Odds overview
In the 1X2 market, the home win at 2.30 holds a slight advantage over the away win at 2.70, while the draw at 4.05 appears less likely. In the main totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is clearly favoured over Under 2.5 goals at 2.90. In the handicap market, Home Draw No Bet at 1.77 is quoted shorter than Away Draw No Bet at 2.05.
Why Hoffenheim are favourites
Hoffenheim to win is available at 2.30, Stuttgart to win at 2.70, while the draw is offered at 4.05.
• The hosts are active in attack even against top opposition: in a recent Bundesliga match, Hoffenheim lost 2:3 to Borussia Dortmund but scored twice.
• Stuttgart come into the away match with a heavy workload: the visitors have just three calendar days to prepare between their 3:1 Champions League win over Viking on 9 September and this game.
Form and Line-up Hoffenheim
After two rounds, the team are 16th with 0 points and have conceded 6 goals.
At home, however, Hoffenheim effectively contain opponents' pressure: across their last 10 Bundesliga home matches, opponents managed no more than 5 shots on target, and had fewer than 14.5 shots in 9 of those 10 games.
- At least 9 corners were taken in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Hoffenheim had at least 13 shots in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
- Referees awarded at least 3 offsides in 9 of Hoffenheim's last 10 Bundesliga home matches.
Probable Hoffenheim line-up (4-2-3-1): Oliver Baumann, Vladimir Coufal, Ozan Kabak, Koki Machida, Albian Hajdari, Leon Avdullahu, Wouter Burger, Adam Daghim, Andrej Kramaric, Bambase Conte, Tim Lemperle.
Form and Line-up Stuttgart
Stuttgart's matches regularly feature end-to-end football and a high number of shots: the combined shot total exceeded 25.5 in 9 of their last 10 Bundesliga games, while the visitors rank second in the league for average scoring, with 5.5 goals per match.
In addition, at least 9 corners were recorded in 8 of the team's last 10 league matches.
- At least 3 goals were scored in Stuttgart's last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
- Stuttgart's Bundesliga away matches produced at least 10 shots on target in each of the last 10 instances.
- Stuttgart scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 Bundesliga away matches.
Probable Stuttgart line-up (4-2-3-1): Fabian Bredlow, Josha Vagnoman, Finn Jeltsch, Jeff Chabot, Maximilian Mittelstadt, Angelo Stiller, Grischa Promel, Jamie Leweling, Bilal El Khannouss, Chris Fuhrich, Ermedin Demirovic.
Team chances
The home win is offered at 2.30, with fair odds of 2.42 and a probability of 41.3%; the away win is at 2.70, 2.84 and 35.2%. The draw at 4.05 has fair odds of 4.26 and a probability of 23.5%, making it the least likely outcome.
| Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim to win | 2.30 | 2.42 | 41.3% |
| Draw | 4.05 | 4.26 | 23.5% |
| Stuttgart to win | 2.70 | 2.84 | 35.2% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.35 is quoted considerably shorter than Under 2.5 goals at 2.90. At 3.5, the odds are equal: Under 3.5 goals and Over 3.5 goals are both 1.90, with no clear advantage.
| Line | Under | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 2.90 | 1.35 |
| 3.5 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
Handicap prediction
Home handicap -1.5 at 3.45 is quoted shorter than away handicap -1.5 at 4.50. At the 1.5 line, the home handicap 1.5 is shorter — 1.15 compared with 1.25 for the away handicap 1.5. At the -1 line, home handicap -1 is available at 2.95 and away handicap -1 at 3.95; at 1, home handicap 1 is 1.20 and away handicap 1 is 1.35. In the Draw No Bet market, the home side at 1.77 is favoured over the away side at 2.05.
| Home | Handicap | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.45 | -1.5 | 4.50 |
| 1.15 | 1.5 | 1.25 |
| 2.95 | -1 | 3.95 |
| 1.20 | 1 | 1.35 |
| 1.77 | 0 | 2.05 |
Double chance forecast
Odds are current as of the material publication date
Double chance prediction
The lowest odds are on 12 at 1.25. The 1X option is available at 1.48, while X2 at 1.63 is quoted higher than the other double-chance options.
| 1X | 12 | X2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.48 | 1.25 | 1.63 |
Team total prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following team totals: Hoffenheim — 1.5 goals; Stuttgart — 1.5 goals.
Hoffenheim team total
Hoffenheim team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.11 is considerably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 5.20; Over 1 goal at 1.25 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.45. At the 1.5 line, Over 1.5 goals at 1.75 has a slight advantage over Under 1.5 goals at 2.02, while at 2, Under 2 goals at 1.58 is quoted shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.30.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 5.20 | 0.5 | 1.11 |
| 3.45 | 1 | 1.25 |
| 2.02 | 1.5 | 1.75 |
| 1.58 | 2 | 2.30 |
Stuttgart team total
Stuttgart team total: Over 0.5 goals at 1.15 is noticeably shorter than Under 0.5 goals at 4.50, while Over 1 goal at 1.32 is shorter than Under 1 goal at 3.10. At the 1.5 line, the odds are almost equal: Under 1.5 goals is 1.85 and Over 1.5 goals is 1.90. At the 2 line, Under 2 goals at 1.37 is quoted substantially shorter than Over 2 goals at 2.85.
| Under | Team total | Over |
|---|---|---|
| 4.50 | 0.5 | 1.15 |
| 3.10 | 1 | 1.32 |
| 1.85 | 1.5 | 1.90 |
| 1.37 | 2 | 2.85 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Sven Jablonski (Germany)
Matches — 18 (Bundesliga, 2025/26);
Average fouls per match — 21;
Average yellow cards per match, including second yellows — 2.8;
Matches with red cards — 0 of 18;
Matches with penalties — 3 of 18.
