Odds Overview
Atalanta are favourites in the 1X2 market: the home win is around 1.88, while the draw is 3.65 and the away win is about 4.10. Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are both available at 1.90 in the main total market. Atalanta Draw No Bet at 1.38 is considerably more favoured than Bologna Draw No Bet at 2.80.
Why Atalanta Are Favourites
Bookmakers favour the home side: an Atalanta win is available at 1.88, the draw at 3.65 and a Bologna win at 4.10.
• The hosts began the league season with a 2:1 home win over Sassuolo thanks to goals from Giacomo Raspadori and Nikola Krstovic.
• Bologna lost their opening match to Lazio (0:1) and are yet to pick up a point under new coach Domenico Tedesco.
Form and Line-up Atalanta
Atalanta began the season under Maurizio Sarri and are continuing to adapt to the new coaching staff's requirements. Ahead of the match against Bologna, the squad situation also depends on the workload after European matches, so some positions may change immediately before the game.
However, the team's core is clear. Marco Carnesecchi remains the first-choice goalkeeper, while Sarri has Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, Lorenzo Bernasconi, Ederson, Giacomo Raspadori, Nikola Krstovic and other key players at his disposal.
At home, the Bergamo side seek to control the game and limit the number of dangerous attacks by their opponents.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Atalanta's opponents scored no more than 1 goal.
No more than 4 yellow cards were shown in 10 of Atalanta's last 10 Serie A home matches.
No more than 24 fouls were recorded in 8 of Atalanta's last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Atalanta line-up (4-3-3): Marco Carnesecchi — Davide Zappacosta, Odilon Kossounou, Giorgio Scalvini, Lorenzo Bernasconi — Mario Pasalic, Gianluca Gaetano, Ederson — Charles De Ketelaere, Nikola Krstovic, Giacomo Raspadori.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Bologna are playing their first season under Domenico Tedesco. The team are still looking for the optimal balance in midfield and attack, so the coaching staff may yet adjust the starting line-up after the first matchday.
In the latest relevant pre-match forecast, Tedesco is considering starting Federico Bernardeschi, while several players are competing for places in midfield. Bologna have a choice in attack between Roberto Piccoli, Artem Dovbyk, Riccardo Orsolini and other players.
Away from home, the team will above all need to cope with Atalanta's pressure and prevent the hosts from camping around their penalty area for long periods.
Key numbers:
In 8 of their last 10 Serie A home matches, Bologna scored 1 goal or fewer.
No more than 10 corners were taken in 8 of Bologna's last 10 Serie A away matches.
Both teams had no more than 9 shots on target in 10 of Bologna's last 10 Serie A home matches.
Probable Bologna line-up (4-3-3): Lukasz Skorupski — Nadir Zortea, Torbjorn Heggem, Martin Vitik, Juan Miranda — Federico Bernardeschi, Oussama El Azzouzi, Lewis Ferguson — Riccardo Orsolini, Roberto Piccoli, Jonathan Rowe.
Team Chances
The home win has average odds of 1.88, fair odds of 1.97 and a probability of 50.7%. The draw is listed at 3.65, 3.83 and 26.1%, while the away win is 4.10, 4.30 and 23.2% respectively. Atalanta remain clear favourites, with Bologna's chances lower even than those of a draw.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
Atalanta to win | 1.88 | 1.97 | 50.7% |
Draw | 3.65 | 3.83 | 26.1% |
Bologna to win | 4.10 | 4.30 | 23.2% |
Total Goals Prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals and Over 2.5 goals are both available at 1.90, with no clear edge. At the 3.5-goal line, the market expects Under 3.5 goals at 1.33 considerably more than Over 3.5 goals at 3.00.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
3.5 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
Handicap Prediction
Atalanta (-1.5) at 3.25 are substantially more likely than Bologna (-1.5) at 7.60. At the 1.5 line, Atalanta (+1.5) are at 1.04 versus 1.30 for Bologna (+1.5); at the -1 line, Atalanta (-1) are at 2.65 and Bologna (-1) at 6.60. At the 1 line, Atalanta (+1) are available at 1.06, Bologna (+1) at 1.48, while in the Draw No Bet market Atalanta at 1.38 are considerably shorter than Bologna at 2.80.
Home | Handicap | Away |
3.25 | -1.5 | 7.60 |
1.04 | 1.5 | 1.30 |
2.65 | -1 | 6.60 |
1.06 | 1 | 1.48 |
1.38 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.80 is shorter than Both teams to score - No at 1.95, so the market slightly expects both teams to score. The No option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.80 |
No | 1.95 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.25 is the most likely double chance, with 12 at 1.30 quoted slightly higher. X2 at 1.93 is considerably less likely, underlining Atalanta's advantage.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.25 | 1.30 | 1.93 |
Team Total Goals Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Atalanta — 1.5 goals, Bologna — 1 goal.
Atalanta Team Total
Atalanta: Under 0.5 goals at 4.20 is considerably less favoured than Over 0.5 goals at 1.17; at the 1-goal line, Under 1 goals are at 3.10 and Over 1 goals at 1.32. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.80 are quoted slightly shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 1.95, while at the 2-goal line Under 2 goals at 1.35 are considerably more favoured than Over 2 goals at 2.95.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
1.35 | 2 | 2.95 |
Bologna Team Total
Bologna: Under 0.5 goals at 2.50 are quoted higher than Over 0.5 goals at 1.50. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goals at 1.70 are more favoured than Over 1 goals at 2.10, while at the 1.5-goal line Under 1.5 goals at 1.32 are considerably shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 3.10, indicating modest expectations for the visitors' scoring.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
1.70 | 1 | 2.10 |
1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniele Doveri (Italy)
Matches — 19 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.3;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 19;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 19.
