Odds overview
Borussia Dortmund are slight favourites: an away win is available at 2.20, while a home win is 2.95 and the draw is 3.85. Under 3.5 goals at 1.72 looks more likely than Over 3.5 goals at 2.12 in the main totals market. In the handicap market, Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet at 1.67 is shorter than Hoffenheim Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Why Borussia Dortmund are favourites for the match
Bookmakers make the visitors favourites: Borussia Dortmund to win is available at 2.20, a Hoffenheim victory is 2.95, and the draw is offered at 3.85.
Ahead of the second round, Borussia Dortmund are fifth with three points after starting with a 2:0 clean-sheet win, while Hoffenheim are 13th after defeat in the opening round.
Dortmund are highly reliable without the ball: in their last 10 Bundesliga matches, their opponents have registered no more than four shots on target.
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim thrashed Erzgebirge 4:0 in the German Cup and are joint-third in the league's pre-match ranking for goals conceded. At the PreZero Arena, though, the team consistently look for opportunities at the opposition goal: in nine of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, they have attempted at least 13 shots and have not once been outshot on target by their opponents in that spell.
Key numbers:
Hoffenheim's opponents committed no more than 11 fouls in nine of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
No more than four yellow cards were shown in eight of Hoffenheim's last 10 Bundesliga home games.
Referees recorded at least three offsides in eight of Hoffenheim's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable Hoffenheim line-up (4-4-2): Oliver Baumann — Vladimir Coufal — Ozan Kabak — Albian Hajdari — Bernardo — Wouter Burger — Leon Avdullahu — Bambase Conte — Patrick Wimmer — Adam Daghim — Adam Hlozek
Form and Line-up Borussia Dortmund
On 1 September, Borussia Dortmund thrashed HEBC Hamburg 5:0 in the German Cup, leaving them only three full days to prepare and recover for the away trip because of the congested schedule. Away from home, Dortmund favour a strict structure: in eight of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches, the two teams combined for no more than 10 shots on target, while at least 21 fouls were recorded in eight of those games.
Key numbers:
Borussia Dortmund's opponents have taken no more than five corners in their last 10 Bundesliga matches.
No more than 10 corners were taken in eight of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
No more than four yellow cards were shown in eight of Borussia Dortmund's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable Borussia Dortmund line-up (3-4-2-1): Gregor Kobel — Luca Reggiani — Waldemar Anton — Joane Gadou — Daniel Svensson — Julian Ryerson — Felix Nmecha — Jobe Bellingham — Konstantinos Karetsas — Maximilian Beier — Serhou Guirassy
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives an away win a 43.2% probability, with odds of 2.20 and fair odds of 2.32. A home win is rated at 32.2%: 2.95 versus no-margin fair odds of 3.11. The draw has a 24.7% probability, with odds of 3.85 and fair odds of 4.06.
Outcome | Average odds | Average no-margin odds | No-margin probability |
Hoffenheim to win | 2.95 | 3.11 | 32.2% |
Draw | 3.85 | 4.06 | 24.7% |
Borussia Dortmund to win | 2.20 | 2.32 | 43.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.47 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 goals at 2.60. At the 3.5 mark, the preference switches to Under 3.5 goals at 1.72 over Over 3.5 goals at 2.12.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.60 | 1.47 |
3.5 | 1.72 | 2.12 |
Handicap prediction
Hoffenheim (-1.5) at 5.10 is longer than Borussia Dortmund (-1.5) at 3.30. On the 1.5 handicap, Borussia Dortmund (+1.5) at 1.12 is preferred to Hoffenheim (+1.5) at 1.30. For the -1 line, the odds are 4.40 for Hoffenheim (-1) and 2.80 for Borussia Dortmund (-1); for the +1 line, they are 1.38 for Hoffenheim (+1) and 1.16 for Borussia Dortmund (+1). On the zero handicap, Borussia Dortmund Draw No Bet at 1.67 is rated above Hoffenheim Draw No Bet at 2.20.
Home | Handicap | Away |
5.10 | -1.5 | 3.30 |
1.30 | 1.5 | 1.12 |
4.40 | -1 | 2.80 |
1.38 | 1 | 1.16 |
2.20 | 0 | 1.67 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - Yes at 1.42 looks considerably more likely than Both teams to score - No at 2.65 — the outcome in which at least one team does not score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.42 |
No | 2.65 |
Double chance prediction
The shortest odds are on 12 at 1.28. X2 is available at 1.42 and 1X at 1.68, so the no-draw option is preferred to both double-chance bets.
1X | 12 | X2 |
1.68 | 1.28 | 1.42 |
Team total goals prediction
Bookmakers have set the following team totals for this match: Hoffenheim — 1.5 goals; Borussia Dortmund — 1.5 goals.
Hoffenheim team total
Hoffenheim team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.20 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 3.90; Over 1 goal at 1.45 is preferred to Under 1 goal at 2.65. At the 1.5 line, Under 1.5 goals at 1.67 is shorter than Over 1.5 goals at 2.15, while at the 2-goal mark, Under 2 goals at 1.27 is preferred to Over 2 goals at 3.45.
Under | Team total | Over |
3.90 | 0.5 | 1.20 |
2.65 | 1 | 1.45 |
1.67 | 1.5 | 2.15 |
1.27 | 2 | 3.45 |
Borussia Dortmund team total
Borussia Dortmund team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.13 is considerably more likely than Under 0.5 goals at 4.80, while Over 1 goal at 1.30 is preferred to Under 1 goal at 3.25. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.77 is slightly shorter than Under 1.5 goals at 2.00; at the 2-goal mark, Under 2 goals at 1.55 is preferred to Over 2 goals at 2.35.
Under | Team total | Over |
4.80 | 0.5 | 1.13 |
3.25 | 1 | 1.30 |
2.00 | 1.5 | 1.77 |
1.55 | 2 | 2.35 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Matthias Jollenbeck (Germany)
Matches — 14 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 19;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 3.7;
Matches with red cards — 1 of 14;
Matches with penalties — 12 of 14.
