Return leg of the 2024/25 Champions League quarter-final between Inter Milan (Italy) and Bayern Munich (Germany) will take place on April 16 at San Siro Stadium in Milan. The first match ended 2-1 in favor of Inter. Inter vs. Bayern: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Inter Milan
Simone Inzaghi's side won the first leg 2-1, marking their fifth consecutive victory in the Champions League. Inter has conceded only their third goal in the current tournament, continuing to lead in this category. The Milanese team also boasts the most clean sheets in this season's Champions League (8). To reach their second semi-final in this European competition in the last three seasons, the team needs to avoid defeat in regular time.
- The club has not lost in 90 minutes in their last 13 home matches in the Champions League (11 wins, 2 draws).
- The team has not conceded more than one goal in regular time in their last ten home games in this European competition.
- The Milanese have scored in the first half in their last five home matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Inter (3-5-2)
Yann Sommer – Francesco Acerbi, Yann Aurel Bisseck, Alessandro Bastoni – Federico Dimarco, Hakan Calhanoglu, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Nicolo Barella, Matteo Darmian – Lautaro Martinez, Marcus Thuram.
Defender Denzel Dumfries and midfielder Piotr Zielinski will miss the game due to injuries.
Bayern Munich
Vincent Kompany's side, after losing the first match, ended their five-match unbeaten run in the Champions League (4 wins, 1 draw). Bayern scored their 29th goal in the current tournament, trailing only Barcelona (36). To reach the Champions League semi-finals for the second consecutive time, the Germans need to win by at least two goals in regular time. If they win by one goal, extra time will be played.
- The team has not won in 90 minutes in 6 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League (1 draw, 5 losses).
- At least three goals have been scored in regular time in 6 of their last 8 away games in this European competition.
- Bayern conceded in the second half in 7 of their last 9 away matches in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Bayern (4-5-1)
Jonas Urbig – Konrad Laimer, Eric Dier, Kim Min-Jae, Josip Stanisic – Kingsley Coman, Michael Olise, Thomas Muller, Joshua Kimmich, Leon Goretzka – Harry Kane.
Goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, defenders Dayot Upamecano, Alphonso Davies, Hiroki Ito, and midfielder Jamal Musiala are injured.
Referee
Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 47;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.9;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 25;
Penalties – 17%.
Inter vs. Bayern: Match Prediction
The Milanese achieved a comfortable result in the away match and have excellent chances of reaching the semi-finals. I believe Simone Inzaghi's side will capitalize on the support of their fans: at home, Inter has not lost in the Champions League for 13 matches, and they have only failed to win twice in this period. In the knockout stages of this European competition, the Italians have secured three wins and one draw in regular time in their last four home matches.
Bayern will find it challenging to progress to the next round given their away record in the Champions League. In their last nine away matches in this tournament, the club has managed only three wins, suffering five defeats in this period. Moreover, in the previous Champions League campaign, the Germans lost away to Lazio and Real Madrid and drew with Arsenal in the knockout stages.
I don't think the Italians will squander their advantage in the home match. My prediction: Inter with a handicap (0)
