Odds overview
Arsenal are clear favourites: the away win is available at 1.48, while the draw is at 4.20 and the home win at 7.30. In the 2.5 goals market, Under 2.5 has a slight edge at 1.78 against 2.05 for Over 2.5. At handicap 0, Arsenal Draw No Bet at 1.13 is considerably more favoured than Sunderland Draw No Bet at 4.80.
Why Arsenal are favourites for the match
Bookmakers make the visitors clear favourites: an Arsenal win is available at 1.48, the draw at 4.20 and a Sunderland win at 7.30.
• Arsenal entered Matchday 4 in second place in the Premier League with a maximum nine points and a goal difference of 6:1.
• The visitors have been highly reliable defensively, conceding an average of just 0.33 goals per match — the second-best record in the league.
Form and Line-up Sunderland
On 8 September, Sunderland beat Hull City 1:0 at home in the League Cup thanks to Chemsdine Talbi's 71st-minute goal, having drawn 1:1 away to Brentford in the Premier League on 5 September.
At home, Sunderland effectively restrict their opponents' attacking output: their opponents average only 1.67 shots on target per game, the lowest figure in the league, and have fewer than 12.5 shots in 9 of 10 matches.
- Sunderland scored fewer than 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10 Premier League home matches.
- In 9 of Sunderland's last 10 Premier League home matches, the two teams combined for no more than 9 shots on target.
- In 8 of Sunderland's last 10 Premier League home matches, the total number of shots did not exceed 26.5.
Probable Sunderland line-up (4-2-3-1): Robin Roefs, Nordi Mukiele, Kevin Danso, Daniel Ballard, Reinildo Mandava, Granit Xhaka, Noah Sadiki, Enzo Le Fee, Nilson Angulo, Milan Fofana, Brian Brobbey.
Form and Line-up Arsenal
On 9 September, Arsenal won their away Champions League match against Napoli 1:0 thanks to Martin Odegaard's 75th-minute goal.
In that match, Arsenal had 26 shots at the opposition goal, while in their last 10 Premier League away matches their opponents have managed no more than 5 shots on target.
- Under 3.5 goals landed in Arsenal's last 5 Premier League away matches.
- Arsenal scored at least one goal in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
- In 9 of Arsenal's last 10 Premier League away matches, there were no more than 10 shots on target.
Probable Arsenal line-up (4-2-3-1): David Raya, Ben White, Ezri Konsa, Gabriel Magalhaes, Piero Hincapie, Mikel Merino, Declan Rice, Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, Eberechi Eze, Viktor Gyokeres.
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives Arsenal a 64.3% chance of winning at average odds of 1.48 and fair odds of 1.56. The draw is assessed at 22.7% (4.20 and 4.41), and a Sunderland win at 13% (7.30 and 7.67).
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland to win | 7.30 | 7.67 | 13.0% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.41 | 22.7% |
| Arsenal to win | 1.48 | 1.56 | 64.3% |
Total goals prediction
In the 2.5 goals market, Under 2.5 is available at 1.78 and Over 2.5 at 2.05, giving a slight edge to the lower-scoring scenario. At 2 goals, Over 2 is considerably shorter at 1.53 than Under 2 at 2.40, while at 3.5 goals, Under 3.5 at 1.30 is substantially more likely than Over 3.5 at 3.25.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.78 | 2.05 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.30 | 3.25 |
Handicap prediction
At handicap -1.5, Arsenal (-1.5) is available at 2.35, while at the +1.5 line Sunderland (+1.5) is at 1.55. At the -1 line, Arsenal (-1) is at 1.80, with Sunderland (+1) at 2.00 on the opposite line. At handicap 0, Arsenal Draw No Bet at 1.13 is quoted considerably shorter than Sunderland Draw No Bet at 4.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 2.35 | |
| 1.55 | 1.5 | |
| -1 | 1.80 | |
| 2.00 | 1 | |
| 4.80 | 0 | 1.13 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.63 is favoured over Both teams to score - Yes at 2.20: the odds more often suggest that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.20 |
| No | 1.63 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Sunderland — 0.5 goals; Arsenal — 1.5 goals.
Sunderland team total
Sunderland team total: at the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 at 1.80 is only slightly shorter than Over 0.5 at 1.95. At 1 goal, Under 1 is at 1.25 against 3.60 for Over 1, and at 1.5 goals it is 1.12 against 4.90, indicating an expectation of no more than one home goal.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 1.80 | 0.5 | 1.95 |
| 1.25 | 1 | 3.60 |
| 1.12 | 1.5 | 4.90 |
Arsenal team total
Arsenal team total: Over 0.5 at 1.10 and Over 1 at 1.22 are substantially shorter than Under 0.5 at 5.50 and Under 1 at 3.80. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.72 has the edge over Under 1.5 at 2.05, while at 2 goals, Under 2 at 1.55 is favoured over Over 2 at 2.35.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.50 | 0.5 | 1.10 |
| 3.80 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 2.05 | 1.5 | 1.72 |
| 1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
