Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, Villarreal are favourites at 1.85, while the draw is available at 4.00 and an away win at 3.85. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 at 1.57 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.35. In the handicap market, Home Draw No Bet at 1.40 is shorter than Away Draw No Bet at 2.70.
Why Villarreal are favourites
Villarreal to win is available at 1.85, the draw at 4.00 and Real Betis to win at 3.85. The arguments in favour of this assessment are:
Villarreal create plenty in attack — 1.8 xG per game, which ranks in the top three in La Liga.
Real Betis allow their opponents to create more than any other team in the league — 2.17 xGA.
Villarreal have won 7 of their last 9 La Liga matches at home.
Form and Line-up Villarreal
Villarreal have made a poor start to the season under Inigo Perez. After two draws against Racing (2:2) and Atletico (2:2), the Yellow Submarine lost three times. In La Liga, the home side lost to Alaves (0:1) and Deportivo (2:3), as well as Borussia Dortmund (2:3) in the Champions League.
Key numbers:
Villarreal have taken at least 5 corners in 8 of their last 10 home La Liga matches.
In 8 of their last 10 home La Liga matches, Villarreal have registered at least 4 shots on target.
Villarreal's last 9 home La Liga matches have produced Over 2.5 goals.
Probable Villarreal line-up (4-4-2): Luiz Junior — Alex Freeman, Logan Costa, Renato Veiga, Sergi Cardona — Nicolas Pepe, Nathan-Dylan Saliba, Pape Gueye, Alberto Moleiro — Gerard Moreno, Ayoze Perez.
Absentees: Carlos Romero (doubtful), Juan Foyth (injury).
Form and Line-up Real Betis
Real Betis have made an almost perfect start to the season. Pellegrini's side have won three of their four La Liga matches, including against Real Madrid (1:0) in the last round, and also beat Lille (2:3) in the Champions League. Their only setback was a defeat to Levante (2:5), when the Beticos conceded three times from the 56th minute.
Key numbers:
Real Betis have scored at least once in 9 of their last 10 away La Liga matches.
Over 1.5 goals has landed in 8 of Real Betis's last 9 away La Liga matches.
Real Betis have scored first in 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches against Villarreal.
Probable Real Betis line-up (4-2-3-1): Alvaro Valles — Hector Bellerin, Marc Bartra, Natan, Fran Garcia — Facundo Bernal, Marc Roca — Antony, Isco, Pablo Fornals — Cucho Hernandez
Absentees: Diego Llorente, Aitor Ruibal, Abde Ezzalzouli (all injured), Giovani Lo Celso, Gonzalo Petit (doubtful).
Team chances
A home win at 1.85 corresponds to a no-margin probability of 51.5% and fair odds of 1.94. The draw is available at 4.00, with a no-margin probability of 23.8% and fair odds of 4.20; the away win is 3.85, 24.7% and 4.04 respectively.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Villarreal to win | 1.85 | 1.94 | 51.5% |
Draw | 4.00 | 4.20 | 23.8% |
Real Betis to win | 3.85 | 4.04 | 24.7% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 at 1.57 is preferred to Under 2.5 at 2.35. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 at 1.60 is shorter than Over 3.5 at 2.35.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.35 | 1.57 |
3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Home handicap -1.5 is available at 2.95, and away handicap -1.5 at 6.20. At the 1.5 line, the odds are 1.07 for home handicap +1.5 and 1.35 for away handicap +1.5; at the -1 line, they are 2.45 and 5.60 for home handicap -1 and away handicap -1. Home handicap +1 at 1.10 is shorter than away handicap +1 at 1.55, while on the zero line, home Draw No Bet is available at 1.40 versus 2.70 for away Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
2.95 | -1.5 | 6.20 |
1.07 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
2.45 | -1 | 5.60 |
1.10 | 1 | 1.55 |
1.40 | 0 | 2.70 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.55 looks more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.40, which means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.55 |
No | 2.40 |
Double chance prediction
1X and 12 are both available at 1.25, while X2 is available at 1.95.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1/4
|
1/4
|
19/20
|
Team total prediction
The bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Villarreal — 1.5 goals, Real Betis — 1 goal.
Villarreal team total
Villarreal team total: Over 0.5 at 1.09 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 at 5.60, while Over 1 is 1.20 versus Under 1 at 4.00. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 at 1.70 is shorter than Under 1.5 at 2.08, while at the 2 line, Under 2 at 1.55 is preferred to Over 2 at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
5.60 | 0.5 | 1.09 |
4.00 | 1 | 1.20 |
2.08 | 1.5 | 1.70 |
1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Real Betis team total
Real Betis team total: Over 0.5 at 1.32 is shorter than Under 0.5 at 3.10. At the 1 line, Over 1 at 1.72 is preferred to Under 1 at 2.07, while at the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 at 1.40 is considerably shorter than Over 1.5 at 2.65.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.10 | 0.5 | 1.32 |
2.07 | 1 | 1.72 |
1.40 | 1.5 | 2.65 |
