Odds overview
Augsburg to win at 2.17 reflects their status as moderate favourites; the draw at 3.70 is longer, while Schalke to win at 3.15 sits between the two. Over 2.5 goals in the main total market is available at 1.70 compared with 2.15 for Under 2.5 goals, indicating greater expectations of goals. Augsburg Draw No Bet at 1.62 is notably preferred to Schalke Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Why Augsburg are favourites for the match
Augsburg are available to win at 2.17, Schalke at 3.15, while the draw is quoted at 3.70.
The hosts are strong at home: Augsburg have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
The visitors struggled against strong opposition before the start of the season: their last two friendlies against Atalanta and Real Madrid both ended in 0:3 defeats.
Form and Line-up Augsburg
Augsburg began their competitive season with a 2:0 win over Energie Cottbus in the first round of the German Cup, scoring both goals after the break. However, their opponents were from the second tier, so one result does not yet define the team's consistent level.
At the start of pre-season, head coach Manuel Baum named the creation of a unified team culture as one of the key tasks after analysing the previous season.
Key numbers:
At home, Augsburg have allowed no more than 5 shots in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
Augsburg's opponents have been caught offside no more than twice in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga matches at their ground.
In 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, Augsburg and their opponents have been caught offside no more than 4 times.
Probable Augsburg line-up (3-4-2-1): Finn Dahmen — Noahkai Banks — Keven Schlotterbeck — Chrislain Matsima — Marius Wolf — Han-Noah Massengo — Robin Fellhauer — Hennes Behrens — Anton Kade — Fabian Rieder — Michael Gregoritsch.
Form and Line-up Schalke
Schalke had a difficult cup tie against Hallescher: after drawing 2:2 in normal time, the Gelsenkirchen side won 5:2 only in extra time. They therefore played 120 minutes against a fourth-tier club six days before their trip to Augsburg.
In the same match, head coach Miron Muslic gave four new signings their first competitive minutes: Junior Dina Ebimbe started, while Junior Adamu, Robin Gosens and Satoshi Tanaka came on as substitutes.
Key numbers:
Schalke have taken at least 5 corners in 9 of their last 10 2. Bundesliga matches.
Schalke's opponents have committed at least 11 fouls in 8 of their last 10 2. Bundesliga matches.
Schalke's last trip to Augsburg ended in a painful cup elimination in October 2024 (0:4).
Probable Schalke line-up (4-4-2): Loris Karius — Timo Becker — Nikola Katic — Hasan Kurucay — Vitalie Becker — Junior Dina Ebimbe — Soufiane El-Faouzi — Ron Schallenberg — Adil Aouchiche — Dejan Ljubicic — Moussa Sylla.
Team chances
Augsburg to win is quoted at 2.17; the fair odds are 2.28 and the probability is 43.9%. The figures for the draw are 3.70, 3.88 and 25.8%, while Schalke to win is 3.15, 3.30 and 30.3%: the hosts have the highest rating, but not an overwhelming advantage.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Augsburg to win | 2.17 | 2.28 | 43.9% |
Draw | 3.70 | 3.88 | 25.8% |
Schalke to win | 3.15 | 3.30 | 30.3% |
Total goals prediction
On the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.15 and Over 2.5 goals at 1.70, so the over option is shorter. The situation is reversed on the 3.5 line: Under 3.5 goals at 1.47 is notably shorter than Over 3.5 goals at 2.55.
Under total | Line | Over total |
2.15 | 2.5 | 1.70 |
1.47 | 3.5 | 2.55 |
Handicap prediction
For the -1.5 line, Augsburg handicap (-1.5) is available at 3.65 and Schalke handicap (-1.5) at 5.70. On the 1.5 line, Augsburg handicap (1.5) is shorter at 1.09 than Schalke handicap (1.5) at 1.25. For the -1 line, Augsburg handicap (-1) is 3.00 and Schalke handicap (-1) is 4.90; on the 1 line, they are 1.12 and 1.35 respectively. On the 0 line, Augsburg Draw No Bet at 1.62 is shorter than Schalke Draw No Bet at 2.30.
Augsburg | Handicap | Schalke |
3.65 | (-1.5) | 5.70 |
1.09 | (+1.5) | 1.25 |
3.00 | (-1) | 4.90 |
1.12 | (+1) | 1.35 |
1.62 | (0) | 2.30 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes is available at 1.58, while Both teams to score - No is 2.30. The shorter odds for the yes option indicate a higher expectation that both teams will score; the no option means that at least one team will not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.58 |
No | 2.30 |
Double chance prediction
Double chance 12 is quoted at 1.30, 1X at 1.38 and X2 at 1.70. The lowest odds are for 12, while X2 has the highest rating among these options.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.38 | 1.30 | 1.70 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Augsburg — 1.5 goals; Schalke — 1 goal.
Augsburg team total
Augsburg: on the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 goals is 4.40 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.15; on the 1 line, they are 3.10 and 1.32 respectively. On the 1.5 line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1.5 goals is 1.80 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.95. On the 2 line, Under 2 goals is quoted at 1.38 compared with 2.80 for Over 2 goals.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.40 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
1.80 | 1.5 | 1.95 |
1.38 | 2 | 2.80 |
Schalke team total
Schalke: on the 0.5 line, Under 0.5 goals is 3.30 and Over 0.5 goals is 1.28. On the 1 line, Under 1 goal is quoted at 2.30 and Over 1 goal at 1.60; on the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.55 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.30 | 0.5 | 1.28 |
2.30 | 1 | 1.60 |
1.55 | 1.5 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sascha Stegemann (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.4;
Matches with red cards — 3 of 14;
Matches with penalties — 6 of 14.
