Simon Dalton presents his prediction for the Nitto ATP Finals match.
Jannik Sinner steps onto the court aiming to continue his outstanding season and assert his dominance ahead of the ATP Finals' semi-finals. Despite securing his playoff spot, maintaining momentum is crucial for him to stay in rhythm. For Daniil Medvedev, this clash represents a final chance to advance from the group stage and redeem a season marked by inconsistency.
Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner has been in excellent form, showcasing high-level play on hard courts. Since the start of autumn, the Italian has claimed victory in 12 out of 13 matches on hard surfaces, winning 9 of those in straight sets. Sinner is renowned for his aggressive baseline play, powerful serve, and consistent strokes from both wings, enabling him to thrive in extended rallies. He consistently capitalises on his opportunities, with his first serve percentage averaging 59%, which, while not perfect, helps him win crucial points.
Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev, one of the tour's best returners, employs tactics to exploit opponents' weaknesses. Against Alex de Minaur, he used a strategy of reduced serve speed, boosting his first-serve points won to 84%. This strategy allowed him to avoid breakpoints and control the baseline exchanges. However, Medvedev continues to face serving issues with a 68% first serve accuracy, and the new, heavier balls demand additional effort. Furthermore, he has suffered three defeats against top-ranked players on hard courts recently, casting doubt on his chances against Sinner.
Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Sinner has the upper hand and boasts superior stats in the current tournament. His aggressive style, consistent baseline play, and precise shots pose a difficult challenge for Medvedev. Nonetheless, the match might not be easy for Sinner, given Medvedev's improved performance and tactical adaptability. Likely, Sinner will win, but the encounter could be more drawn out than expected.
