Odds Overview
Nice to win at 2.10 is the likeliest outcome; the draw and Lorient to win are priced at around 3.55 and 3.40. In the main total, Over 2.5 goals at 1.80 is preferred to Under 2.5 goals at 2.00. On the handicap, Nice (0) at 1.55 is noticeably shorter than Lorient (0) at 2.45.
Why Nice Are Favourites for the Match
Bookmakers see the hosts as favourites for the match: a Nice win is priced at odds of 2.10.
Nice's squad was strengthened before the start of the season by the experienced Axel Witsel, while the attack was reinforced by the arrival of Nathan Ngoumou.
Nice regularly take the initiative on their own pitch, going over 4.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home matches.
Form and Line-up Nice
In their last friendly, Nice drew 0:0 with Hull, struggling for ideas when creating chances. At the same time, the team have failed to win in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 home games.
Key numbers:
Nice have failed to go over 1.5 team goals in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
In their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, Nice have received a maximum of 2 yellow cards.
Nice have had 5 shots on target or fewer in 8 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Probable line-up (5-2-3): Yehvann Diouf — Melvin Bard — Antoine Mendy — Youssouf Ndayishimiye — Xavier Mandza Tsyendi — Jonathan Clauss — Djibril Coulibaly — Axel Witsel — Gauthier Hein — Zoumana Diallo — Sofiane Diop
Laurent Abergel will miss the match because of a serious injury.
Form and Line-up Lorient
Lorient lost 1:2 to Angers in a recent friendly, where Noah Cadiou scored with their only accurate strike from the edge of the penalty area. In Ligue 1 away matches, the team play in an extremely restrained manner: in 9 of their last 10 away games, the players committed no more than 13 fouls, while the match offside total consistently stayed within three.
Key numbers:
Lorient's opponents have been caught offside a maximum of once in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
Lorient have failed to go over 2.5 team yellow cards in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches.
In the last 10 Ligue 1 matches involving Lorient, a maximum of 3 offsides have been recorded.
Probable line-up (4-4-2): Bingourou Kamara — Alec Georgen — Nathaniel Adjei — Montassar Talbi — Arsene Kouassi — Theo Le Bris — Arthur Avom — Noah Cadiou — Jean-Victor Makengo — Gabin Bernardeau — Tosin Aiyegun
Team Chances
Nice to win is priced at 2.10, with a no-margin estimate of 2.21 and a 45.3% probability; for the draw, the figures are 3.55, 3.73 and 26.8%, while for Lorient to win they are 3.40, 3.58 and 28%. Nice are considered favourites, but the chances of a draw and a Lorient win are comparable.
Outcome | Average odds | Average odds without margin | No-margin probability |
Nice to win | 2.10 | 2.21 | 45.3% |
Draw | 3.55 | 3.73 | 26.8% |
Lorient to win | 3.40 | 3.58 | 28.0% |
Total Goals Betting Tip
On the 2.5 line, Under is priced at 2.00 and Over at 1.80, so the market is leaning slightly towards a higher-scoring scenario. On 3.5, Under at 1.40 is much more likely than Over at 2.75.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
3.5 | 1.40 | 2.75 |
Handicap Betting Tip
Nice (-1.5) at 3.65 are noticeably more likely than Lorient (-1.5) at 6.10. On the 1.5 line, Nice at 1.08 are shorter than Lorient at 1.25; on -1 it is Nice at 2.90 against Lorient at 5.30, and on 1 it is 1.10 against 1.35. With a zero handicap, Nice at 1.55 are preferred to Lorient at 2.45.
Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
3.65 | -1.5 | 6.10 |
1.08 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
2.90 | -1 | 5.30 |
1.10 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.55 | 0 | 2.45 |
Both Teams to Score Betting Tip
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.65 is rated higher than Both teams to score - No at 2.15: the market is more inclined to expect goals from both teams, while the second option implies that at least one side will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.65 |
No | 2.15 |
Double Chance Betting Tip
12 at 1.32 and 1X at 1.35 are priced almost identically and noticeably lower than X2 at 1.75. The market is slightly more open to an outcome without a draw or to Nice avoiding defeat than to Lorient avoiding defeat.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.35 | 1.32 | 1.75 |
Team Total Betting Tip
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Nice — 1.5 goals, Lorient — 1 goal.
Nice Team Total
Nice: Under 0.5 at 4.20 is well behind Over at 1.17; on the 1 line, Under at 2.95 is longer than Over at 1.35. Under 1.5 at 1.78 is slightly preferred to Over at 1.98, while on 2, Under at 1.35 is noticeably more likely than Over at 3.00.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.20 | 0.5 | 1.17 |
2.95 | 1 | 1.35 |
1.78 | 1.5 | 1.98 |
1.35 | 2 | 3.00 |
Lorient Team Total
Lorient: Under 0.5 at 2.90 is priced higher than Over at 1.35, and on the 1 line it is 2.05 against 1.73. Under 1.5 at 1.47 is noticeably preferred to Over at 2.60.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.90 | 0.5 | 1.35 |
2.05 | 1 | 1.73 |
1.47 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Romain Lissorgue (France)
Matches – 10 (Ligue 2, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match – 25;
Average yellow cards per match (including second yellows) – 4.5;
Matches with red cards – 1 out of 10;
Matches with penalties – 3 out of 10.
