Odds overview
Roma are clear favourites: an away win is available at 1.50, while the draw is 4.10 and a Lecce win is 7.10. In the main total-goals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 looks preferable to Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. At the zero handicap, Roma Draw No Bet at 1.14 is considerably shorter than Lecce Draw No Bet at 4.70.
Why Roma are favourites for the match
Bookmakers make the visitors clear favourites: a Roma win is available at 1.50, the draw at 4.10 and a Lecce win at 7.10.
• Roma have built strong momentum in the league, winning six consecutive Serie A matches.
• Roma's defence handles pressure reliably: in 9 of their last 10 home matches, their opponents have scored no more than one goal.
Form and Line-up Lecce
Lecce begin the home part of their season against one of the league's favourites. Eusebio Di Francesco's side have some squad issues before the match, but the main group of players remains available.
Current pre-match predictions have Lecce set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation. Wladimiro Falcone is expected to start in goal, while Willem Geubbels remains one of the main options in attack. Medon Berisha is still doubtful.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of 10 Serie A home matches, Lecce have taken no more than 5 corners.
- No more than 3 goals have been scored in 9 of Lecce's last 10 Serie A matches.
- In 8 of 10 Serie A home matches, Lecce and their opponents have received no more than 4 yellow cards.
Probable Lecce line-up (4-2-3-1): Wladimiro Falcone — Danilo Veiga, Tiago Gabriel, Gaspar, Antonino Gallo — Lassana Coulibaly, Olaf Gorter — Santiago Pierotti, Oumar Ngom, Konan N'Dri — Willem Geubbels.
Form and Line-up Roma
Roma began the new season with a win and head to Lecce as clear favourites. Gian Piero Gasperini's side have considerable options in attack, where Paulo Dybala, Donyell Malen, Rodrigo Mora and other players are competing for places in the starting line-up.
The main squad concern before the match is Manu Kone's condition. The midfielder picked up an injury in the previous match and his fitness still needs to be assessed. Some predictions expect Kone to start, while others consider a replacement in central midfield. Lorenzo Pellegrini and Devyne Rensch are also doubtful.
Key numbers:
In 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches, Roma have not scored fewer goals than their opponents.
At least 9 corners have been taken in 8 of Roma's last 10 Serie A matches.
Roma have won their last three Serie A meetings with Lecce without conceding.
Probable Roma line-up (3-4-2-1): Mile Svilar — Gianluca Mancini, Evan Ndicka, Mario Hermoso — Wesley, Manu Kone, Bryan Cristante, Nayef Molina — Paulo Dybala, Rodrigo Mora — Donyell Malen.
Teams' chances
Roma to win: average odds of 1.50, fair odds of 1.58 and a probability of 63.4%. The corresponding figures for the draw are 4.10, 4.31 and 23.2%, and for a Lecce win, 7.10, 7.47 and 13.4%.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Lecce to win | 7.10 | 7.47 | 13.4% |
Draw | 4.10 | 4.31 | 23.2% |
Roma to win | 1.50 | 1.58 | 63.4% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is 1.75 versus 2.10 for Over 2.5 goals. For a total of 2, Over 2 goals is 1.55 and Under 2 goals is 2.35; at the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals at 1.27 is significantly shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 3.40.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
2 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Roma (-1.5) are available at 2.45, while Lecce (+1.5) are 1.52. At the 1-goal line, Roma (-1) are 1.85 and Lecce (+1) are 1.95. At the zero handicap, Roma Draw No Bet at 1.14 is considerably shorter than Lecce Draw No Bet at 4.70.
Home | Handicap | Away |
— | -1.5 | 2.45 |
1.52 | 1.5 | — |
— | -1 | 1.85 |
1.95 | 1 | — |
4.70 | 0 | 1.14 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No is 1.63 versus 2.20 for Both teams to score - Yes, so the market expects at least one of the teams not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 2.20 |
No | 1.63 |
Double chance prediction
X2 has the lowest odds at 1.12, followed by 12 at 1.25; 1X is 2.60.
1X | 12 | X2 |
2.60 | 1.25 | 1.12 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Lecce — 0.5 goals, Roma — 1.5 goals.
Lecce team total
Lecce: at the 0.5-goal line, Under 0.5 goals is 1.82 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.95. For a total of 1, Under 1 goal is 1.25 versus 3.65 for Over 1 goal; at the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is 1.12 and Over 1.5 goals is 5.10.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.82 | 0.5 | 1.95 |
1.25 | 1 | 3.65 |
1.12 | 1.5 | 5.10 |
Roma team total
Roma: Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.20. At the 1-goal line, Over 1 goal is 1.25 versus 3.60 for Under 1 goal, while at 1.5 it is 1.73 versus 2.05. For a total of 2, Under 2 goals is 1.50 and Over 2 goals is 2.45.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
3.60 | 1 | 1.25 |
2.05 | 1.5 | 1.73 |
1.50 | 2 | 2.45 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Daniele Chiffi (Italy)
Matches — 15 (Serie A, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 22;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) — 2.6;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 15;
Matches with penalties — 4 of 15.
