Odds Overview
Paris FC are the favourites: the home win is offered at 2.07, while the draw and an OGC Nice win are priced at 3.35 and 3.75. In the main goals line, Under 2.5 is priced at 1.75 against 2.07 for Over 2.5, which points to a slight lean towards a low-scoring scenario. On the handicap line at 0, Paris FC Draw No Bet at 1.50 is noticeably shorter than OGC Nice Draw No Bet at 2.60.
Why Paris FC Are Favourites for the Match
A Paris FC win is priced at 2.07, the draw is 3.35, and success for OGC Nice is 3.75.
- The hosts tested their opponents more actively at the start: in the draw with Troyes, Paris FC created dangerous moments before the break, when Ilan Kebbal hit the post and Lassine Sinayoko missed from the rebound.
- The visitors rarely win in Ligue 1: in 9 of their last 10 matches in the competition, OGC Nice did not outscore their opponents.
Form and Line-up Paris FC
In the pre-match Ligue 1 picture, Paris FC, with no goals scored, share last place in the competition for attacking output.
Key numbers:
- In 9 of 10 Ligue 1 home matches, Paris FC committed no more than 13 fouls.
- In 9 of Paris FC's 10 home matches in Ligue 1, at least 3 offsides were recorded.
- In 8 of the last 10 Ligue 1 matches involving Paris FC, the teams took at least 9 corners.
Probable Paris FC line-up (4-2-3-1): Kevin Trapp — Adama Camara — Diego Coppola — Moustapha Mbow — Otavio — Pierre Lees-Melou — Rudy Matondo — Ilan Kebbal — Pablo Pagis — Luca Koleosho — Lassine Sinayoko
Form and Line-up OGC Nice
OGC Nice opened the season with a goalless draw against Lorient in a match played behind closed doors. Away from home, the team manage their pressure carefully: in 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 away matches, OGC Nice had fewer than 13 attempts on goal, including blocked shots.
Key numbers:
- In 10 of 10 Ligue 1 away matches, OGC Nice's opponents were caught offside no more than once.
- In 10 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, OGC Nice received no more than 2 yellow cards.
- In 9 of their last 10 Ligue 1 matches, OGC Nice scored no more than 1 goal.
Probable OGC Nice line-up (3-4-2-1): Yehvann Diouf — Antoine Mendy — Youssouf Ndayishimiye — Xavier Mandza — Jonathan Clauss — Djibril Coulibaly — Everton Pereira — Melvin Bard — Gauthier Hein — Sofiane Diop — Zoumana Diallo
Team Chances
A Paris FC win at 2.07 corresponds to a no-margin price of 2.17 and a probability of 46.1%. The draw is quoted at 3.35, with a no-margin price of 3.51 and a probability of 28.5%, while an OGC Nice win is 3.75, 3.93 and 25.4% respectively: Paris FC have the highest chances, but the draw and an OGC Nice win remain significant options.
| Result | Average Odds | Average Odds Without Margin | No-Margin Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC to win | 2.07 | 2.17 | 46.1% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.51 | 28.5% |
| OGC Nice to win | 3.75 | 3.93 | 25.4% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 1.75 is preferred to Over 2.5 at 2.07. For a total of 2, Over 2 has the shorter price — 1.55 against 2.40 for Under 2. At the 3.5 mark, the market leans noticeably towards Under 3.5 at 1.28, while Over 3.5 is priced at 3.35.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.07 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 1.28 | 3.35 |
Handicap Prediction
On the Paris FC handicap (-1.5) line, 3.95 is shorter than 7.10 for OGC Nice handicap (-1.5). At a handicap of 1.5, Paris FC handicap (1.5) at 1.05 has a slight price edge over OGC Nice handicap (1.5) at 1.20. For the -1 line, the odds are 3.10 on Paris FC handicap (-1) and 6.20 on OGC Nice handicap (-1), while for the 1 line they are 1.07 on Paris FC handicap (1) and 1.32 on OGC Nice handicap (1). At 0, Paris FC Draw No Bet is rated higher at 1.50 than OGC Nice Draw No Bet at 2.60.
| Hosts | Handicap | Visitors |
|---|---|---|
| 3.95 | -1.5 | 7.10 |
| 1.05 | 1.5 | 1.20 |
| 3.10 | -1 | 6.20 |
| 1.07 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.50 | 0 | 2.60 |
Both Teams to Score Prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.85 is quoted slightly lower than Both teams to score - No at 1.92, so the market gives a small edge to both teams scoring. The Both teams to score - No option means at least one team will not score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.85 |
| No | 1.92 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X at 1.30 is the shortest double-chance option, 12 is offered at 1.35, and X2 at 1.77. The higher price on X2 reflects relatively less confidence that OGC Nice will avoid defeat.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
3/10
|
7/20
|
77/100
|
Individual Total Prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following individual totals: Paris FC — 1.5 goals, OGC Nice — 1 goal.
Paris FC Individual Total
Paris FC: Under 0.5 at 4.00 is significantly longer than Over 0.5 at 1.20. On the 1 line, Under 1 is priced at 2.65 and Over 1 at 1.45; on 1.5, the prices are 1.65 and 2.20 respectively. For the 2 mark, Under 2 at 1.25 is noticeably lower than Over 2 at 3.60, which points to three or more Paris FC goals being considered less likely.
| Under | Individual Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.00 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
| 2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
| 1.65 | 1.5 | 2.20 |
| 1.25 | 2 | 3.60 |
OGC Nice Individual Total
OGC Nice: Under 0.5 at 2.55 is longer than Over 0.5 at 1.48. On the 1 line, Under 1 is quoted at 1.75 against 2.00 for Over 1. For a total of 1.5, Under 1.5 at 1.32 is noticeably shorter than Over 1.5 at 3.10, so two or more OGC Nice goals are rated as the less likely scenario.
| Under | Individual Total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.55 | 0.5 | 1.48 |
| 1.75 | 1 | 2.00 |
| 1.32 | 1.5 | 3.10 |
