Odds overview
Switzerland are favourites: a home win is available at 1.70, compared with 3.75 for a draw and 5.30 for an away win. In the main totals market, Under 2.5 goals at 1.75 is favoured over Over 2.5 goals at 2.10. For handicap (0), Switzerland at 1.25 are markedly shorter than Scotland at 3.60.
Why Switzerland are favourites
Bookmakers favour Switzerland. A home win is offered at 1.70, a draw at 3.75 and a Scotland win at 5.30.
- Switzerland have consistently picked up points in competitive matches: they are unbeaten in their last ten matches across all official competitions.
- Scotland have regularly struggled to win: they have failed to win six of their last ten matches across all official competitions.
Form and Line-up Switzerland
In their most recent match, on 13 November 2026, Switzerland drew 0:0 with Slovenia. In their October matches in the competition, however, Switzerland secured two consecutive home wins: they beat North Macedonia 3:0 on 6 October and Slovenia 2:1 on 3 October.
Zeki Amdouni and Dan Ndoye stand out in Switzerland's attack. Amdouni has three goals and one assist in five UEFA Nations League matches, while Ndoye has two goals and three assists in the same number of games in the competition.
- Switzerland's opponents have scored fewer than 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Switzerland's opponents have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Gregor Kobel, Zachary Athekame, Nico Elvedi, Manuel Akanji, Sascha Britschgi, Remo Freuler, Denis Zakaria, Dan Ndoye, Fabian Rieder, Michel Aebischer, Breel Embolo
Granit Xhaka will miss Switzerland's November matches with a calf injury. Johan Manzambi (calf injury), Miro Muheim (muscle problems) and Joël Monteiro (calf injury) are also absent from the squad gathering.
Form and Line-up Scotland
In their most recent match, on 13 November 2026, Scotland beat North Macedonia 2:1. Before that, Scotland played twice away from home: they lost 1:2 to Slovenia on 6 October and beat North Macedonia 2:0 on 3 October.
John McGinn remains Scotland's top scorer in the current campaign, with three goals in five matches. Midfielder Billy Gilmour has played 403 minutes across five games and provided one assist. Scott McTominay has returned to the national squad after a heart procedure.
- Scotland have scored fewer than 2.5 goals in nine of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
- Scotland have had fewer than 7.5 shots on target in nine of their last 10 matches across all official competitions.
Probable line-up: Angus Gunn, Ryan Porteous, Luke Graham, Kieran Tierney, Ben Gannon-Doak, Lewis Ferguson, Billy Gilmour, Andy Robertson, John McGinn, Che Adams, Scott McTominay
Stephen Welsh has been withdrawn from the squad for the national team's matches, with Ryan Porteous called up in his place. Scott McKenna (muscle injury), Luis Binks (hamstring injury) and Lawrence Shankland (hamstring injury) will also miss out through injury.
The teams' chances
The margin-free estimate puts Switzerland's win probability at 56.4%, with odds of 1.70 and fair odds of 1.77. The draw is rated at 25.6%, with odds of 3.75 against fair odds of 3.91. Scotland's win probability is 18.1%, with odds of 5.30 and fair odds of 5.53.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | Margin-free probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland win | 1.70 | 1.77 | 56.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.91 | 25.6% |
| Scotland win | 5.30 | 5.53 | 18.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5-goal line, Under is favoured at 1.75 over Over at 2.10. At the 2-goal line, Over at 1.53 is considerably shorter than Under at 2.40, while at 3.5 goals, Under is the clear favourite at 1.27 compared with 3.40 for Over.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.75 | 2.10 |
| 2 | 2.40 | 1.53 |
| 3.5 | 1.27 | 3.40 |
Handicap prediction
Switzerland (-1.5) are offered at 2.80, while Scotland (1.5) are at 1.38. At the 1-goal handicap line, Switzerland (-1) are at 2.25 and Scotland (1) at 1.65. For handicap (0), Switzerland are quoted at 1.25 against 3.60 for Scotland.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.80 | -1.5 | |
| 1.5 | 1.38 | |
| 2.25 | -1 | |
| 1 | 1.65 | |
| 1.25 | 0 | 3.60 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score – No is shorter at 1.75 than Both teams to score – Yes at 2.02, suggesting it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
| Both teams to score | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 2.02 |
| No | 1.75 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
17/100
|
29/100
|
11/10
|
| William Hill |
17/100
|
1/4
|
23/20
|
| LeoVegas |
1/5
|
7/25
|
1/1
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team-goals lines for this match: Switzerland — 1.5 goals; Scotland — 0.5 goals.
Switzerland team goals
For Switzerland, Over 0.5 goals at 1.15 is much more likely than Under 0.5 at 4.50, while at the 1-goal line, Over is offered at 1.30 against 3.25 for Under. At 1.5 goals, the odds are almost equal: 1.85 for Under and 1.90 for Over. At the 2-goal line, Under at 1.40 is favoured over Over at 2.75.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.40 | 2 | 2.75 |
Scotland team goals
For Scotland, Over 0.5 goals at 1.70 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 2.10. At the 1-goal line, Under is quoted at 1.40 against 2.75 for Over, while at 1.5 goals, Under at 1.20 is considerably shorter than Over at 4.20.
| Under | Team goals | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.10 | 0.5 | 1.70 |
| 1.40 | 1 | 2.75 |
| 1.20 | 1.5 | 4.20 |
