Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Bundesliga match.
Bayern Munich’s early Champions League elimination has left them fully focused on domestic matters. They are now closing in on their first Bundesliga title in two years, and this fixture against Mainz 05 could be a decisive step toward reclaiming the crown.
Bayern Munich
Last weekend, Bayern Munich took full advantage of another setback for Bayer 04 Leverkusen, stretching their lead at the top of the standings to eight points with just four rounds remaining. Should they drop points against Augsburg, a win in this match would secure the league title for Bayern Munich. At home, they have been the most efficient attacking side in the league, scoring 48 goals and generating 51.28 xG across 15 matches, dropping only seven points in the process (38 points accumulated).
Mainz 05
Mainz 05, in contrast, have lost momentum after briefly pushing for a European spot. Since 15 March, they have earned just three points from a possible 15. In their recent outings against TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (0:2) and Wolfsburg (2:2), Mainz 05 conceded a combined 3.23 xGA. Over their last four away fixtures, they have let in seven goals.
Bayern Munich vs Mainz 05 Prediction
Although Bayern Munich lost the reverse fixture earlier this season, they have a dominant home record in this match-up, winning each of the last seven meetings in Munich by a combined score of 37:7. Backing the hosts with a handicap appears to be a solid option, as Bayern Munich are on the verge of sealing the title.