Odds overview
Hoffenheim are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.42, while the draw is offered at 4.80 and the home win at 7.60. In the 2.5-goal totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.60 is notably favoured over Under 2.5 at 2.30. The home handicap (+1.5) at 1.75 is rated more highly than the away handicap (-1.5) at 2.08.
Why Hoffenheim are favourites
The bookmakers give the German side a clear advantage: a Hoffenheim win is available at 1.42, the draw at 4.80 and an OFI win at 7.60.
• Hoffenheim compete in a more competitive league and regularly dominate overall attacking activity, recording more shots than their opponents in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
• OFI struggle to control the initiative even at home: they have had fewer shots than their opponents in 6 of their last 10 away matches.
Form and Line-up OFI
The Greek club approach the start of their European campaign in optimistic mood: on 12 September, OFI beat Olympiacos 1:0 away from home and sit third after four Super League matches. The Cretan side's clean-sheet run has therefore reached four domestic matches.
OFI matches have consistently produced goals over this period: Over 1.5 goals has landed in 8 of their last 10 matches. At their own stadium, however, the team remain disciplined, with no more than six yellow cards shown to both sides in 10 consecutive home matches.
- Away from home, OFI's opponents have registered at least four shots on target in 9 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, OFI have received no more than two yellow cards.
- No more than three goals have been scored in 8 of OFI's last 10 home matches in all competitions.
Probable OFI line-up (3-4-2-1): Nikolaos Christogeorgos, Konstantinos Kostoulas, Achilleas Poungouras, Christos Sielis, Lorenzo Dickmann, Athanasios Androutsos, Andreas Bouchalakis, Nikolaos Athanasiou, Aitor Cantalapiedra, Taxiarchis Fountas, Kenan Kodro
Unavailable: Dimitris Nikolaou (doubtful)
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
On 12 September, Hoffenheim beat Stuttgart 2:1 at home in the Bundesliga, registering 20 shots. However, head coach Christian Ilzer cautiously described the match as even afterwards and stressed that either side could have won.
In away matches, the German club effectively limit their opponents' wide play: in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 away matches, their opponents have taken no more than five corners.
- In 9 of their last 10 home matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim have registered at least four shots on target.
- Hoffenheim have committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- In 8 of their last 10 matches in all competitions, Hoffenheim have received no more than two yellow cards.
Probable Hoffenheim line-up (4-4-2): Oliver Baumann, Ozan Kabak, Albian Hajdari, Vladimir Coufal, Mats Rots, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Bambase Conte, Adam Hlozek, Adam Daghim, Tim Lemperle
Team chances
The home win is available at 7.60, with fair odds of 7.94 and a probability of 12.6%. The draw is offered at 4.80, with fair odds of 5.01 and a probability of 20.0%. The away win at 1.42 corresponds to fair odds of 1.48 and a probability of 67.4%, underlining Hoffenheim's status as favourites.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI win | 7.60 | 7.94 | 12.6% |
| Draw | 4.80 | 5.01 | 20.0% |
| Hoffenheim win | 1.42 | 1.48 | 67.4% |
Total goals prediction
In the totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 2.30 is less favoured than Over 2.5 at 1.60. The picture is reversed at the 3.5-goal line: Under 3.5 is offered at 1.55 and Over 3.5 at 2.40.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.30 | 1.60 |
| 3.5 | 1.55 | 2.40 |
Handicap prediction
The away handicap (-1.5) is available at 2.08 and the home handicap (+1.5) at 1.75. At the -1 line, the away handicap (-1) is available at 1.60; at the +1 line, the home handicap (+1) is available at 2.25. The Draw No Bet market strongly favours the visitors: the home Draw No Bet is at 5.10 against 1.12 for the away Draw No Bet.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.08 | |
| 1.75 | +1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.60 | |
| 2.25 | +1 | |
| 5.10 | 0 | 1.12 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.80, while Both teams to score - No is at 1.95. The slight edge in the odds points to a marginally higher assessment of a scenario in which both teams score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.80 |
| No | 1.95 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
12/5
|
7/50
|
7/100
|
| William Hill |
19/10
|
9/50
|
2/25
|
| 888sport |
23/10
|
3/20
|
3/50
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team totals prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: OFI — 0.5 goals; Hoffenheim — 2 goals.
OFI team total
OFI team total: Under 0.5 at 2.15 is less favoured than Over 0.5 at 1.65. At the 1-goal line, Under is offered at 1.40 and Over at 2.80; at the 1.5-goal line, Under is at 1.17 and Over at 4.20.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 | 0.5 | 1.65 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.80 |
| 1.17 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
Hoffenheim team total
Hoffenheim team total: Over 0.5 at 1.04 is significantly favoured over Under 0.5 at 7.70. Over 1.5 is available at 1.45 against 2.70 for Under 1.5, while the odds are close at the 2-goal line: Over at 1.80 and Under at 1.95. At the 2.5-goal line, Under at 1.50 is rated more highly than Over at 2.50.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 7.70 | 0.5 | 1.04 |
| 2.70 | 1.5 | 1.45 |
| 1.95 | 2 | 1.80 |
| 1.50 | 2.5 | 2.50 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Javier Alberola (Spain)
Matches — 5 (international matches, 2025–2026);
Average fouls per match — 20;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.4;
Matches with red cards — 0 out of 5;
Matches with penalties — 0 out of 5.
