Odds overview
Albania are favourites: an Albania win is available at 2.00, a draw at 3.40 and a Belarus win at 3.90. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.65 compared with 2.25 for Over 2.5, suggesting expectations of a lower-scoring match.
Why Albania are favourites
Albania are the bookmakers' favourites: an away win is offered at 2.00, a Belarus win at 3.90 and a draw at 3.40.
- Albania have been picking up points consistently: they have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Belarus have struggled to win: they have failed to do so in 7 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- The head-to-head record also favours the visitors: Belarus have failed to beat Albania in 6 of their 8 known meetings.
Form and Line-up Belarus
Belarus won 2:0 away to San Marino on 12 November. Before that, they edged Finland 1:0 at home on 6 October.
- Belarus have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 home matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Belarus's opponents have scored no more than two goals in 9 of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Belarus have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Belarus line-up (4-2-3-1): Fyodor Lapoukhov, Vladislav Kalinin, Zakhar Volkov, Kirill Gomanov, Kirill Pechenin, Aleksandr Selyava, Valeriy Bocherov, Artem Kontsevoy, Max Ebong, Valery Gromyko, Timofey Simanenka
Form and Line-up Albania
Albania beat Finland 2:0 on 12 November and overcame San Marino 2:1 on 6 October.
When announcing the squad for the matches against Finland and Belarus, head coach Rolando Maran stressed that he had selected players who play regularly and are in peak condition. Maran hopes this will add pace to the team's play.
- Under 3.5 goals has landed in each of Albania's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
- Albania's opponents have scored no more than two goals in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable Albania line-up (4-4-2): Etrit Berisha, Berat Djimsiti, Ardian Ismajli, Mario Mitaj, Elseid Hysaj, Ylber Ramadani, Kristjan Asllani, Stavros Pilios, Ernest Muci, Qazim Laçi, Rey Manaj
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate gives Albania a 47.6% chance of winning at fair odds of 2.10, compared with 28.0% and 3.57 for the draw and 24.4% and 4.10 for a Belarus win. Average odds are 2.00 for an Albania win, 3.40 for the draw and 3.90 for a Belarus win.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belarus win | 3.90 | 4.10 | 24.4% |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.57 | 28.0% |
| Albania win | 2.00 | 2.10 | 47.6% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 at 1.65 is favoured over Over 2.5 at 2.25. At the 2-goal line, Over 2 at 1.70 is favoured over Under 2 at 2.16. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 is available at 1.24, while Over 3.5 is offered at 4.13.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.65 | 2.25 |
| 2 | 2.16 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 1.24 | 4.13 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No is offered at 1.78 and looks more likely than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.05: at least one team may fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.05 |
| No | 1.78 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
73/100
|
33/100
|
1/4
|
| William Hill |
3/4
|
33/100
|
1/4
|
| LeoVegas |
3/4
|
7/20
|
27/100
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Who Will Referee the Match
Igor Pajac (Croatia)
Matches – 5 (International Matches, 2026/27);
Average fouls per match – 24;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 3.4;
Matches with a red card – 1 of 5;
Matches with a penalty – 0 of 5.
