Odds overview
Austria are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.58, compared with 4.20 for a draw and 5.60 for an away win. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals looks slightly more likely than Under 2.5 goals, at 1.78 versus 1.96. In the handicap market, the Republic of Ireland (-1.5) at 1.53 are favoured over Austria (-1.5) at 2.37; at the -1 line, the odds are closer — 1.80 versus 1.94.
Why Austria are favourites
The bookmakers clearly favour Austria: a home win is offered at 1.58. A draw is available at 4.20, while a Republic of Ireland win is 5.60.
- Austria lead Group B3 of the UEFA Nations League with 8 points from 4 matches.
- Austria have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
- The Republic of Ireland have failed to win 7 of their last 10 away matches in all competitions. David Affengruber
Form and Line-up Austria
In their most recent round, Austria drew 1:1 away to Kosovo. Three days earlier, on 1 October, they drew 2:2 away to the Republic of Ireland. Christoph Baumgartner has returned from injury but, according to Ralf Rangnick, has yet to start a match since his return. The coaching staff must assess whether he can cope with the demands of the game. The head coach stressed, however, that he intends to field his strongest possible line-up for the upcoming match. Xaver Schlager and David Affengruber will miss the final-round match against Israel if either receives another yellow card.
- More than 1.5 goals have been scored in each of Austria's last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Austria have had more than 3.5 shots on target in each of their last 10 UEFA Nations League matches.
Probable line-up (4-2-3-1): Alexander Schlager, Stefan Posch, Kevin Danso, Felix Bacher, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Alexander Prass, Konrad Laimer, Romano Schmid, Marco Grüll, Michael Gregoritsch
Absentees: Maximilian Wöber, Patrick Wimmer, Nikolas Veratschnig (injured)
Form and Line-up Republic of Ireland
In the previous round, on 4 October, the Republic of Ireland drew 1:1 at home to Israel. Earlier, on 27 September, they beat the same opponents 3:0 away from home. In their other Group B3 matches, they lost 0:1 away to Kosovo and drew 2:2 with Austria in Dublin. They sit third, three points behind leaders Austria.
- The Republic of Ireland have avoided defeat in 7 of their last 10 matches in all official competitions.
- Fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in 9 of the Republic of Ireland's last 10 away matches in the UEFA Nations League.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Caoimhin Kelleher, Dara O'Shea, Nathan Collins, Jake O'Brien, Jason Knight, Conor Coventry, Jayson Molumby, Ryan Manning, Jack Moylan, Troy Parrott, Adam Idah
Absentees: Gavin Bazunu (injured)
Match-result probabilities
Austria are available to win at 1.58, with fair odds of 1.66 and a probability of 60.3%. A draw is offered at 4.20, with fair odds of 4.41 and a probability of 22.7%. A Republic of Ireland win is available at 5.60, with fair odds of 5.88 and a probability of 17.0%.
| Result | Average odds | Average fair odds | Fair probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria to win | 1.58 | 1.66 | 60.3% |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.41 | 22.7% |
| Republic of Ireland to win | 5.60 | 5.88 | 17.0% |
Total goals betting
At the 2.5-goal line, Under 2.5 goals is offered at 1.96 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.78. For the 2-goal total, the odds are 2.85 for Under 2 goals and 1.37 for Over 2 goals. At the 3.5-goal line, Under 3.5 goals is available at 1.37 and Over 3.5 goals at 2.85.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| 2 | 2.85 | 1.37 |
| 3.5 | 1.37 | 2.85 |
Handicap betting
Austria (-1.5) are available at 2.37, while the Republic of Ireland (-1.5) are offered at 1.53. At the -1 handicap line, Austria (-1) are available at 1.94 and the Republic of Ireland (-1) at 1.80.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.37 | -1.5 | 1.53 |
| 1.94 | -1 | 1.80 |
Double chance forecast
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 |
7/50
|
1/4
|
13/10
|
| William Hill |
7/50
|
11/50
|
69/50
|
| LeoVegas |
4/25
|
6/25
|
5/4
|
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Team total goals betting
The bookmakers have set the following team goal totals for this match: Austria — 1.5 goals; the Republic of Ireland — 0.5 goals.
Austria team total goals
For Austria, Under 0.5 goals is available at 4.85 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.13. At the 1-goal line, Under 1 goal is available at 1.48 and Over 1 goal at 2.50. Under 1.5 goals is quoted at 2.12 and Over 1.5 goals at 1.66. For the 2-goal total, the odds are 1.57 for Under 2 goals and 2.30 for Over 2 goals.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.85 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
| 1.48 | 1 | 2.50 |
| 2.12 | 1.5 | 1.66 |
| 1.57 | 2 | 2.30 |
Republic of Ireland team total goals
For the Republic of Ireland, Under 0.5 goals is offered at 2.22 and Over 0.5 goals at 1.60. At the 1.5-goal line, Under 1.5 goals is available at 1.22 and Over 1.5 goals at 3.75. Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.03 and Over 2.5 goals at 7.90.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.22 | 0.5 | 1.60 |
| 1.22 | 1.5 | 3.75 |
| 1.03 | 2.5 | 7.90 |
