Odds overview
Ukraine are narrow favourites: a Ukraine win is available at around 2.22, the draw at 3.40 and a Georgia win at 3.25. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.74 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.01. Ukraine Draw No Bet (0) at 1.59 is considerably shorter than Georgia Draw No Bet (0) at 2.24.
Why Ukraine are favourites
The bookmakers make Ukraine favourites, offering odds of 2.22 on their win. A Georgia win is available at 3.25 and the draw at 3.40.
- Ukraine have a strong record against these opponents: they have never lost to Georgia in eight known head-to-head meetings.
- Georgia have struggled to win in the current competition: they have gone five consecutive UEFA Nations League matches without a victory.
Form and Line-up Ukraine
On 14 November 2026, Ukraine lost 0:1 away to Northern Ireland.
Ahead of the match against Georgia, coach Andrea Maldera said the team's priority now was recovery and preparation. A final decision on the line-up will be made just before the match. Before the previous game, Mykola Shaparenko had mild flu-like symptoms, while Valeriy Bondar had a muscle strain.
- Ukraine have failed to win 6 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- There have been fewer than 10.5 corners in 8 of Ukraine's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Ukraine line-up: Anatoliy Trubin, Illia Zabarnyi, Eduard Sarapiy, Mykola Matvienko, Vitaliy Mikolenko, Oleksiy Kashchuk, Oleg Ocheretko, Yegor Yarmolyuk, Georgiy Sudakov, Danylo Sikan, Roman Yaremchuk
Viktor Tsyhankov is listed as absent from Ukraine's squad.
Form and Line-up Georgia
On 14 November 2026, Georgia lost 0:2 to Hungary. Before that, in October, they drew 0:0 with Northern Ireland and lost 0:1 to Hungary.
The visitors also have a player unavailable: Sandro Altunashvili missed training because of a virus and will be unable to help the team in their upcoming matches.
- Georgia have failed to win 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Referees have shown more than 2.5 yellow cards in 7 of Georgia's last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Georgia line-up: Giorgi Mamardashvili, Otar Kakabadze, Saba Goglichidze, Lasha Dvali, Luka Lochoshvili, Nika Gagnidze, Anzor Mekvabishvili, Heorhiy Tsitaishvili, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Giorgi Kvernadze, Georges Mikautadze
Khvicha Kvarackhelija has not been included in Georgia's squad because of a cruciate ligament injury.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Ukraine a 42.8% chance of winning, with average odds of 2.22 and fair odds of 2.34. The draw is rated at 28.0%, with average odds of 3.40 against fair odds of 3.58. Georgia have a 29.2% chance of winning, with average odds of 3.25 and fair odds of 3.42.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine to win | 2.22 | 2.34 | 42.8% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.58 | 28.0% |
| Georgia to win | 3.25 | 3.42 | 29.2% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.74 is shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 2.01. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 goals is favoured at 1.52, against 2.39 for Under 2 goals. At 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.27, while Over 3.5 goals is 3.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| 2 | 2.39 | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.35 |
Handicap betting
Ukraine Draw No Bet (0) at 1.59 is considered considerably more likely than Georgia Draw No Bet (0) at 2.24.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | 0 | 2.24 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
33/100
|
33/100
|
67/100
|
| William Hill |
7/20
|
3/10
|
13/20
|
| LeoVegas |
7/20
|
33/100
|
3/5
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The team total goals markets for Ukraine and Georgia suggest that each side is more likely to score at least one goal than to score two or more.
Ukraine team total goals
For Ukraine, Under 0.5 goals is available at 3.45 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.26. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.59 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.24. Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.14, against 4.65 for Over 2.5 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | 0.5 | 1.26 |
| 1.59 | 1.5 | 2.24 |
| 1.14 | 2.5 | 4.65 |
Georgia team total goals
For Georgia, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.73 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.40. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.37, while Over 1.5 goals is 2.85. At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals at 1.07 is considerably shorter than Over 2.5 goals at 6.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.73 | 0.5 | 1.40 |
| 1.37 | 1.5 | 2.85 |
| 1.07 | 2.5 | 6.20 |
