Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Bologna are favourites at 2.20, the draw is priced at 3.20, and a Lazio win at 3.50. On the main 2.5-goal total, Under at 1.68 is notably preferred to Over at 2.20. In the main handicap market, Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.57 is priced lower than Lazio Draw No Bet at 2.40.
Why Bologna are favourites for the match
A Bologna win is priced at 2.20, the draw at 3.20, and Lazio's success at 3.50. The arguments in favour of that picture are:
Their opponents' cup failure. Lazio go into the league opener after being knocked out of the Coppa Italia by Mantova (0:2), conceding both goals late in the match.
Home control of the game. Bologna regularly restrict opponents' attacks: in 9 of their last 10 matches, opponents had no more than 11 attempted shots.
Stability on their own pitch. In 10 of their last 10 home matches, the team were not beaten on total attempted shots.
Head-to-head meetings. Bologna have lost to Lazio only once in their last eight matches at their home ground.
Form and Line-up Bologna
Bologna completed their preparations for the season with mixed results: after a win over Cambuur (3:1), there were defeats to Pisa (1:4) and Brighton (0:1).
Bologna have not impressed at home — just one win in their last eight official matches, but against Lazio they have only one home defeat over the same period.
Key numbers:
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 8 consecutive matches.
Fewer than 10 corners have been taken in 7 of the last 8 matches.
Both teams to score - No has landed in 6 of the last 10 previous home matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Lukasz Skorupski — Nadir Zortea, Martin Vitik, Torbjorn Heggem, Juan Miranda — Nikola Moro, Lewis Ferguson — Riccardo Orsolini, Federico Bernardeschi, Jonathan Rowe — Artem Dovbyk.
Form and Line-up Lazio
In the cup match against Mantova, Lazio started actively and created several chances, including Fisayo Dele-Bashiru hitting the post in the 4th minute, but they conceded twice and were knocked out of the Coppa Italia as early as the Round of 64.
Lazio had a perfect pre-season — five matches and five wins with an aggregate score of 20:5, but all their opponents were from Italy's lower divisions.
Key numbers:
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of their previous 8 matches.
Fewer than 4 yellow cards have been shown in 7 of the last 8 matches.
Fewer than 10 corners were taken in 5 of the previous 6 games.
Probable line-up (4-3-3): Christos Mandas — Adam Marusic, Danilho Doekhi, Oliver Provstgaard, Alfonso Pedraza — Kenneth Taylor, Nicolo Rovella, Davide Frattesi — Matteo Cancellieri, Boulaye Dia, Mattia Zaccagni.
Absentees: Danilo Cataldi, Patric (both injured), Luca Pellegrini (doubtful).
Team chances
Bologna to win: average odds of 2.20, no-margin estimate of 2.32 and probability of 43.2%. Draw: 3.20, no-margin estimate of 3.37 and 29.7%. Lazio to win is priced at 3.50, with a no-margin estimate of 3.68 and probability of 27.1%; Bologna remain the most likely outcome.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna win | 2.20 | 2.32 | 43.2% |
| Draw | 3.20 | 3.37 | 29.7% |
| Lazio win | 3.50 | 3.68 | 27.1% |
Totals betting prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 1.68 is priced lower than Over 2.5 at 2.20. For a total of 2, Over 2 at 1.65 is preferred to Under 2 at 2.15, while at 3.5 there is a clear lean towards Under 3.5 at 1.20 against Over 3.5 at 3.95.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.68 | 2.20 |
| 2 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 1.20 | 3.95 |
Handicap betting prediction
Bologna (-1.5) at 4.30 is priced lower than Lazio (-1.5) at 7.20. On the 1.5 line, Bologna (+1.5) is 1.05 against 1.16 for Lazio (+1.5); at -1, it is 3.45 against 6.30. On the 1 handicap, the prices are 1.07 for Bologna (+1) and 1.25 for Lazio (+1), while on the 0 line Bologna Draw No Bet at 1.57 is notably lower than Lazio Draw No Bet at 2.40.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 4.30 | -1.5 | 7.20 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.16 |
| 3.45 | -1 | 6.30 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 1.57 | 0 | 2.40 |
Both teams to score betting prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.83 is priced slightly lower than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.92, so a scenario in which at least one team fails to score is a little more likely.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.92 |
| No | 1.83 |
Double chance betting prediction
1X at 1.33 is the most likely double chance option, 12 is 1.37, and X2 at 1.68 is rated more cautiously.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
33/100
|
37/100
|
17/25
|
Team total betting prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bologna — 1 goal, Lazio — 1 goal.
Bologna team total
Bologna: on the 0.5 total, Over 0.5 at 1.27 is notably lower than Under 0.5 at 3.40. On the 1 line, Over 1 is 1.62 against 2.25 for Under 1, while at 1.5 Under 1.5 at 1.55 is priced lower than Over 1.5 at 2.40.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.40 | 0.5 | 1.27 |
| 2.25 | 1 | 1.62 |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | 2.40 |
Lazio team total
Lazio: Over 0.5 at 1.50 is preferred to Under 0.5 at 2.50. On the 1 line, Under 1 is 1.65 against 2.15 for Over 1, while at 1.5 Under 1.5 at 1.28 is significantly lower than Over 1.5 at 3.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.50 | 0.5 | 1.50 |
| 1.65 | 1 | 2.15 |
| 1.28 | 1.5 | 3.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Fabio Maresca (Italy)
Matches – 12 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 26;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.4;
Matches with a red card – 6 of 12;
Matches with a penalty – 3 of 12.
