Odds overview
Liverpool are favourites in the 1X2 market: an away win is 2.15, compared with 3.10 for a home win, while the draw is 3.85. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.48, while Under 2.5 goals is 2.55. In the main handicap market, Liverpool Draw No Bet at 1.63 is notably preferred to Bournemouth Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Liverpool are favourites
The bookmakers favour the visitors: Liverpool to win is available at 2.15, Bournemouth to win is 3.10, and the draw is quoted at 3.85.
• Liverpool have consistently found a way to goal away from home, scoring in each of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
• Bournemouth have made a sluggish start to the season, collecting only 3 points from their opening four Premier League matches without a win.
Form and Line-up Bournemouth
In the Premier League, Bournemouth let a win over Brentford slip away (2:2) after leading early in the second half, but were undone by an error when playing out from the back.
Bournemouth are unbeaten in 11 consecutive Premier League home matches. In the early stages of the season, they rank first for shots on target, averaging 6.0 accurate attempts per game.
- Bournemouth have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches
- In 9 of 10 Premier League home matches, Bournemouth's opponents have managed no more than five shots on target
- At least two goals have been scored in 9 of Bournemouth's last 10 home matches in England's top flight
Probable Bournemouth line-up (4-2-3-1): Djordje Petrovic, Adam Smith, James Hill, António Silva, Adrien Truffert, Tyler Adams, Alex Scott, Ryan, Justin Kluivert, Marcus Tavernier, Evanilson
Out: Amine Adli, Eli Junior Kroupi, Julián Araujo, Veljko Milosavljević (injured)
Form and Line-up Liverpool
Liverpool go into this away trip after an intense spell of three matches in seven days across the UEFA Champions League, the Premier League and the League Cup. Following a goalless league draw with Fulham (0:0), the Merseysiders returned to scoring in a home cup match against Tottenham (3:1).
Away from home, Liverpool look to stifle opponents' attacking activity around their own goal: in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Liverpool's opponents took no more than four corners. Meanwhile, in the league's pre-match snapshot, the Merseysiders rank third from bottom for their own goal kicks (6.75 per game).
- In 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches, Liverpool have registered at least four shots on target
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in six of Liverpool's last seven Premier League away matches
- At least nine shots on target have been recorded in 8 of Liverpool's last 10 away matches in England's top flight
Probable Liverpool line-up (4-2-3-1): Alisson, Ronald Araújo, Jérémy Jacquet, Virgil van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Alexis Mac Allister, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Víctor Muñoz, Bradley Barcola, Alexander Isak
Out: Conor Bradley, Hugo Ekitike, Federico Chiesa, Giovanni Leoni (injured)
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives Liverpool a 44.4% chance of an away win at fair odds of 2.25; a Bournemouth home win is rated at 30.8% and 3.25, while the draw is 24.8% and 4.03. The betting markets offer 2.15 on an away win, 3.10 on a home win and 3.85 on the draw.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth win | 3.10 | 3.25 | 30.8% |
| Draw | 3.85 | 4.03 | 24.8% |
| Liverpool win | 2.15 | 2.25 | 44.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Over 2.5 at 1.48 is considerably shorter than Under 2.5 at 2.55. At the 3.5-goal mark, however, the market favours Under 3.5 at 1.70 over 2.15 for Over 3.5.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.55 | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 1.70 | 2.15 |
Handicap prediction
Bournemouth (-1.5) at 5.20 is quoted higher than Liverpool (-1.5) at 3.20. At the 1.5 handicap, Liverpool (+1.5) is shorter at 1.11, compared with 1.30 for Bournemouth (+1.5); at the -1 line, Bournemouth (-1) is 4.50 and Liverpool (-1) is 2.70. At the 1 handicap, Bournemouth (+1) is 1.40 and Liverpool (+1) is 1.15, while in the Draw No Bet market Liverpool are shorter at 1.63 than Bournemouth at 2.30.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | -1.5 | 3.20 |
| 1.30 | 1.5 | 1.11 |
| 4.50 | -1 | 2.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 1.15 |
| 2.30 | 0 | 1.63 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.45 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.65: the latter means that at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.45 |
| No | 2.65 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Bournemouth — 1.5 goals; Liverpool — 1.5 goals.
Bournemouth team total
Bournemouth team total: Over 0.5 at 1.23 is notably shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.75; at the 1-goal line, Over 1 is 1.50 versus 2.55 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal mark, Under 1.5 is 1.65 and Over 1.5 is 2.20, while at the 2-goal line, Under 2 is 1.25 and Over 2 is 3.65.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.75 | 0.5 | 1.23 |
| 2.55 | 1 | 1.50 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.65 |
Liverpool team total
Liverpool team total: Over 0.5 at 1.13 is preferred to Under 0.5 at 4.80, while Over 1 is 1.28 versus 3.35 for Under 1. At the 1.5-goal line, the odds are close: Over 1.5 is 1.77 and Under 1.5 is 1.97. At the 2-goal mark, Under 2 at 1.55 is shorter than Over 2 at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 3.35 | 1 | 1.28 |
| 1.97 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches — 33 (Premier League, 2025/26–2026/27);
Average fouls per match — 23;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 3.1;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 33;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 33.
