Odds Overview
In the 1X2 market, Celta are favourites: a home win is priced at around 1.95, while the draw is 3.50 and an Osasuna win is 4.00. On the main total, Under 2.5 goals at 1.72 is preferred to Over 2.5 goals at 2.12. In the handicap markets, Celta Draw No Bet at 1.45 is noticeably shorter than Osasuna Draw No Bet at 2.80; Celta (-1.5) and Osasuna (-1.5) are priced at 3.80 and 8.50.
Why Celta Are Favourites
The bookmakers regard Celta as favourites: a home win is priced at 1.95, while an Osasuna win is 4.00 and the draw is 3.50. Celta double chance is 1.25. This advantage for the Vigo club can be explained by several key factors.
- Home factor. Celta have had at least 4 shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches at Estadio ABANCA Balaidos.
- Osasuna's away struggles. The team have not won away for 15 consecutive halves.
- A tight schedule for the visitors. Osasuna have only three days to recover after the match against Levante UD.
- Head-to-head record. At Estadio ABANCA Balaidos, Celta have lost to Osasuna only 3 times in the previous 10 meetings.
Form and Line-up Celta
The team began their league campaign with a goalless away draw against Valencia CF. In that match, Celta had most of the possession (55%), took seven shots (three on target), but could not score, creating only 0.62 xG. At home, Celta have been rather weak — just two wins in their previous eight matches.
Key numbers:
- Celta are unbeaten in 8 matches in a row.
- They scored first in 8 of their previous 10 games.
- Fewer than 4 yellow cards were shown in 9 of their last 10 matches.
Probable Celta line-up (3-4-2-1): Ionut Radu — Javi Rodriguez, Carl Starfelt, Marcos Alonso — Javi Rueda, Ilaix Moriba, Miguel Roman, Javi Galan — Hugo Gonzalez, Williot Swedberg — Ferran Jutgla.
Absentees: —.
Form and Line-up CA Osasuna
Osasuna also came through the previous round without goals for or against, drawing 0:0 with Levante UD. In that game, the Pamplona side created dangerous chances through Budimir (0.70 xG and 7 shots on target), but away from home they have been modest — not a single win in their previous seven LALIGA matches.
Key numbers:
- They conceded first in 4 of their previous 5 matches.
- Fewer than 4 yellow cards were shown in 8 of their last 9 matches.
- Fewer than 10 corners were taken in 6 of their previous 7 games.
Probable CA Osasuna line-up (4-2-3-1): Sergio Herrera — Inigo Arguibide, Enzo Boyomo, Alejandro Catena, Abel Bretones — Jon Moncayola, Iker Munoz — Ruben Garcia, Aimar Oroz, Raul Moro — Ante Budimir.
Absentees: —.
Team Chances
A home win is offered at 1.95, with a no-margin estimate of 2.04 and a probability of 48.9%. The draw is 3.50, with a no-margin estimate of 3.67 and a probability of 27.2%; an away win is 4.00, with a no-margin estimate of 4.19 and a probability of 23.8%.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta to win | 1.95 | 2.04 | 48.9% |
| Draw | 3.50 | 3.67 | 27.2% |
| Osasuna to win | 4.00 | 4.19 | 23.8% |
Totals Betting Tip
Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.72 against 2.12 for Over 2.5 goals. For the 2-goal line, Under is 2.25 and Over is 1.60; at 3.5, Under is 1.22 and Over is 3.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
| 2 | 2.25 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.22 | 3.85 |
Handicap Betting Tip
On the -1.5 line, Celta (-1.5) are priced at 3.80 and Osasuna (-1.5) at 8.50. On the +1.5 line, the odds on Celta (+1.5) and Osasuna (+1.5) are 1.04 and 1.22; at -1 they are 2.90 and 7.10, and at +1 they are 1.05 and 1.35. On the 0 line, Celta Draw No Bet is 1.45 and Osasuna Draw No Bet is 2.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | -1.5 | 8.50 |
| 1.04 | 1.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.90 | -1 | 7.10 |
| 1.05 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.45 | 0 | 2.80 |
Both Teams to Score Betting Tip
Both teams to score — No is priced at 1.82 and is lower than Both teams to score — Yes at 1.93, which gives slightly more weight to a scenario in which at least one team fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.93 |
| No | 1.82 |
Double Chance Betting Tip
1X is offered at 1.25, 12 at 1.30 and X2 at 1.85; the most expensive option remains the draw or away-win combination.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
1/4
|
3/10
|
17/20
|
Team Total Betting Tip
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Celta — 1.5 goals, Osasuna — 0.5 goals.
Celta Team Total
Celta: Under 0.5 goals is 3.80 against 1.22 for Over 0.5 goals; on the 1-goal line, the prices are 2.60 and 1.45, and at 1.5 they are 1.63 and 2.20. For the 2-goal line, Under is 1.25 and Over is 3.55.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 3.80 | 0.5 | 1.22 |
| 2.60 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.63 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.55 |
Osasuna Team Total
Osasuna: Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.35 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.55; on the 1-goal line, the odds are 1.55 and 2.35, and at 1.5 they are 1.25 and 3.60.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.35 | 0.5 | 1.55 |
| 1.55 | 1 | 2.35 |
| 1.25 | 1.5 | 3.60 |
