Odds Overview
Manchester United to win at 1.40 is the clear favourite, while the draw is priced at 4.80 and Hull to win at 8.50. In the main total, Over 2.5 at 1.65 is rated above Under 2.5 at 2.20. On the handicaps, Manchester United (-1) at 1.57 is noticeably more likely than Hull (+1) at 2.30; Manchester United (-1.5) is offered at 2.05 against 1.78 on Hull (+1.5).
Why Manchester United Are Favourites for the Match
The bookmakers give the visitors a clear edge: Manchester United to win is priced at 1.40, the draw is offered at 4.80, and Hull's success is available at 8.50.
The visitors look confident away from home: Manchester United have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 10 Premier League away matches.
The Mancunians' defensive unit reliably keeps opposition attacks in check. In all of Manchester United's last 10 Premier League away games, their opponents have managed no more than 5 shots on target.
Form and Line-up Hull
In five pre-season friendlies, Hull recorded three wins, one draw and one defeat, completing their preparations with a draw against a solid Nice side (0:0).
In competitive games, the team keep within strict limits and do not get dragged into chaotic exchanges of chances: in their last 10 matches in all competitions, Hull scored fewer than three goals.
Key numbers:
In their last 10 matches in the Championship, the Tigers received no more than 2 yellow cards.
Hull matches are often high-scoring for corners — in 9 of their last 10 Championship games, there were at least 10 corners.
Hull have not conceded more than two goals against Manchester United in five head-to-head meetings in a row.
Probable Hull line-up (3-4-2-1): Ivor Pandur — Lewie Coyle — Ryan Giles — Charlie Hughes — Semi Ajayi — Liam Millar — Matt Crooks — Regan Slater — Mohamed Belloumi — John Egan — Oliver McBurnie
Form and Line-up Manchester United
Manchester United's pre-season had mixed results: two wins, two draws and two defeats. In their final friendly, the Red Devils suffered a painful defeat against Milan (2:4), who are now led by former Manchester United coach Amorim.
The Mancunians' Premier League away games are played without chaotic surges or high tempo: in all of their last 10 away matches, there were no more than 4 offsides, while in 9 of the 10 games the total number of shots on target by both teams did not exceed 10.
Key numbers:
Carrick's team scored more than two goals in only one of their six pre-season matches.
Manchester United have done little shopping this summer — only Tielemans and Santos have arrived in midfield.
Manchester United have suffered only one away defeat under Carrick.
Probable Manchester United line-up (4-2-3-1): Senne Lammens — Matthijs de Ligt — Luke Shaw — Leny Yoro — Patrick Dorgu — Manuel Ugarte — Youri Tielemans — Amad Diallo — Bruno Fernandes — Bryan Mbeumo — Matheus Cunha
Team Chances
The no-margin estimate gives Manchester United to win a probability of 68.7% with average odds of 1.40 and fair odds of 1.46. The draw is rated at 20.0%: 4.80 against 4.99. Hull to win accounts for 11.3% — average odds of 8.50 and a no-margin estimate of 8.84.
Outcome | Average Odds | Average Odds Without Margin | Probability Without Margin |
Hull to win | 8.50 | 8.84 | 11.3% |
Draw | 4.80 | 4.99 | 20% |
Manchester United to win | 1.40 | 1.46 | 68.7% |
Total Goals Prediction
On the line, Under 2.5 is priced at 2.20 and Over 2.5 at 1.65, so the market leans more towards a high-scoring scenario. For 3.5, Under 3.5 at 1.50 is preferred against 2.50 on Over 3.5.
Under | Line | Over |
2.20 | 2.5 | 1.65 |
1.50 | 3.5 | 2.50 |
Handicap Prediction
Manchester United (-1.5) handicap is available at 2.05, while Hull (+1.5) is 1.78. On the 1-goal line, Manchester United (-1) is priced at 1.57 against 2.30 on Hull (+1). With the zero handicap, Hull Draw No Bet is 5.50 and Manchester United Draw No Bet is 1.10.
Hull | Handicap | Manchester United |
- | (-1.5) | 2.05 |
1.78 | (+1.5) | - |
- | (-1) | 1.57 |
2.30 | (+1) | - |
5.50 | (0) | 1.10 |
Both Teams To Score Prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.85 is rated slightly higher than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.90: the market is slightly more often expecting at least one team not to score.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.90 |
No | 1.85 |
Double Chance Prediction
1X | 12 | X2 |
41/20
|
1/5
|
9/100
|
Individual Total Prediction
For this match, bookmakers have set the following individual totals: Hull — 0.5 goals, Manchester United — 2 goals.
Hull Individual Total
Hull City: Under 0.5 is priced at 2.03 and Over 0.5 at 1.75. On the 1-goal line, Under 1 at 1.30 is noticeably shorter than Over 1 at 3.15, while for 1.5 it is Under 1.5 at 1.14 against Over 1.5 at 4.60.
Under | Individual total | Over |
2.03 | 0.5 | 1.75 |
1.30 | 1 | 3.15 |
1.14 | 1.5 | 4.60 |
Manchester United Individual Total
Manchester United: Under 0.5 is offered at 7.50 and Over 0.5 at 1.05. At 1.5, Under 1.5 is priced at 2.65 against Over 1.5 at 1.43; on the 2-goal line, the prices are close — Under 2 at 1.93 and Over 2 at 1.83. For 2.5, Under 2.5 is preferred, while Over 2.5 is priced at 2.55.
Under | Individual total | Over |
7.50 | 0.5 | 1.05 |
2.65 | 1.5 | 1.43 |
1.93 | 2 | 1.83 |
1.48 | 2.5 | 2.55 |
Who Will Referee the Match
Darren England (England)
Matches — 2 (all competitions, 2026)
Average fouls per match — 21
Average yellow cards per match — 1.5
