07 for the hosts and 1.22 for the visitors. At -1, the home handicap is 3.15 versus 5.50 for the away side; at +1, they are 1.10 and 1.30 respectively. On the 0 handicap, the home side at 1.60 are noticeably shorter than the visitors at 2.35.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.85 | -1.5 | 6.40 |
1.07 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
3.15 | -1 | 5.50 |
1.10 | 1 | 1.30 |
1.60 | 0 | 2.35 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score — Yes is available at 1.77, while Both teams to score — No is at 2.00. The shorter odds for Yes indicate a slight edge for both teams scoring; No means at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.77 |
No | 2.00 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 are both available at 1.35, while X2 is at 1.67. The market rates outcomes involving a positive result for Sassuolo more highly than the option of Torino avoiding defeat.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.35 | 1.35 | 1.67 |
Team total prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Sassuolo — 1.5 goals, Torino — 1 goal.
Sassuolo team total
Sassuolo: Under 0.5 is at 3.80 and Over 0.5 at 1.22; on the 1-goal line, the odds are 2.60 and 1.47. For 1.5, Under is at 1.65 and Over at 2.17, while on 2 they are 1.25 and 3.50 respectively. The odds strongly support the hosts scoring at least once, but as the line rises, the edge shifts to Under.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
2.60 | 1 | 1.47 |
1.65 | 1.5 | 2.17 |
1.25 | 2 | 3.50 |
Torino team total
Torino: Under 0.5 is available at 2.80 and Over 0.5 at 1.40. On the 1-goal line, Under and Over are almost level at 1.90 and 1.85. For 1.5, Under is at 1.35 while Over is at 2.90, so the market is more likely to expect the visitors to score no more than one goal.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.80 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
1.90 | 1 | 1.85 |
1.35 | 1.5 | 2.90 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Davide Di Marco (Italy)
Matches — 16 (Serie A, Serie B, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 27;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.6;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 16;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 16.
