Odds overview
Inter are clear favourites: a home win is available at 1.28, while the draw is at 5.80 and an Udinese win at 10.50. In the totals market, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is considerably more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.40; at the 3.5 line, Under 3.5 has the edge — 1.60 versus 2.35. In the handicap markets, Inter (-1.5) at 1.80 is shorter than Udinese (+1.5) at 2.02, while Inter (-1) at 1.38 is shorter than Udinese (+1) at 2.80; at the zero handicap, Inter Draw No Bet at 1.06 has a clear advantage over Udinese Draw No Bet at 6.80.
Why Inter are favourites
An Inter win is available at 1.28, the draw at 5.80 and an Udinese win at 10.50. The arguments for this assessment are:
Inter are second in the table with 9 points, while Udinese are 11th with 4. The difference in quality and form between the teams is obvious.
Inter are unbeaten in 14 consecutive home Serie A matches.
Inter have scored at least two goals in eight of their last ten home matches and registered at least five shots on target in all ten.
Form and Line-up Inter
Inter had a tough Champions League match against Real Madrid, losing 1:2: they conceded twice in the first half, but Carlos Augusto pulled one back in the 77th minute to set the final score. In the league, Inter started with three consecutive wins, beating Monza (4:1), Cagliari (1:0) and Napoli (3:2) after coming back from 0:2 down.
Key numbers:
Inter have scored at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 home Serie A matches.
In 9 of their last 10 home Serie A matches, Inter have had more than 12.5 shots.
In all of their last 10 Serie A matches, Inter have registered at least 5 shots on target.
Probable line-up (3-5-2): Josep Martinez — Yann-Aurel Bisseck, Manuel Akanji, Alessandro Bastoni — Andy Diouf, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Petar Sucic, Carlos Augusto — Francesco Pio Esposito, Lautaro Martinez.
Absentees: Federico Dimarco (injury).
Form and Line-up Udinese
In the previous round, Udinese lost 1:2 at home to Lazio: Jesper Karlstrom put the team ahead, but the Friulians conceded late goals in the 75th and 88th minutes. It was their first defeat of the new season, having previously beaten Monza (3:2) and drawn with Como (1:1).
Key numbers:
In 8 of Udinese's last 10 Serie A matches, there have been no more than 3 goals.
In 9 of their last 10 Serie A matches, Udinese have taken no more than 5 corners.
In 8 of their last 10 away Serie A matches, Udinese have had fewer than 12.5 shots.
Probable line-up (3-4-2-1): Maduka Okoye — James Abankwah, Christian Kabasele, Enzo Ebosse — Mergim Vojvoda, Jesper Karlstrom, Lennon Miller, Hassane Kamara — Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Unai Gomez — Keinan Davis.
Absentees: Jakub Piotrowski, Juan David Arizala, Matteo Palma, Nicolo Zaniolo, Oumar Solet (all injured).
Team chances
The no-margin assessment gives Inter a 74.5% chance of winning: the average home-win odds are 1.28 and the fair odds are 1.34. The draw is assessed at 16.4%, with odds of 5.80 and 6.08 respectively, while an Udinese win is assessed at 9.1%, with odds of 10.50 and 11.01.
Outcome | Average odds | Average fair odds | No-margin probability |
Inter Milan to win | 1.28 | 1.34 | 74.5% |
Draw | 5.80 | 6.08 | 16.4% |
Udinese to win | 10.50 | 11.01 | 9.1% |
Total goals prediction
At the 2.5 line, Over 2.5 goals at 1.55 is more likely than Under 2.5 at 2.40. At the 3.5 line, by contrast, Under 3.5 is shorter — 1.60 versus 2.35 for Over 3.5.
Line | Under | Over |
2.5 | 2.40 | 1.55 |
3.5 | 1.60 | 2.35 |
Handicap prediction
Inter (-1.5) is available at 1.80, while Udinese (+1.5) is at 2.02. At the -1 line, Inter (-1) at 1.38 is considerably shorter than Udinese (+1) at 2.80. In the zero handicap, Inter Draw No Bet is at 1.06 versus 6.80 for Udinese Draw No Bet.
Home | Handicap | Away |
1.80 | -1.5 | — |
— | 1.5 | 2.02 |
1.38 | -1 | — |
— | 1 | 2.80 |
1.06 | 0 | 6.80 |
Both teams to score prediction
Both teams to score - No at 1.78 is shorter than Both teams to score - Yes at 1.98, so a scenario in which at least one team fails to score is slightly more likely.
Both teams to score | Odds |
Yes | 1.98 |
No | 1.78 |
Double chance prediction
1X at 1.07 is the most likely double-chance option, 12 is at 1.15, while X2 at 3.70 is assessed as considerably less likely.
1X | 12 | X2 |
7/100
|
3/20
|
27/10
|
Team total prediction
For this match, the bookmakers have set the following team totals: Inter Milan — 2.5 goals, Udinese — 0.5 goals.
Inter Milan team total
Inter Milan team total: Over 2 goals at 1.60 is shorter than Under 2 at 2.30; at the 2.5 line, Under 2.5 at 1.70 is more likely than Over 2.5 at 2.08. At the 3 line, Under 3 is at 1.37 and Over 3 at 2.85.
Under | Team total | Over |
2.30 | 2 | 1.60 |
1.70 | 2.5 | 2.08 |
1.37 | 3 | 2.85 |
Udinese team total
Udinese team total: at the 0.5 line, the odds are almost identical — Under 0.5 at 1.88 and Over 0.5 at 1.87. Under 1 at 1.25 is considerably shorter than Over 1 at 3.50, while Under 1.5 at 1.13 is shorter than Over 1.5 at 4.80.
Under | Team total | Over |
1.88 | 0.5 | 1.87 |
1.25 | 1 | 3.50 |
1.13 | 1.5 | 4.80 |
